maybe I'm just too much optimist but I'll always put more probability on a scenario which had an airfield as its planned destination, I mean if it already fits the available data
blindly sticking to "it had to be constant speed and/or direction and/or altitude" assumption before reviewing logic behind is what I can't fathom, not at all
I'm an not saying that. The problem with this incident is that it defies logic in the first place.
I have a "most likely" scenario for the events currently revealed, but it is also speculation.
In my mind, the most likely source of new information in the short term, will come from police sources, not aviation sources.