UAP Predictions for Next Two years

[Todd Feinman]

So, as skeptics, do you all have predictions about the UAP situation for the next two years?
I'd guess it would be:

1. Grusch and other whistleblowers will fade away, with nothing coming of it.
2. No real evidence will come out for anomalous objects.
3. Future releases of material from government agencies will be more birds, balloons, and bokeh.
4. The Calvine photo(s) will prove to be a reflection in water or a model.

 

[Mendel]

So, as skeptics, do you all have predictions about the UAP situation for the next two years?
I'd guess it would be:

1. Grusch and other whistleblowers will fade away, with nothing coming of it.
2. No real evidence will come out for anomalous objects.
3. Future releases of material from government agencies will be more birds, balloons, and bokeh.
4. The Calvine photo(s) will prove to be a reflection in water or a model.

Disagree with 1
Agree with 2 (any timeframe)
3 will depend on the timeframe, but multi-sensor platforms like AARO has been developing should be ready to deploy soon, and their LIZ might be something different than what we're used to
4 I expect Calvine stays unresolved, the information we have is insufficient to "prove" anything. We'd need a "confession" of some sort for closure.

- UFOlogy will make more inroads into academia. I was shocked two years (?) ago when a professor who had published against bad science endorsed a paper on "plasma" based on misinterpreted old NASA footage. If you communicate UFOlogy in scientific terms, scientists can easily be misled (and go on to mislead others).

- drone flaps are here to stay for the near future

- we may encounter a well-made AI-generated hoax in the next 3 years, which will haunt us for the next 30 years

- there may be more high-altitude balloon sightings/incidents

 

[Todd Feinman]

Nice! I agree with most of that, except for 2, of course. Although I think it's very probable that evidence to convince skeptics may not show up, but sightings will continue.