Latest activity

Would this apply to announcing that the next interstellar comet is a spaceship (like the last ones)? If so, I wish them luck getting compliance.

No I actually meant that even if we were to assume 80% of witnesses are credible, some people might argue that a certain percentage of those “credible” witnesses are also accurate in their descriptions.

@Gary C What: The International Academy of Astronautics (IAA) has ratified updated protocols governing how scientists evaluate, verify, and announce evidence of extraterrestrial intelligence. This policy concerns an official body making...

But I think people often approach this from the wrong perspective. I don't think only a handful of witnesses are credible—I think almost all witnesses are credible. The problem is that credibility does not imply reliability. Honest people can...

That channel is pretty much white noise, isn't it?

I doubt it, the actions were too forced. The Navy forcing the Patent office to register it is just too obvious. It almost seems like Pais was used by the Navy to divert attention. But I wouldn't be surprised if it was some or other...

But it isn't. You claimed, and agreed to the interpretation when pressed, that it was the difficulty of obtaining good evidence that explains why there is no good evidence. Mauro's now pressing you on the alternative explanation that there are in...

This is a bit of a tangent from the original discussion, but since so much of this thread has ended up revolving around eyewitness testimony, I think it's worth addressing. One point that keeps getting lost in these discussions is that honest...

IMHO, the statement: "absence of evidence is not evidence of absence" while logically true is not the absolute "get out of jail free" card that many "believers" seem to think it is. For 80 plus years we've been hearing that any day now, we are...

Tim Printy's analysis of the Stephenville event and the MUFON report has been online for eighteen years, and yes, MUFON (or certain individuals associated with MUFON) have responded). Indeed, one individual from Texas MUFON was quite impressed...

Calls to mind one of Ronald Reagan's favorite jokes, here abbreviated as much as I can without losing the point... One must admire the optimism of the UFO believers, I guess... however unfounded the underlying assumption.

There is a difference between: “I believe X is the best explanation at the moment,” and “X is an established certainty and all other possibilities are impossible.” That’s basic epistemic nuance. The alternative hypothesis, that there are no...

Variations on the theme ...

But I think people often approach this from the wrong perspective. I don't think only a handful of witnesses are credible—I think almost all witnesses are credible. The problem is that credibility does not imply reliability. Honest people can...

I see a possible reason, rare phenomena.