The purpose of debunking is not to prove something didn't/couldn't happen, but to show there is no evidence that it did.
Alright. The problem in this case is that
there is extensive evidence, and that evidence cannot be easily controlled for without extremely accurate and expensive studies due to the nature of the subject. (References below of said evidence.)
Multiple studies show a strong correlation between Tylenol and autism. But as i said, because Tylenol is used whenever pregnant mothers experience pain and other symptoms like fever already, that correlation is absolutely something you'd expect to find.
So what
there is not is
a causal link between acetaminophen and autism. You cannot claim that "Tylenol causes autism". But you also cannot claim there is "no evidence" that it does so. So we cannot debunk it, according to your definition.
Not only that, Trump, RFK and the Medicaid administrator all made/endorsed the claim that groups who do not take medication have "no autism", like the Amish.
Again, that is
not causation despite being a kind of evidence
. That's because the Amish have a different lifestyle and reporting habits than the general populace so again, you'd expect different rates of reported autism in their group.
To even compare Amish and non-Amish you would need to make an Amish group and a general populace group both take Tylenol in pregnancy in the same circumstances in a double-blind study and in sufficiently high numbers, which would be extremely difficult to do for various reasons.
This is why this situation is baffling. It exposes the complex nature of knowledge and scientific consensus because the US government essentially just claimed correlation is causation.
But that's not even the most baffling part. If Tylenol use is restricted in any way due to this press release, we will soon have new evidence for how that affects autism rates that we wouldn't otherwise have. If Tylenol use is limited, and IF doing that decreases autism rates without statistically affecting maternal or child health, it will still NOT prove that Tylenol causes autism, but limiting Tylenol would still have decreased autism rates in this hypothetical scenario. Likewise, if autism rates don't decrease, it still can't prove Tylenol does NOT cause autism in some circumstances. Just that limiting it has no effect.
So as tempting as this is to debunk, i believe we simply can't do it. Rather, it's easier to debunk the debunkers in this case, as they're making claims against all the confounding evidence that does, unfortunately, exist.
Examples of evidence of the Tylenol-Autism link in literature.
1) A systematic review finding a DOSE-DEPENDENT correlation in multiple studies:
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35989852/
External Quote:
We extracted collective evidence from 16 studies suggesting acetaminophen's role in developing adverse neurodevelopmental outcomes. It is urgent to do more research on this association before pregnant women can be cautioned about the precise use of acetaminophen.
2) Mount Sinai Press Release about Tylenol autism risk:
https://www.mountsinai.org/about/ne...e-linked-to-increased-risk-of-autism-and-adhd
External Quote:
"Our findings show that higher-quality studies are more likely to show a link between prenatal acetaminophen exposure and increased risks of autism and ADHD,"
"Given the widespread use of this medication, even a small increase in risk could have major public health implications."
3) JAMA large study finding acetaminophen metabolites in newborns and finding a strong association for both ADHD and ASD
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamapsychiatry/fullarticle/2753512
External Quote:
Cord biomarkers of fetal exposure to acetaminophen were associated with significantly increased risk of childhood ADHD and ASD in a dose-response fashion. Our findings support previous studies regarding the association between prenatal and perinatal acetaminophen exposure and childhood neurodevelopmental risk and warrant additional investigations.