Yes, when there is information to disseminate. But if it's a test "this is only a test" (preceded and followed by a really horrible sounding noise that you wish would go away as soon as possible).
I wonder what rationale the Q-anon posters will have when the only information Trump disseminates is that for the next 60 seconds there will be a test of the emergency broadcast system?
At some point you would think that the Q-anon people will realize that none of the prophesies of Q ever come true. I know that in my family the arrest of the Obamas, Clintons and Bushes will settle a long standing bet once and for all. But I'm not holding my breath...
...your theories are
unfalsifiable. If disconfirming evidence is presented it is dismissed as faked or otherwise rationalized away. The theory moves farther away from the credible without limit.
It will be rationalized away. Some probable rationalizations:
1. Human error. This
particular prediction was in error.
A. This prediction didn't really come from
The Q.
B. Q's message was misinterpreted.
C. A rare instance in which Q was wrong. He's only human after all.
2. Change of plan. Trump realized this wasn't the right time.
A. The plan was recalculated and fine tuned.
B. Something happened to make him redefine the plan.
3. Enemies within the Deep State (the personal devil) successfully blocked this
particular part of the Trump Plan. They are very powerful.
4. This particular prediction was a fake prediction planted by The Deep State to discredit Q.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/When_Prophecy_Fails#Premise_of_study
External Quote:
When Prophecy Fails: A Social and Psychological Study of a Modern Group That Predicted the Destruction of the World is a classic work of
social psychology by
Leon Festinger et. al. which studied a small
UFO religion in Chicago called the Seekers that believed in an imminent
apocalypse and its
coping mechanisms after the event did not occur.
Festinger and his colleagues predicted that the inevitable disconfirmation would be followed by an enthusiastic effort at proselytizing to seek social support and lessen the pain of disconfirmation.
http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2011/05/prophecy_fail.html
When Prophecy Fails.
External Quote:
What Festinger failed to understand is that [my emphasis] prophecies, per se, almost never fail. They are instead component parts of a complex and interwoven belief system which tends to be very resilient to challenge from outsiders. While the rest of us might focus on the accuracy of an isolated claim as a test of a group's legitimacy, those who are part of that group—and already accept its whole theology—may not be troubled by what seems to them like a minor mismatch. A few people might abandon the group, typically the newest or least-committed adherents, but the vast majority experience little cognitive dissonance and so make only minor adjustments to their beliefs. They carry on, often feeling more spiritually enriched as a result.
Deuteronomy
18:21-22
External Quote:
You may say to yourselves, "How can we know when a message has not been spoken by the LORD?"
If what a prophet proclaims in the name of the LORD does not take place or come true, that is a message the LORD has not spoken. That prophet has spoken presumptuously, so do not be alarmed.
http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2011/05/prophecy_fail.html
When Prophecy Fails.
External Quote:
Only predictions that come true are from God...
failed prophecies are... human slip-ups.
Odd or dysfunctional thinking or mental illness is often based in normal traits which are exaggerated.
A general warning: Don't confuse religious or fringe beliefs with Conspiracy Theories.
Religious prophecies are a belief system based in a mind set in which the traits of System 1* thinking and rationalization are exaggerated, while aggression based suspicion may are may not be.
Belief in UFO's, Atlantis, Bigfoot, Alternative Medicine etc. does not necessarily include aggression based suspicion.
A Conspiracy Theory (with the Capital Letters) is a part of a complex and interwoven belief system based in Inter-Group A
ggression, in which the traits of suspicion, System 1 thinking, and rationalization are exaggerated.
Inter-Group aggression is on the rise in many places, not just the US. Otherwise known as authoritarianism.
*System 1 thinking. MetaBunk link to one of my posts:
Review: Flat Earth - The History of an Infamous Idea - Christine Garwood
"...the concept of intuitive thought and analytical thought. I'm once again going to point to this review of Daniel Kahneman's book
Thinking, Fast and Slow:
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/27/b...-and-slow-by-daniel-kahneman-book-review.html
Kahneman describes two different ways the brain forms thoughts:
System 1: Fast, automatic, frequent, emotional, stereotypic, subconscious.
System 2: Slow, effortful, infrequent, logical, calculating, conscious.
These are technical terms which I often refer to as intuitive thought and analytical thought."
