Looking at that remarkable curve for Hubei (China) in post #101 above, I think we should note that even inside China doubts have been publicly expressed about the official figures. Today's UK Sunday Times (sorry, paywalled), page 19, reports that
According to Beijing, 2,535 people died in the central Chinese city [Wuhan] from the virus. But a picture published by Caixin, an independent news website, showed 3,500 urns stacked in just one of Wuhan's eight funeral homes, although it was unclear how many contained ashes. [Also, I note, unclear how many of the dead had died from causes other than COVID-19.] Caixin reported that 5,000 urns had been delivered to the establishment on Wednesday and Thursday.
http://photos.caixin.com/2020-03-26/101534542_7.html#pictureReport of Urns Stacked at Wuhan Funeral Homes Raises Questions About the Real Coronavirus Death Toll in China
BY BLOOMBERG MARCH 27, 2020
The long lines and stacks of ash urns greeting family members of the dead at funeral homes in Wuhan are spurring questions about the true scale of coronavirus casualties at the epicenter of the outbreak, renewing pressure on a Chinese government struggling to control its containment narrative.
Outside one funeral home, trucks shipped in about 2,500 urns on both Wednesday and Thursday, according to Chinese media outlet Caixin. Another picture published by Caixin showed 3,500 urns stacked on the ground inside. It’s unclear how many of the urns had been filled.
In the funeral home, more than a dozen male staff members came to the truck to move the piles of ashes to the side hall of Jingya Hall for storage. There were 7 stacks for every 500. Photo / Caixin reporter Bao Zhiming
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