Thanks guys. NAR changes to MFOV about 11 frames after the motion starts, so it's not so obviously connected. However, I agree that it is connected. 11 frames is faster than 1 second and the change of background tone (as well as target motion) implies camera motion.
So could the famous leftward motion at the end also be an artifact of the same phenomenon? Look how close both motions occur to each other, both occurring within ~2 seconds of each other:
The drop-down motion occurs within ~6 frames of screen white-out and the left-slide motion occurs within ~8 frames of another almost full screen white-out. Gee! Both are also correlated with the background tone changing from near black to brighter. I suspect
all the off-center motions are camera-induced artifacts.
Fravor may believe the drop-down motion is "a couple objects coming out of the bottom."
The anchor asks him what the DoD concluded the object is. Notice that Fravor
completely evaded the question, switching the topic to seemingly anomalous descriptions of the footage, including the claim:
"You can't really discern what it is until there's a couple shots, when
it gets close, there's a couple objects coming out of the bottom."
"Couple objects coming out of the bottom"? What do you bet he's referring to this drop-down motion. He's also as fooled as a FLIR novice about the zoom-induced fast motion at the end that Mick resolved. In video comments I'm constantly hammered with, "But pilots are the experts, how can
you be right?!" And yet here we have this expert as fooled by the footage as anyone who never saw a FLIR screen in their life. To me, I see that as notable meta-incongruity in the package of claims we're receiving from TTSA & Associates... why is this 'expert FLIR operator' not able to resolve artifacts?