I know this is repeating the point, but if you read the testimony by Douglas Kurth. And the timing of his fly over, circling and heading off as the disturbance cleared when he looked back. Marry that with the disturbance also clearing according to Fravors testimony when he looked back after the object shot by.
I cannot see many other logical conclusions other than the Tic Tac was Douglas Kurth's jet. Especially since there is no mention from Fravor or Alex about seeing Douglas.
"As Cheeks approached the spot he was being vectored to,
Princeton advised him to stay above 10K as the section of Super Hornets were approaching the target. His radar picked up the FASTEAGLE two-ship, but no other contacts. A moment later
Princeton directed him to “skip it” and return to the ship. Since he was so close, he decided to fly over the action and sneak a peek.
The sea was calm, almost glassy smooth and it was late morning on a beautiful SoCal day. Perfect conditions. As Cheeks flew over the spot he saw a disturbance on the surface of the ocean. A round section of turbulent water about 50-100 meters in diameter. It was the only area and type of what he called, “whitewater” describing that it looked as if there was something below the surface like a shoal or what he’d heard a ship sinking rapidly would look like.
He overflew the disturbance and circled back in the direction of
Nimitz without ever seeing what caused the water to froth. As he turned away, which happened to be the moment the Super Hornets converged on the location, the whitewater cleared and the ocean surface returned to its smooth state. The spot of the previous disturbance was completely indiscernible."
Source:
https://sofrep.com/fightersweep/x-files-edition/