Not OT, but certainly a wee side-track to OP:
"Virus X" by Frank Ryan, MD.
Although this book was written in 1997 (and I read it in '98-'99), I still recall many of the histories of viral diseases covered in it, not all of which were pandemics. If memory serves me correctly, he observed that CDC funding cuts, as the global threats of diseases like typhoid, scarlet fever, polio, and small-pox was being severely curtailed or eradicated, was a short-sighted, 'resting-on-our-laurels' viewpoint.
Extracted from the blurb/reviews: (bold mine)
External Quote:
Dr. Ryan's answer for why so many plagues are ravaging the world these days is simple but chilling: a huge explosion in population (6 billion people alive today versus 1.5 billion a century ago) and the resulting destruction of habitats has brought human beings into contact with aggressive viruses that once lived beyond our reach; our global transportation systems spread them. Virus X is not the first book to raise these issues, but it's a comprehensive one, making for gripping, frightening reading.
https://www.abebooks.com/servlet/Bo...rus+x&sortby=17&cm_sp=snippet-_-srp1-_-title2
My summarised TL;DR recollections: It's not a matter of IF, it's a matter of WHEN.
He imagines the catastrophe if a dangerous organism (think Ebola, Marburg, Hemorrhagic) changed/increased it's speed and method of transmission, (or a more innocuous organism with rapid and widespread transmission became far more potent) and how woefully underprepared the global response would be. He saw the emergence of novel viruses as a given, considering our increased incursions/encounters with diverse habitats/organisms, and our penchant for intensive/high density living and farming practices: more interactions = more opportunity for cross-species transmissions. Couple that with the ease of global travel, and someone who was researching rats in a rain-forest on Saturday is sipping latte's in Soho by Tuesday, or the farmer with huge flocks of birds/pigs/livestock flaunting his flannels flying to Florence for a holiday...
I should have uncovered this book again in 2020, (it was a library loan my first reading). It still underpinned a lot of my attitude towards the conversations around COVID, where I believed the general public were not sufficiently aware of viral aetiology, background of political/scientific balances, the purpose/abilities of the CDC (and equivalent non-US bodies). And the media were little-to-no help in painting any sort of objective picture. {Aside: my 18 y.o. step-son asked how a vaccine could be miraculously produced in months, when it took years prior to 2020. My response: how long did it take to make a battleship before 1939? And after that? Amazing what can be achieved when everyone pulls in the same direction... and the funding for same.)
All of that to say (and concur with other posts above): an exercise planning for the worst-case feasible scenario, is the least we should expect from a responsible set of leaders. Be that governmental, corporate, scientific - ideally, all three at the same table. The coincidence of timing is simply that. Although I haven't the time right now (or the Google-fu ability), I shall express an unfounded belief that there will have been numerous equivalent 'events', at differing scales, around the world in the previous decade. Not all events will be reported in the media...
Again, I feel it is worth reiterating points already made: planning for something, does not mean you plan to cause something. Emergency response planning/preparedness for the likes of Earthquake or flood does not pre-suppose humans intend to cause them! With war, the argument is weaker, as it is human actions on both sides of the reasoning.... thus easier to muddy the waters. Coincidence (in timing) does not imply causation....