There is now a civil war within a civil war in Syria. Al-Qaeda's affiliates in Syria are now battling elements of the Free Syria Army and Kurdish militias, splintering the rebel forces.
My previous
analysis of Syria said this fight was inevitable, but questioned whether it was too late for the U.S. to help the moderate rebels prevail. Absent heavy international intervention, this is a fight that Al-Qaeda and similar Islamists will win.
The Bad News
The most powerful rebel force on the ground is Jabhat al-Nusra and the Islamic State of Iraq, two technically separate groups that we'll refer to as Al-Qaeda. Their battle with the non-Islamist rebels of the Free Syria Army (FSA) officially began with a fight at a checkpoint.
Kamal Hamami, also known as Abu Bassel al-Ladkani, was a senior member of the FSA and the Supreme Military Council, the body that coordinates the rebel forces. He traveled to Latakia for a meeting with Al-Qaeda to discuss a joint offensive against the Syrian regime. He was prevented from going past a checkpoint, sparking an argument. Hamami and his brother were shot and killed, the FSA says, at the hands of the "emir," Abu Ayman al-Baghdadi.
Al-Qaeda then called the FSA to inform them of his death and that they'd kill the entire Supreme Military Council. The FSA issued a
24-hour deadline for al-Baghdadi to be handed over and asked the international community for arms to eliminate the "disease." The deadline passed without action being taken, even though a senior FSA commander had
vowed, "We will wipe the floor with them."
The FSA commander's bravado is not to be believed, as the group's inaction shows. Al-Qaeda has steadily gained strength over the FSA since the civil war began; a problem that the FSA warned would arise if the West did not come to its aid.