1. edby

    edby Member

  2. Rory

    Rory Senior Member

    On the first map you posted, of Welney, in italics it's written: 'Old Bedford Bridge' and 'Delph Bridge' (referring to the two waterways).

    Is it possible that many bridges over these waterways would have the same designation? I.e., rather than a name, it was pointing out which river/canal they spanned?

    And perhaps same with the sluices.
     
    Last edited: May 13, 2018
  3. edby

    edby Member

    Googling "old bedford sluice" brings up a lot of moaning from the canal boat community. Lots of stuff like this

    http://www.foxboats.co.uk/navigating-the-old-bedford-river/

    Complaining about the stretch from "old bedford sluice" to welney bridge being all silted up.

    Could be useful helpers in getting a sign at the 3 mile point?
     
  4. Rory

    Rory Senior Member

    Q. What are we gonna use for a tall enough pole?

    Wallace had his targets 13 feet above the water, mounted on barges. 13 feet would be good - but impractical using 2x4s.

    Is 6 to 8 feet enough? Would a higher target necessitate the construction of some kind of frame?

    What about using scaffolding poles? How long are they?

    What about helium balloons, floated on strings 13 feet long? Or would that be too open to accusations of swindling (e.g., the strings could be measured to give the desired results).
     
  5. edby

    edby Member

    13 feet was to avoid most of the effects of refraction, I believe. But in any case the two bridges would afford the simplest method. Still thinking about this. The canal boat forums suggest that the river is silted up, and a canal boat would have difficulty. Might be possible to drive a pole into the river bed. Not sure.
     
  6. edby

    edby Member

     
  7. DavidB66

    DavidB66 New Member

    Here is another modern map of the area round Welney. http://www.britishwalks.org/walks/1999/054.php

    I have belatedly realised that on Google Earth (at least in the current version with imagery dated 1/1/2007) the land near Welney to the south-east of the Old Bedford River is actually flooded. This tends to obscure the fact that there are two waterways running parallel near Welney: the Old Bedford River and the River Delph. (This is clearer if you zoom in on the map I just linked to.) In consequence, there are currently two bridges at Welney, one over the OBR and one over the Delph. As Rory pointed out, the one over the OBR might well be called the Old Bedford Bridge, but it might equally be called the Welney Bridge to distinguish it from other bridges over the OBR. I do not know if there were two bridges in 1870. [Edit: two bridges are shown in the 1886 OS map shown mentioned earlier in this thread.]
     
  8. Z.W. Wolf

    Z.W. Wolf Active Member

    It can be difficult to understand what FE believers are thinking. I think I've finally figured out what it is that's bothering them in this case. Part of the confusion is that both sides have been assuming they are thinking of this as a problem with perspective. But the problem, as they conceive it, is not one of perspective; it's parallax.

    In the Wallace experiment, the critical factor is the elevation of the observer's telescope above the water surface. The instrument does not need to be leveled, because the distant targets will retain their relative positions to one another no matter how the telescope is tilted - up & down or side to side. As long as the targets are all in the field of view they will retain exactly the same relative position to one another.

    If the observer's telescope were on an elevator, and if the elevator moved up or down, there would be a parallax shift, and the relative positions of the targets would change. Same thing if it were mounted on a car and the telescope were moving on the horizontal.

    Here's the crux. These FE believers feel that tilting the telescope will cause a parallax shift; and the relative positions of the target will change. I think that's why, all those years ago, Carpenter insisted that the instrument be leveled and have a reticle (cross-hairs). And perhaps he was bothered by the fact that the horizontal line of the reticle was above the targets, I don't know.

    In this case it wouldn't matter if one used three targets or more. They would have the same objection: the telescope might be tilted, however microscopically, thus changing the relative positions of the targets, and giving the false impression that they are not positioned in a straight line.

    The first step is to clear up this misconception. Perhaps a video showing that this doesn't happen. A video camera on a tripod, demonstrating that there is no parallax shift when the camera is tilted or moved from side to side.


    BTW, I think this is another example of the mode in which FE believers think. Go back to this post here: https://www.metabunk.org/review-fla...ous-idea-christine-garwood.t7950/#post-205390

    I think that, in this case, these people are simply associating, through life experience, movement with parallax shift. Tilting is a movement, so they feel that tilting the telescope will cause a parallax shift. This misunderstanding disappears if one thinks about the problem analytically (system 2), but they haven't taken this step. I predict that they will resist doing so.
     
    Last edited: May 13, 2018
  9. edby

    edby Member

    There are indeed two waterways, but Wallace clearly says, in a number of places 'old Bedford river', not Delph river.
     
  10. edby

    edby Member

    This is entirely correct. Two markers are enough, with the third point being the viewpoint of the viewer. Three would work, however my fundamental principle is to make an experiment no more complicated than necessary to prove the point. Wallace complicated it by adding a level with a cross hair, as well as a telescope, as though a cross hair was needed.


    I have already had a similar conversation with an FEer at another forum. He claims that refraction in the telescope will cause the position of the markers to change.


    It is crucial for any FE observer to agree in advance what observations would prove or disprove either theory. It seems as though Wallace didn’t do this, given that Hampden and Carpenter were ‘whooping with joy’ when they looked through the lens. Wallace later went through the logic, see the many letters in The Field and other publications at the time, but too late. The scientific method is to construct a model to predict what observations will be. Then run an experiment to see if observation is consistent with the model. If repeated experiments show not, then reject the model.


    Yes, the kind of video you suggest might be conclusive. However I only came across this FE thing a few days ago, and my eyes have been opened. One difficulty, as I mentioned above, is any chain of reasoning involving more than two premises.
     
  11. Rory

    Rory Senior Member

    Easy way to tell they weren't using the Delph: the Delph isn't straight.
     
  12. edby

    edby Member

    PS as I mentioned above, the proof essentially relies on the assumption that if X and Y are parallel, i.e. equidistant at every place, and X is straight, then Y is straight.

    In this case, let X be the straight line made by three markers, and Y the surface of the water.

    We then only have to prove that the three points make a straight line. This we do by having a far point C (Old Bedford Sluice), a mid point B (pole on a barge) and a near point A (observer's eye on Welney Bridge). If B and C line up, i.e. if B is right in front of C, then the three points form a straight line.
     
  13. edby

    edby Member

    That too :)
     
  14. Z.W. Wolf

    Z.W. Wolf Active Member

    Because, while thinking in system 1, every thought is an isolated and immutable association. This is the infamous Filing Cabinet Syndrome. Each thought or belief has its own file folder in the cabinet and only one folder can be open at a time. When a new thought - or "file folder" - is brought out, the previous one is put away. Thus the cabinet can hold mutually exclusive thoughts, nestled in individual folders.

    Or in this case, the thoughts cannot be put into a chain of reasoning.

    A person who uses this mode of thought, when angered, puts away the folder in discussion, and pulls out one he thinks is relevant. E.g. - where's the curve? Or in the debate at hand, he will refuse to put away the folder marked "the targets will change position." Emotion keeps him in system 1.

    Everyone does this to some extent. It's just that some people are more prone than others.
     
    Last edited: May 13, 2018
  15. Mick West

    Mick West Administrator Staff Member

    I'd previously suggested using schedule 40 PVC tubing. It's cheap (like $5 for an 8 foot section), and you can use the couplings dry to transport and assemble structures easiy

    Not too accurate, even a slight wind would move them, altering the height. HOWEVER you could make a simple setup of:

    Brick -> 6 feet of string -> empty water bottle -> 10 feet of string -> balloon

    Then toss it in the middle of the canal. the bottle will stay on the surface giving you a target (roughly) 10' (or whatever) above the waterline.
     
    • Like Like x 1
  16. Z.W. Wolf

    Z.W. Wolf Active Member

    This is a rationalization defending the feeling that tilting causes a parallax shift - or in a larger sense, FE itself. There is nothing in the science of optics that would suggest or support this, and I'm certain that this idea did not come from any knowledge of optics. It was pulled out of a hat.
     
    Last edited: May 13, 2018
  17. edby

    edby Member

    Mick, could you explain the 40 PVC tubing bit please? I am thinking, a tripod structure that goes into the water with weights to hold it down, then a straight bit to give the required height above the water. Is it possible to construct such a thing? We would have to get permission from the Environmental Agency, probably. Given we don't know the depth of the water, there would have to be a method of adjusting the height.

    My handyman attributes about 3 out of 10.

    We could ask someone in the canal boat community to help out, but it seems the water too silted up to get to that stretch.

    March 6th 2020 would be the date, but could have a dry run, probably rather a wet one, well before then.
     
  18. Mick West

    Mick West Administrator Staff Member

    This illustrate the issue of getting the right weather and time of day:
    Metabunk 2018-05-13 08-55-43.

    However it might also illustrate the, to a degree, the markers are already in place. We are looking UP at the bottom of the railway bridge, which appears to be twice as as high as distant objects.
    Metabunk 2018-05-13 08-59-15.
    How high is the bottom of the railway bridge above the waterline? Suppose we were to find out that height, and then set the camera at the same height, then a distant target also at the same height.

    I suspect in this video the camera is not far off the correct height already.

    And what are we looking at here?
    Metabunk 2018-05-13 09-02-02.

    Probably just trees. but at the other end we have the pump-house bridge, where some "experiments" have been done from. This is where the "calico sheet" target would be.
    Metabunk 2018-05-13 09-06-05.
    An alternative to a target might simply be to drive a bright colored car or truck back and forth over the bridge. The motion would greatly aid with visibility, and the vehicle is of known height.

    And thinking about all of this. A first step would be to obtain high quality measurements of the the respective heights of the tree bridges above the waterline. This should be relatively easy. But I'd suggest making a high visibility marked measuring pole (white PVC, black tape every 3 inches, double width band every 1 foot ) for video verification of the measurements.

    Ah, if only I lived nearby....
     
  19. Mick West

    Mick West Administrator Staff Member

    Schedule 40 is just the type of PVC tubing used for household pressure water lines in garden irrigation. I've got lots of it at my house. It's stiff, you can cut it to size, and it has couplings that let you just push pieces together to make longer pieces, or structures like bases. It comes in different diameters, but 1" diameter should work

    http://www.downwindmarine.com/Pipe-Schedule-40-White-PVC-p-90890920.html
    upload_2018-5-13_9-23-2.
     
  20. edby

    edby Member

    He has just come back, and evaded the 'different angle' objection. He now claims that even if the observation point is shifted up or downwards, right or left, even by a fraction of an inch, the observation will change. He cites Rowbotham again, and he claims this is because of the 'very great distances' involved.

    I am working through the trig now, but my sense is that quite a large movement in any direction would be required for the markers to line up.
     
  21. edby

    edby Member

    [edit]Now I see the genius of Wallace’s approach.

    I didn’t understand why so, at first. But now we have 3 miles length of one side, 4 feet up, this should tell us where the viewer should be in order for the top marker to line up.

    upload_2018-5-13_17-31-33.


    [edit] and some v elementary trig suggests that the viewer would have to be at least 2x4 feet = 8 feet higher in order for the top mark to line up with the black horizontal band. Wallace is brilliant.
     
  22. edby

    edby Member

    I will make some cardboard replicas of the bridge and the midpoint marker to show the 8 foot effect, then make a video.
     
  23. Mick West

    Mick West Administrator Staff Member

    One of the greatest problems with explaining things to the FE folk is that any side view of such a setup usually have the horizontal dimension compressed by a factor of 1000 or more. They then take that side view and try to interpret things as if that's the way things actually are. The reality is that any side view just looks like a line, as the entire thing is six miles (32,000 feet) long and only 20 feet high. If you were to draw it on piece of paper with the side view 12" wide then all the detail would have to fit in 0.01 inches.

    I mention this because it's part of the the problem of how they interpret this experiment, and might lead to spurious objections.
     
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  24. Mick West

    Mick West Administrator Staff Member

    And again here, uniformity of scale is going to be an issue.
     
  25. Mick West

    Mick West Administrator Staff Member

    Here's a video I just made to show how they fit together.

    Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V1ywtdbEsM8


    A weighted base would probably work better. The middle of a canal is flat silt, so it should be fairly straight naturally. Here's a standard patio umbrella base with 1" PVC.
    Metabunk 2018-05-13 09-58-39.
     
    • Like Like x 1
  26. edby

    edby Member

    "A weighted base would probably work better. The middle of a canal is flat silt, so it should be fairly straight naturally. Here's a standard patio umbrella base with 1" PVC."

    I am really liking this. How about the extendibility aspect? The depth of the water is unknown.
     
  27. Z.W. Wolf

    Z.W. Wolf Active Member

    The thinking seems to be about extremes. The distances are extreme therefore the tolerances for the observer are extreme -ly small. There's no analytical evidence for this.

    One could just as well say the tolerances are extremely large, but he chose small because it fits his agenda.
     
    Last edited: May 13, 2018
  28. Z.W. Wolf

    Z.W. Wolf Active Member


    I don't know. I think there was a reason Wallace used a barge. I think if you try this in real life, you'll find that the setup will be unstable. Silt on the bottom of a canal is unstable stuff - the base will sink, tilt... and this will continue to happen and things will change.

    A barge will be more stable. And more stable than a boat with a keel, because the flat bottom resists roll.
     
  29. edby

    edby Member

    Barges are tricky though, for the reasons mentioned. I suggest a thorough 'dry' run.
     
  30. Z.W. Wolf

    Z.W. Wolf Active Member

    And the silt may be full of debris, making it lumpy.

    ... and gas bubbles.

    But there's no harm in giving it a try, I guess.
     
  31. edby

    edby Member

    See below for the kitchen table version. Now we have to prove to the [Flat Earth believer] how far the camera was from the bridge, and how far the pole from the bridge, finally how much higher the camera is in the lower picture. [...]

    upload_2018-5-13_18-27-9.
     
  32. Mick West

    Mick West Administrator Staff Member

    He didn't use a barge for the certified experiment. He used a telescope on one bridge, a flag on the other, and a marker in the middle that was fixed to the ground.
    Metabunk 2018-05-13 10-41-45.

    I think this would be preferable to having something in the water, as it's more fixed. Just tricky to demonstrate measurements. I'd hope that the bottom edge of the railway bridge can essentially be used as a marker.
     
    • Informative Informative x 1
  33. Z.W. Wolf

    Z.W. Wolf Active Member

    Okay, I've spent the last hour doing some research rather than relying on memory. Just a thumbnail:

    Samuel Rowbotham originated the idea that the Wallace experiment (and the entire issue of the dip of the horizon) was flawed due to the optics of telescopes.

    William Carpenter had a completely different idea. He had a confused idea about straight lines and that straight lines are level lines. In brief he contended:

    [​IMG]
     
    Last edited: May 13, 2018
  34. Mick West

    Mick West Administrator Staff Member

    One problem as you can see here, is that from the Welney bridge the canal has a slight curve.
    Metabunk 2018-05-13 12-26-56.

    To see the 6 mile bridge you would likely need to move a bit to the right, which might mean you are obscured by that tree :(

    here's a compressed view. Most of the bend is fairly near the bridge. A view from the town side (NW) would work, were it not for the tree. But it looks like you might be okay just going as close to the town side as possible.
    Metabunk 2018-05-13 12-28-43.
     
  35. DavidB66

    DavidB66 New Member

    Just in case it should prove impractical to use the Old Bedford River itself, I note that there are several other long straight waterways (canals or canalised rivers) in the same general area. For example there is a 6-mile stretch from (roughly) Outwell to Wiggenhall Saint Mary. It is crossed by several road or footpath bridges along that distance, but this is not necessarily a drawback, as the bridges themselves might be useful as observation points or bases for flags, etc. There is an even longer stretch (about 8 miles) a few miles to the NW, passing between Eastree and Turves. It is not absolutely straight, so a direct line of sight above the water would not be possible, but the essential thing is to be able to measure upwards from the surface of a continuous body of water, to serve as an indisputable 'level'.
     
  36. Mick West

    Mick West Administrator Staff Member

    Tricky to address, I think the best way is to demonstrate the principles with scale models (like @edby, above) and then show that changing the scale does not change the result.

    Car roofs are good for slight curves.
    Metabunk 2018-05-13 13-26-35.
    Metabunk 2018-05-13 13-26-11.
     
    • Like Like x 1
  37. Mick West

    Mick West Administrator Staff Member

    That's one of those things that's so wrong it's hard to understand. But once you get what he's thinking (or claiming to believe) it's relatively simple. I'd not figured it out before.

    Metabunk 2018-05-13 14-18-19.

    He's saying that point 3 is the middle of the telescope, point 2 is the top of the middle target, and point 1 is at the bridge. Since 3->2 is the same as 2->1 he says that means that 3->2->1 is in a straight line, and as they are all the same distance from the water surface that proves that the water surface is flat.

    It one of those arguments where the words sound like they are making sense, but contains so many layers of errors that it's hard to know where to begin. But for a start 3 represents a line going out to infinity, not a point at the scope - (and really the 2D level line represents a 3D plane, viewed edge on. 2 and 1 represent 2D projections of 3D points.

    Difficult stuff to explain.
     
  38. Z.W. Wolf

    Z.W. Wolf Active Member

    Carpenter wrote at length about this idea in his book Water, Not Convex! The Earth Not a Globe, but sadly I can't find an eBook or excerpt.

    Here's my attempt at trying to understand. I think I grok, but it's like trying to screw fog.

    (This is the best photo I could find, but it should be looking straight along the bottom of the board.) I think he was imagining a view something like this, with the near end of the board as the horizontal reticle, the middle knot as the top of the middle target, and the far end of the board as the calico flag target on the bridge:

    [​IMG]

    A line that's over our head, and level with the level surface of the water on the FE.


    Because the theodolite is leveled, the view is level. And because the line has an end, middle and beginning point that are equidistant from each other, the line is level. Therefore it's a straight, level line above a level surface; i.e. the surface of the water on the FE.

    I've found two letters to the editor of The Field (the magazine edited by Walsh) written by Wallace, but I can't find Carpenter's report to which he is responding:
    http://people.wku.edu/charles.smith/wallace/S162-163.htm

    I think, because he wanted to have:
    -the telescope leveled with the level water
    -a horizontal reticle, which he imagined established a visible beginning point for his imaginary level line.




    Both Carpenter and Hampden repeatedly charged Wallace with saying/believing something he did not. This is from an article by Michael Behrend:
    https://www.cantab.net/users/michael.behrend/ebooks/PlaneTruth/pages/Chapter_03.html



    This might make more sense with this excerpt from a pamphlet by Hampden: http://wallace-online.org/content/frameset?pageseq=1&itemID=S179aa&viewtype=text


    [​IMG]

    Carpenter and Hampden were unable to deal with any kind of relativity or ambiguity. They maintained that Wallace was trying to prove that there was a "hill of water," and the central target would be five feet above both the telescope and the bridge.


    Wallace again:



    Wallace used this illustration for the following point: https://www.theflatearthsociety.org/forum/index.php?topic=54769.0

    [​IMG]

    The top line establishes the astronomical horizon. Both targets are below the astronomical horizon. But no one should think about words such as below, or a rise or fall in the overly literal and rigid way Carpenter and Hampden did.
     
    Last edited: May 13, 2018
  39. Mick West

    Mick West Administrator Staff Member

    Which all makes me think that a third point would be required to remove the possibility of that (entirely wrong) objection. We would go from:

    If three points A, B, and C are the same distance above a water surface then if the water surface is flat then B and C will be lined up when viewed from A.​

    to

    If three points A, B, and C are the same distance above a water surface then if the water surface is flat then A, B, and C will be lined up when viewed from some point behind A.​

    I think really we'd have to find someone who actually thinks the same way as Carpenter in order to figure out how to get through to them - assuming such a person actually exists.
     
  40. Rory

    Rory Senior Member

    At least three points is what I've been thinking. The more the merrier. :)