Iran releases video claiming to show they have hit an F-35

[yoshy]

Iran claims to have hit an F-35 with an unspecified anti-air system. Iran made the same claims in 2025 (articles from their state media: 1, 2, 3). Those claims were never substantiated in any way. However, this time they have released a video along with their claim, and the US also confirmed an emergency landing of an F-35 without specifying the reason. From CNN:

A US F-35 fighter jet made an emergency landing at US air base in the Middle East after it was struck by what is believed to be Iranian fire, according to two sources familiar with the matter.

Capt. Tim Hawkins, a spokesperson for US Central Command, said the fifth-generation stealth jet was "flying a combat mission over Iran" when it was forced to make an emergency landing. Hawkins said the aircraft landed safely and the incident is under investigation.

Sandboxx News released a video on YouTube discussing the footage. The host reasons that a hit from an S-300 or Bavar-373 anti-air missile would likely cause significant damage or destruction of the plane, but if the F-35 was flying low enough for some reason, it would be in range of Iranian Majid Air Defense Weapon Systems or even MANPADs (Man-Portable Air-Defense Systems). Both of those are significantly less powerful explosives which would make it more likely for the F-35 to still be operational after a hit.



This forum has extensive experience dealing with thermal imaging. Does the video look legitimate? When the missile explodes, the F-35 basically fades into background, but it can still be seen flying intact if you look closely after the bright explosion. Is it expected that the missile explosion would be so hot that the F-35 would fade into the background?

 

[Ravi]

Is it expected that the missile explosion would be so hot that the F-35 would fade into the background?

It is a matter of dynamic range of the IR cam system used. Generally the dynamic range of IR systems is rather small, compared to VIS systems. So when a very hot item is in view, the other items (less hot) will dim accordingly.

 

[Gary C]

Iran claims to have hit an F-35 with an unspecified anti-air system. Iran made the same claims in 2025 (articles from their state media: 1, 2, 3). Those claims were never substantiated in any way. However, this time they have released a video along with their claim, and the US also confirmed an emergency landing of an F-35 without specifying the reason. From CNN:

A US F-35 fighter jet made an emergency landing at US air base in the Middle East after it was struck by what is believed to be Iranian fire, according to two sources familiar with the matter.

Capt. Tim Hawkins, a spokesperson for US Central Command, said the fifth-generation stealth jet was "flying a combat mission over Iran" when it was forced to make an emergency landing. Hawkins said the aircraft landed safely and the incident is under investigation.

Sandboxx News released a video on YouTube discussing the footage. The host reasons that a hit from an S-300 or Bavar-373 anti-air missile would likely cause significant damage or destruction of the plane, but if the F-35 was flying low enough for some reason, it would be in range of Iranian Majid Air Defense Weapon Systems or even MANPADs (Man-Portable Air-Defense Systems). Both of those are significantly less powerful explosives which would make it more likely for the F-35 to still be operational after a hit.

MANPADS seems unlikely as there is no reason for an F-35 to be exposed below ~20,000 over Iran right now. To have been damaged over Iran but still able to return to base leaves a great many unknowns.

Have you done a search for an earlier dated use of this video without the graphical overlay?

 

[yoshy]

MANPADS seems unlikely as there is no reason for an F-35 to be exposed below ~20,000 over Iran right now. To have been damaged over Iran but still able to return to base leaves a great many unknowns.

Perhaps over-confidence or poor planning led to a similar situation where an F-117 was shot down over Serbia. In that event, US F-117s kept flying the same route every night, so a skilled Serbian anti-air operator was able to target the F-117 because they knew where and when to look for one. Pilots will fly lower for bombing runs if they assume they have total air dominance. Like you said, there's "a great many unknowns".

Assuming it was an anti-air missile, perhaps it detonated farther away from the F-35 than it appears due to perspective, and that is why the F-35 was able to return to base. A direct hit from an AA missile would have downed the plane almost surely, but proximity damage from an explosion just far enough away could damage the plane enough to force return to base but still be able to fly.

Have you done a search for an earlier dated use of this video without the graphical overlay?

I have not done so myself but have not seen any comments, tweets, articles, etc that found the video to have been reused. How would you recommend searching for that?