#### HaloSlippin

##### New Member

[fieldset=ADMIN THREAD SUMMARY]

The graph that Dr Shiva Ayyaduria shows is accurate. The hand-draw trendline is

The downward slope is an inevitable consequence of split-ticket voting, something that we know exists, and variations in the amount of straight-ticket voting, something we also know exists. This video demonstrates this:

Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BUp4uJt9TJg

Tool used: https://www.geogebra.org/classic/peacpfm6

Other people have done the same things:

Source: https://twitter.com/Guy_Remmie/status/1327227255739834371

And this article by Naim Kabir

https://kabir-naim.medium.com/dr-shiva-ayyadurai-the-danger-of-data-charlatans-4f675ffe793c

https://kabir-naim.medium.com/dr-shiva-ayyadurai-doubles-down-on-his-con-7ba25b09b05c

Here's a quick analysis by Matt Parker of Stand-up Maths

Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aokNwKx7gM8

The quick takeaway is that BIDEN HAS THE SAME DOWNWARD SLOPE, which is expected, based on the above.

He also points out how the slope of a line y = mx + b is transformed, if the vertical axis is y-x, to y-x = (m-1)x + b, i.e it subtracts 1 from the gradient, so anything less than m=1 (essentially y=x, in this context) will result in a downward slope.

(original thread follows)

[/fieldset]

Hello! I’m glad to be here. Recovering conspiracy theorist and high school algebra teacher here. Love the podcast! Been kinda sorta backsliding into my conspiracy thinking with the US election. The things that are easy to debunk haven’t really been troubling me, but this recent video from Dr. Shiva analyzing election data is something that is WAY over my head.

Hate to give him views but I would love to see this one debunked.

The graph that Dr Shiva Ayyaduria shows is accurate. The hand-draw trendline is

*not at all accurate.*The downward slope is an inevitable consequence of split-ticket voting, something that we know exists, and variations in the amount of straight-ticket voting, something we also know exists. This video demonstrates this:

Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BUp4uJt9TJg

Tool used: https://www.geogebra.org/classic/peacpfm6

Other people have done the same things:

Source: https://twitter.com/Guy_Remmie/status/1327227255739834371

And this article by Naim Kabir

https://kabir-naim.medium.com/dr-shiva-ayyadurai-the-danger-of-data-charlatans-4f675ffe793c

And a follow-upExternal Quote:

The only way you’d get the flat line — which Ayyadurai asserts is “expected” — is if the correlation between split-ticket Trump votes and straight-ticket Republican votes isexactly 1:1.

In all other cases, you’dalwaysget a negatively sloping line. Ayyadurai calls this negative slope evidence of election-fraud, but it’s going to be the case 99% of the time! So he must intentionally be trying to pull one over on us, here.

https://kabir-naim.medium.com/dr-shiva-ayyadurai-doubles-down-on-his-con-7ba25b09b05c

Here's a quick analysis by Matt Parker of Stand-up Maths

Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aokNwKx7gM8

The quick takeaway is that BIDEN HAS THE SAME DOWNWARD SLOPE, which is expected, based on the above.

He also points out how the slope of a line y = mx + b is transformed, if the vertical axis is y-x, to y-x = (m-1)x + b, i.e it subtracts 1 from the gradient, so anything less than m=1 (essentially y=x, in this context) will result in a downward slope.

(original thread follows)

[/fieldset]

Hello! I’m glad to be here. Recovering conspiracy theorist and high school algebra teacher here. Love the podcast! Been kinda sorta backsliding into my conspiracy thinking with the US election. The things that are easy to debunk haven’t really been troubling me, but this recent video from Dr. Shiva analyzing election data is something that is WAY over my head.

Hate to give him views but I would love to see this one debunked.

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