Stuart Little, I noticed that too. Simplistically, it would seem to indicate that the main source of the water that's flowing out of the drains is high up on the slope, and is running down under the spillway floor or along the outside of the side walls, or both. When that water gets to the breach, it diverts, as water will always do, via the path of least flow resistance: the new ravine to kayaker's left. All other things being equal, if water were entering the drain system all along the whole spillway length, there would be discharge from the ports below the breach too. But one thing that might not be equal is that the flow resistance in the drains is higher up at the top of the spillway, and almost zero in the lower half, this would allow the lower half to drain in seconds or minutes as soon as the inflow at the gates was shut off, while it takes longer for the upper drains to empty (thus, still flowing in the photo). Regardless, one hypothesis about the original cause of concrete failure would seem to be piping of soil and gravel by those subsurface flows, creating poor support for the concrete above, or varying poor support and pressure, thus flexing, which concrete does not like very much.
Commenting on Mick West's photo just above in #58, it looks like the headcut on the left (kayaker's right) seems to have advanced a tiny bit upward relative to a large clump of shrubs there, but it's hard to be sure. That being soil and more-weathered rock than the hard gray stuff, it's easy to imagine that propagating suddenly under just the wrong conditions. But if the foundation under the upper spillway is hard rock close to the concrete, it would look terrifying but perhaps not actually jeopardize the spillway.
The thing about the additional new rainfall is its contribution to saturation and continually increasing pore pressure within the soil. When there is already a head cut scarp, really saturated soil can erode quickly and dramatically, not just progressively by rilling. The long term hillside there didn't have that head cut creating localized increased velocity, and lack of physical support for the soil that forms the scarp. As in a creek channel through a meadow, you can get whole chunks falling off. One never knows for sure, but it is certainly possible for erosion once there's a head cut scarp to happen differently than it did for the long term history of the slope.