Psionic Contact with UFOs near Skinwalker Ranch

flarkey

Senior Member.
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Here we have another video by one of the SkyWatcher HQ members Carl Crusher... what could they be .....?


Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dEdBSZRZg1w


Lets investigate.....

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Carl Crusher appears to be Carl Carl Andreasen - a father of three and (checks notes) "full time researcher and explorer of the mysteries of reality."

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https://www.imdb.com/name/nm14947965/
https://carlcrusher.com/

Anyway, back to the video. I initially saw it on this tweet by another psionic asset who calls himsef J2 ....



So the date of this is the weekend before 5 November 2025, near Skinwalker Ranch, Utah.

They look just like Starlink flares - can we get an exact match in Sitrec....?
 
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What is it about ranches and being hard to find

So far it seems Lightning Springs Ranch also calls it's AirBNB section 'Thunderstrike Ranch' (do you get it?) so the AirBNBs are likely located at Lightning Springs Ranch Utah

Try finding it on a map ;)

https://lightningspringsranch.com/
 
Here we have another video by one of the SkyWatcher HQ members Carl Crusher... what could they be .....?

Notice how the camera now and then gets wobbled....which I think is to try to hide that all the 'UFOs' are originating from the same 3 or 4 spots in the sky. I wonder...can anyone stabilise the video and show that more clearly.
 
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The whole video is out of focus, stars and sats are bokeh balls, also sped up.

The problem is getting an accurate starfield RA/Dec is a manual task because its too oof for astrometry.
 
Some Australian guy was arguing on /r/ufos that his sighting of criss-crossing lights above the horizon some time after sunset couldn't be Starlink flares because there weren't any Starlink satellites in the area at the time. Sir, there are 8,900 Starlink satellites alone in orbit, I assure you there were some where you were looking, there were some where these people were looking.
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Yeah the brighter stars in the video are Celebrai, Rasalgethi, and Kornephoros, and then a few others like 27/κ oph, 25/ι oph. Essentially looking due west, which could very well be 35-45º above the Sun depending on the day and time. To keep the sun below 35º and the stars still at least 5º above the horizon I think it can't be later than maybe the 2nd week of November. The earlier you go the later at night it must have been filmed and the higher in the sky the stars get. But also the earlier you go, the more misaligned the stars get with the vertical line of the sun, and they also eventually get too high in the sky. I'm thinking Oct 20 and Nov 10 as outer bounds. With a more likely range being around the middle of that. Like Oct 31 at 21:30 UTC-6. I think Battista has been to Carl's ranch several times judging by social media posts including early October, mid October, and early November, so it's hard to narrow it down just from that. The stars do need to be high enough to clear the mountain tops but that could still be a low angle depending on how far they are away.

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We know it's probably the weekend comprising 31 Oct, 1 Nov, 2 Nov around 8pm local or so. From social media.

I wish there was a goal seek sat config finder, you give it a position of 4 sats and it trys to find a time when that shape occurs.
 
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We know it's probably the weekend comprising 31 Oct, 1 Nov, 2 Nov around 8pm local or so. From social media.

I wish there was a goal seek sat config finder, you give it a position of 4 sats and it trys to find a time when that shape occurs.
Sunset ~ 18:20-18:30 according to https://www.timeanddate.com/sun/usa/salt-lake-city?month=10 , so I'm not sure there's enough time for the sun to have set low enough by 8pm. Closer to 10pm seems more reasonable.
 
Bob McGwier has joined the debate and asserts that there would not be multiple satellites visible at the same time, thus proving that the video must show things other than satellites. McGwier is a science advisor to Skywatcher (thus a colleague of Battista and "J2") and frequently promotes other very low-quality UFO content including clear videos of airplanes and satellites. He does have academic and professional experience in this domain, which he cites, including here.

But this seems incorrect. As Sitrec shows, and even Stellarium, which isn't as aware of "flaring satellites", confirms the simultaneous presence of numerous lit satellites in the region of sky in question. McGwier has a code project (https://github.com/n4hy/VisibleEphemerisCPP) he linked to which he is maybe basing this conclusion on. At a glance, it includes some math to calculate satellites which are lit by the sun while the observer is in darkness, but I think something has gone wrong somewhere leading him to think there are far fewer than there actually are. I haven't reviewed the code but maybe he is underestimating how bright "flaring satellites" appear. Or has the brightness or angle filters too constrained.


Source: https://x.com/BobMcGwier_N4HY/status/1995357839162757603

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We've demonstrated sitrec multiple times against real world video with known times and dates showing it accurately shows flaring satellites.

The videos here are also taken with low light cameras which may show more flares than the naked eye or flare models that assume default human vision.

There's one very simple way to check all of this and that is to give the exact time and date, for Bob to be so certain he must know this, and thus it cold be shared with us, it maybe he doesn't and then I'm not sure what he's being so confident about.

Even if sitrec shows more or less flares than we see in the video if each light corresponds to a satellite then they are star link and it's just the model for flare prediction is not 100% accurate in this case, possibly due to the camera.

So where is that date and time?
 
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At a glance, it includes some math to calculate satellites which are lit by the sun while the observer is in darkness, but I think something has gone wrong somewhere leading him to think there are far fewer than there actually are. I haven't reviewed the code but maybe he is underestimating how bright "flaring satellites" appear. Or has the brightness or angle filters too constrained.
"Lit by" and "flaring" are of course different things. A quick browse of the repo doesn't show anything that's obviously related to the size of the sun (I checked all references to "radius", "diameter", "width", "distance", "half", and of course "sun", etc.), and as that is a parameter which directly affects whether a satellite will be visibly flaring, if he thinks his code answers the question that people are asking, it *must* have that parameter in there somewhere. Alas the code base is a bit of a mess of magic numbers (I also grepped for 32 and nearby minutes values, and equivalent seconds ranges (19xx)), but the relevant number doesn't seem to be there anywhere. Can you ask him where it's parameterised?

Of course, he's making testable predictions - all we need to do is see if they're accurate or not. Maybe someone with a clear sky can grab a prediction from sitrec and from this software, and see which one actually corresponds to reality, as that is the ultimate arbiter.
 
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This might put a bound on the time of the video, we still don't know the date though.
 
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It's faint, but you can see a star that seems to match low on the horizon just through the cloud at points, so the upper time boundary would be this star dropping below the horizon, it seems they are on the flatter part of the plane and not up a mesa

The upper bound is probably a bit before 20:38, the video is around 16x speed based on star movement


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So with the video being ~16x speed we are looking at a 9 and a half minute timelapse (maybe 10 minutes with some framerate issue..)
 
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With a fair amount of effort I have been able to sync the video recorded by Mr. Battista to Starlink TLEs

I found a match by narrowing down the date and time parameters based on the position of stars relative to the frame, found a fairly distinctive cluster of lights and I then watched a slightly sped up replay of the nights movements of sats until a similar clustered pattern emerged and then I compared the movements of these lights and the sats and subsequent lights and sats to ensure a match.

I then used this specific timestamp with the real time videos to create a Sitrec of the matches, the full sped up version is very hard to sync because a slight frame-rate/speed up difference in video to sim time eventually puts it out of sync, because we don't know the exact real time period covered in the time-lapse, but it might be able to be worked out now.

This cluster of 5 sats is a match at and around 2025-11-01 03:35:11.73 UTC/Zulu (31 Oct 2025 21:35 MDT, 20:35 PDT)
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Here is the sitrec, it covers the latter portion of the realtime clip from "The Good Trouble Show", this is the portion of video after a slight cut in the original video at around 43 seconds in.

https://www.metabunk.org/sitrec/?custom=https://sitrec.s3.us-west-2.amazonaws.com/11433/bat sat 3 rt without cut/20251202_133417.js

You may have to click "Load LEO satellites for date" under the Satellites menu as Sitrec does not seem to be doing this for new link opens at the moment..

Using the real-time video allows me to set a sim speed of 1 and see the matching movements.

Simulation of Starlink flares is not an exact science and so the sim and the video are not a 100% match for every sat, some Starlinks are classified (https://www.spacex.com/starshield) and thus there are no TLE's for them, but this doesn't stop them showing up in videos. Also some sats show as being flares in sitrec but don't show in the video, there is a variety of reasons for this, but it all comes down to the model and reality not always quite matching up, Mick might be able to add more here.
 
This cluster of 5 sats is a match at and around 2025-11-01 03:35:11.73 UTC/Zulu (31 Oct 2025 21:35 MDT, 20:35 PDT)
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That's a great match visually, and gels with my "closer to 10pm" gut feel. Good find.

Simulation of Starlink flares is not an exact science and so the sim and the video are not a 100% match for every sat, some Starlinks are classified (https://www.spacex.com/starshield) and thus there are no TLE's for them, but this doesn't stop them showing up in videos. Also some sats show as being flares in sitrec but don't show in the video, there is a variety of reasons for this, but it all comes down to the model and reality not always quite matching up, Mick might be able to add more here.
ISTR that sitrec intentionally overstated the flaring case, so not seeing them all wouldn't be unexpected. I think Mick implied he was travelling presently, but given that he's explicitely namechecked in the video and the tweet, and in particular if the full deets were withheld, it might be nice if he made a little video about this case showing the side-by-side.
 
That's a great match visually, and gels with my "closer to 10pm" gut feel. Good find.


ISTR that sitrec intentionally overstated the flaring case, so not seeing them all wouldn't be unexpected. I think Mick implied he was travelling presently, but given that he's explicitely namechecked in the video and the tweet, and in particular if the full deets were withheld, it might be nice if he made a little video about this case showing the side-by-side.
I think I just got the local time-zone wrong initially, the actual time we were working from was always accurate as it was based on the stars, it's just the translation to local time that was wrong.
 
I think I just got the local time-zone wrong initially, the actual time we were working from was always accurate as it was based on the stars, it's just the translation to local time that was wrong.
Yeah - I had to check the "D" in "21:35 MDT" just now, as it seemed odd to me that last week was still DST, but indeed it was. It's always good to double-check such things. (And even better to scrap DST entirely :) )
 
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