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I'd say that's largely correct as those "centuries of hindsight" included a lot of what we now take for granted as science and technology. Our current understanding of the laws of nature and the development of human biology and culture have...

I really want to double down on this. For all the evidence we have, NHI belong to the category of mythological/folkloric entities as well, we simply don't have the benefit of centuries of hindsight. The "UAP Science Advisory Council" might as...

No I actually meant that even if we were to assume 80% of witnesses are credible, some people might argue that a certain percentage of those “credible” witnesses are also accurate in their descriptions.

There is a difference between: “I believe X is the best explanation at the moment,” and “X is an established certainty and all other possibilities are impossible.” That’s basic epistemic nuance. The alternative hypothesis, that there are no...

But I think people often approach this from the wrong perspective. I don't think only a handful of witnesses are credible—I think almost all witnesses are credible. The problem is that credibility does not imply reliability. Honest people can...

This is a bit of a tangent from the original discussion, but since so much of this thread has ended up revolving around eyewitness testimony, I think it's worth addressing. One point that keeps getting lost in these discussions is that honest...

IMHO, the statement: "absence of evidence is not evidence of absence" while logically true is not the absolute "get out of jail free" card that many "believers" seem to think it is. For 80 plus years we've been hearing that any day now, we are...

Yes, in any individual case. The weakness in the "you can't expect good pictures because people are surprised and need a moment to recover, think of their camera and pull it out" argument is that it has to work EVERY TIME. A similar argument...

Tim Printy's analysis of the Stephenville event and the MUFON report has been online for eighteen years, and yes, MUFON (or certain individuals associated with MUFON) have responded). Indeed, one individual from Texas MUFON was quite impressed...

What is a "true report" and can you point to one that came out of the New Jersey drone flap?

No indeed, I'm rather trying logic vs. the purely rethorical assertion you made: This assertion has exactly zero epistemological value, as demonstrated by the fact that you can change the subject at will to fairies, leprechauns, angels, demons...

Regarding what you said about the "amplitude" of what someone sees (I take that you mean the apparent size of the object), I would expect that most people seeing something very large, so, less likely to be a misinterpretation of something...

So you discount the possibility that we do not have authentic good pictures of truly anomalous objects because no truly anomalous objects exist?

It's literally the opposite of what my words mean... I don't discout that possibility, i litteraly do count that possibility as I said. I just think there are anomalous objects. Thats my opinion for now.

This is completely different to the recent Jersey Drone flap, where hundreds of witnesses posted their video clips directly to the internet (YouTube, TikTok, Facebook, ecetera), and there was very little apparent hesitation on the part of...