Claim: Musk got the 150 yr old SS recipients figure from COBOL's default date of 1875

he is not saying that some data entry person purposefully made the dead person alive so they could then apply for ss and steal money.

at least i dont think anyone but you thinks that. i could be wrong.
I guess we aren't communicating well if you think that I am claiming that a data entry person is resurrecting dead people to steal social security money. Sheesh.

It's ok that you are wrong. As Musk himself said, nobody will bat a thousand.
 
No. I don't know anything about cobol or 1875 and I have seen no compelling evidence that COBOL dating is the issue here. I don't know why there would be listings of 150 year old people, as there are no people in this country over 115 years old. I look forward to hearing why they are there and if it is fraud.
well thats what you are responding to...if you hit the little arrow next to our names in the replies you can trace back the convo of what you are commenting on
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I would argue he has a responsibility, perhaps even a legal one, to do so.
I'm not a lawyer, but I do believe he should be legally obligated to let us know.

Congress is charged by the Constitution with the "power of the purse" so it should be officially reported to them to rectify through legal means.
This is where arguments are currently being held and the courts will let us know. The Impoundment Control Act was passed in 1974 which basically says Congress holds budget and spending authority which cannot be overruled by the Executive. However, other Acts say the opposite lol our government...

External Quote:
An impoundment is an executive refusal to spend funds appropriated by Congress. Although U.S. presidents historically impounded funds with some regularity, Congress curtailed this practice by statute after President Nixon abused it. As amended over time, the Impoundment Control Act of 1974 (ICA) now limits the executive branch's authority to decline to spend or commit to spending funds that Congress has appropriated.
At the same time, other statutes do the opposite: While the ICA forbids officials from refusing to use funds in an appropriation, other laws bar them from spending, or even committing to spend, money without one. In particular, the Anti-Deficiency Act, a law enacted in the 19th century and strengthened over time, makes such action unlawful—and sometimes even criminal.
Current law thus often catches the executive branch in a vise: Presidents can neither spend money without an appropriation nor refuse to spend funds once Congress has provided them. From both directions, Congress has reinforced its "power of the purse"—its authority to control the use of federal money.
https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/a-primer-on-the-impoundment-control-act
 
youre the one who said entries. but i accept you didnt mean that.
Ok. I see the confusion. I should have said that the entries are implying fraud, rather than the entries themselves are fraudulent.

If there are real entries that people who are 150 years old are receiving social security benefits (and presumably cashing in?) then that is potential evidence of fraud, but not proof. It is possible there is a non-fraudulent explanation for this, and there should be due diligence on this prior to implying fraud. I agree the information should be given to the appropriate authorities to look into this.

But I would also say that the way Musk is presenting this to the public is not the appropriate way and is intended to manipulate public emotion and perception of the government. He is couching it all in "transparency" claims, but there are valid reasons to not submit unfinished work for public consumption.
 
Fair enough. I look forward to hearing about this showing up on the FBI's desk to investigate.
or the inspector general. i'm ASSUMING the inspector general cant make arrests themselves, but maybe they can? so dont quote me on the fbi. i know bank fraud etc goes to the fbi.

Article:
The Inspector General Act of 1978, as amended, allows the Office of the Inspector General (OIG) at the Social Security Administration (SSA) to collect your information, which OIG may use to investigate alleged fraud, waste, abuse, and misconduct related to SSA programs and operations. Providing the information is voluntary, but not providing all or part of the information may limit our ability to conduct a complete investigation. As law permits, we may use and share the information you submit, including with other Federal and local government agencies, and others, as outlined in the routine uses within System of Records Notices (SORN) OIG-001 and OIG-002, available at www.ssa.gov/privacy. When appropriate, the information you submit may also be provided to the SSA for use in computer matching programs to establish or verify eligibility for SSA programs and to recoup debts under these programs. All SSA SORNs are also available at www.ssa.gov/privacy .
 
In the tweet I quoted in post #15, Mr. Musk made it clear that he thought having an entry in the Master Beneficiary Record (MBR) with dead people not being marked as dead meant "a lot" of them were receiving benefits and joked about them being vampires.
External Quote:
According to the Social Security database, these are the numbers of people in each age bucket with the death field set to FALSE!

Maybe Twilight is real and there are a lot of vampires collecting Social Security
Source: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1891350795452654076

In the tweet @deirdre posted he re-enforces that.
External Quote:
Having tens of millions of people marked in Social Security as "ALIVE" when they are definitely dead is a HUGE problem.
Source: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1891557463377490431

In post #15 I quoted people speculating about dependents still receiving benefits through dead relatives/spouses but that is irrelevant to these claims, which are focused on the fact that the records show dead people as being alive. That means the concern is people fraudulently collecting benefits for dead people (or vampires exist).

In post #18 I quoted from an OASI ruling showing benefits are automatically suspended then terminated for whereabouts unknown, and the SSA Program Operations Manual System and FY2017 Budget Justification showing they have an automated system in place to terminate benefits from people 115+ to help prevent this exact kind of fraud.
External Quote:
In September 2015, we released software for Phase 2, which reduces opportunities to commit fraud by resuming and redirecting benefits on suspended claims through automation for beneficiaries that do not have a date of death reported on the Master Beneficiary Record
(MBR)
and there are no additional beneficiaries in non-terminated payment status on the MBR.
Source: https://www.ssa.gov/budget/assets/materials/2017/2017FCJ.pdf

In post #49 @TheCholla posted some actual numbers for people aged 99+ and 105+
This report from 2023 talks about this, mention that 98% of the registered people born in 1920 or earlier (105+) are not receiving SSA payments (footnote 7):
https://oig.ssa.gov/assets/uploads/a-06-21-51022.pdf

That makes for ~44,000 people receiving it (from which a good part aren't dead).

This table from December 2024 also lists ~89,000 SSA beneficiaries of age 99+:
https://www.ssa.gov/oact/progdata/benefits/ra_age202412.html

I'm not going to speculate on his motives, but Mr. Musk made an extremely inaccurate claim, apparently based on assuming the fact that dead people who are marked as alive in the MBR means other people are fraudulently receiving benefits for millions of them.
 
GIven that Musk has said that they're "definitely dead", I'm not sure what you're trying to debunk.
I agree. So he is basically asserting that because no one is that old then it must be fraudulent but he has provided no actual evidence of fraud. He is hoping that the assertion itself will sway the American people to assume fraud and thus validate his actions.

I have also read that the SS system does not give payments out to anyone listed older than 115, so even if there are listings with ages over that they won't be receiving payments and thus no money is being outlayed. Would the system has fraud prevention built in but he didn't mention that along with his assertion, possibly on purpose.
 
I have also read that the SS system does not give payments out to anyone listed older than 115, so even if there are listings with ages over that they won't be receiving payments and thus no money is being outlayed.
Can you provide evidence please?
 
Can you provide evidence please?
According to this site:

https://secure.ssa.gov/poms.nsf/lnx/0202602578

(Emphasis mine)

A. Overview of the age 115 or older termination process

Effective September 2015, the Social Security Administration (SSA) implemented an automated process in which the Regular Transcript Attainment and Selection Pass (RETAP) application selects records for which the Title II beneficiary is:


  • Age 115 or older;

  • In any current continuous suspense for seven years or more; and

  • Entitled on a record where there are no other beneficiaries in a non-terminated status younger than the age of 115.
The Title II Redesign (T2R) system automatically selects and terminates entitlement to beneficiaries meeting the criteria in this section on a monthly basis using Ledger Account File (LAF) T9 and Reason for Suspension or Termination (RFST) of AGETRM.
 
I have also read that the SS system does not give payments out to anyone listed older than 115, so even if there are listings with ages over that they won't be receiving payments and thus no money is being outlayed.
Age 115 is not a hard cut-off for receiving benefits, if anyone actually did live long. There's just an automated process that runs that will look for people 115+ that have not been receiving benefits for seven years and have no dependents still receiving benefits, and it terminate their benefits. This prevents people from going and using the automated system to reactivate the dead folk's benefits and adding new dependents, etc, which could have previously been possible because they were not marked dead in the db.
 
Age 115 is not a hard cut-off for receiving benefits, if anyone actually did live long. There's just an automated process that runs that will look for people 115+ that have not been receiving benefits for seven years and have no dependents still receiving benefits, and it terminate their benefits. This prevents people from going and using the automated system to reactivate the dead folk's benefits and adding new dependents, etc, which could have previously been possible because they were not marked dead in the db.
But does it dispel the idea that there are checks going out to people whose database entries indicate they are 150 years old and that these checks are being cashed, thus costing the taxpayer money?

I would argue that Musk at least implied, if not outright stated, this and that is fraud that his organization has rooted out.

I am interested in that particular claim/implied accusation.
 
But does it dispel the idea that there are checks going out to people whose database entries indicate they are 150 years old and that these checks are being cashed, thus costing the taxpayer money?

I would argue that Musk at least implied, if not outright stated, this and that is fraud that his organization has rooted out.

I am interested in that particular claim/implied accusation.
Agree. I don't think there are many if any 150 year old people still receiving benefits (or people receiving it for them). Based on the numbers @TheCholla posted there are only ~44,000 105+ year olds still on the the doll.
 
ok she might have got that number from elon as he posted this earlier that day. (i guess he assumes everyone older than 100 is dead. but "tens" is really 20. looking at his chart) and she misspoke about what elon was claiming.


Source: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1891557463377490431

By the way, what is the table actually of? It surely isn't a list of social security recipients. Two reasons: it includes babies, children and other ages not associated with those eligible to receive social security benefits. It also looks to sum to a number larger than the current population of the country.

Can anyone clear this up or provide a source for this table he is presenting in the context of "millions of people" receiving SS benefits who shouldn't?
 
By the way, what is the table actually of? It surely isn't a list of social security recipients. Two reasons: it includes babies, children and other ages not associated with those eligible to receive social security benefits. It also looks to sum to a number larger than the current population of the country.

Can anyone clear this up or provide a source for this table he is presenting in the context of "millions of people" receiving SS benefits who shouldn't?
yea through age 99 there are 377,626,689 so...like 42 million off. hhmmm..

i checked, illegal immigrants and greencard holders etc are counted in population numbers.
but if there are approx 20 million people over 100 still alive..chances are there are alot of dead people in the lower ages too.
 
Without knowing which databases were queried, and the search parameters used, the table does not support any conclusions regarding fraud, waste, or abuse, including Musk's.
1. Which data sets were accessed?
2. What queries were run?
3. How were the results aggregated?
 
By the way, what is the table actually of? It surely isn't a list of social security recipients. Two reasons: it includes babies, children and other ages not associated with those eligible to receive social security benefits. It also looks to sum to a number larger than the current population of the country.
I think everyone born gets enrolled in the MBR. I am not 100% on that maybe someone who knows more can correct me if that is wrong.
 
There were some articles about this in the mainstream press that I don't think anyone linked! :)

AP News fact check from February 19:
External Quote:

So are tens of millions of people over 100 years old receiving benefits?

No.

Part of the confusion comes from Social Security's software system based on the COBOL programming language, which has a lack of date type. This means that some entries with missing or incomplete birthdates will default to a reference point of more than 150 years ago. The news organization WIRED first reported on the use of COBOL programming language at the Social Security Administration.

Additionally, a series of reports from the Social Security Administration's inspector general in March 2023 and July 2024 state that the agency has not established a new system to properly annotate death information in its database, which included roughly 18.9 million Social Security numbers of people born in 1920 or earlier but were not marked as deceased. This does not mean, however, that these individuals were receiving benefits.

The agency decided not to update the database because of the cost to do so, which would run upward of $9 million.

A July 2023 Social Security OIG report states that "almost none of the numberholders discussed in the report currently receive SSA payments." And, as of September 2015, the agency automatically stops payments to people who are older than 115 years old.
New York Times article from February 19 (paywalled):
External Quote:

As the Department of Government Efficiency has pursued access to sensitive personal information held by the Social Security Administration, Elon Musk and President Trump have said they suspect tens of millions of dead people may be receiving fraudulent payments from the government.

The claim, which would presumably require living people to ultimately cash those checks, is rooted in an arcane problem: Among the more than 500 million unique Social Security numbers the agency has ever issued, there are millions of people in its records who were born more than a century ago but who have no recorded deaths.

That nettlesome issue, however, is largely unrelated to the question of who receives Social Security checks today. The agency publishes public data about those beneficiaries, including by age. And there simply aren't tens of millions of people receiving retirement checks who appear over the age of 100. There are at most 90,000 of them: [chart]
That last link is accessible from this page on the SSA website.
 
"Social Security", money given to retirees. The fund was established by taking money FROM people's paychecks while they work, then doling it out monthly after their retirement; in other words it's our money. It has long been eyed greedily by some in the government.

You would think that the system was set up so that the money you contributed would be "kept and invested and then later returned" but payments are made out of current contributions and only some of that amount is a surplus. This surplus only exists until 2033 or so (depending upon what is changed by the legislators and the trustees). Currently there isn't any plan to address this upcoming shortfall.
 
What they really need is a field which contains one of three values: "Alive", "Dead", "Unverfied Dead". Changing their database and all of the code would be a huge undertaking (pun nintendoed)...

The interesting part would be the procedures and training involved. "Question for beneficiary: Are you alive?", etc., etc...
 
There were some articles about this in the mainstream press that I don't think anyone linked! :)

AP News fact check from February 19:
External Quote:

So are tens of millions of people over 100 years old receiving benefits?

No.

Part of the confusion comes from Social Security's software system based on the COBOL programming language, which has a lack of date type. This means that some entries with missing or incomplete birthdates will default to a reference point of more than 150 years ago. The news organization WIRED first reported on the use of COBOL programming language at the Social Security Administration.

Additionally, a series of reports from the Social Security Administration's inspector general in March 2023 and July 2024 state that the agency has not established a new system to properly annotate death information in its database, which included roughly 18.9 million Social Security numbers of people born in 1920 or earlier but were not marked as deceased. This does not mean, however, that these individuals were receiving benefits.

The agency decided not to update the database because of the cost to do so, which would run upward of $9 million.

A July 2023 Social Security OIG report states that "almost none of the numberholders discussed in the report currently receive SSA payments." And, as of September 2015, the agency automatically stops payments to people who are older than 115 years old.
New York Times article from February 19 (paywalled):
External Quote:

As the Department of Government Efficiency has pursued access to sensitive personal information held by the Social Security Administration, Elon Musk and President Trump have said they suspect tens of millions of dead people may be receiving fraudulent payments from the government.

The claim, which would presumably require living people to ultimately cash those checks, is rooted in an arcane problem: Among the more than 500 million unique Social Security numbers the agency has ever issued, there are millions of people in its records who were born more than a century ago but who have no recorded deaths.

That nettlesome issue, however, is largely unrelated to the question of who receives Social Security checks today. The agency publishes public data about those beneficiaries, including by age. And there simply aren't tens of millions of people receiving retirement checks who appear over the age of 100. There are at most 90,000 of them: [chart]
That last link is accessible from this page on the SSA website.
The way I understand it is not that the SSA is sending out retirement checks to millions of dead people, it's that other systems depend on the SSA system for verifying someone's status. So fraudsters are impersonating these dead people (and newly born people) and defrauding other systems, like Medicaid and the Small Business Administration. Example from DOGE: fraudsters will steal a baby's SS number or a dead person's SS number and take out a loan with the SBA on their behalf. Musk explained this in his podcast with Joe Rogan. The DOGE team also talked about this in their interview with Brett Baier.

Separate but relevant: DOGE also said they have assessed that ~40% of the customer service phone calls to SSA are fraudulent. It's fraudsters trying to change someone else's bank account so they receive their retirement check.

I recommend watching the Bret Baier interview with DOGE:

Source: https://youtu.be/l7kQNwJ4H_w?si=5NhAlW_vfCQJ8h02&t=1
 
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The way I understand it is not that the SSA is sending out retirement checks to millions of dead people

But the statement was precisely that "there are tens of millions of deceased people who are receiving fraudulent social security payments".

So are you misunderstanding Leavitt et al., or instead deliberately ignoring the official statements for the provable nonsense that they are?
 
It's amazing how dumb Musk can be at times.
It's almost as if it would have been better to install a person who knew something about how
government works, if you were serious about intelligently reducing gov spending.
 
But the statement was precisely that "there are tens of millions of deceased people who are receiving fraudulent social security payments".

So are you misunderstanding Leavitt et al., or instead deliberately ignoring the official statements for the provable nonsense that they are?
I don't remember Leavitt's statement, as this was almost 3 months ago, but at that time even they probably didn't fully understand what was going on. I haven't heard anyone recently say these dead people were receiving retirement checks. It seems to me the understanding is what I posted above.

My position though is instead of pointing fingers at the people trying to fix the system and attacking them with useless "gotchas", we should embrace the fact that these things are being fixed. It seems as though there are many/some entitlement recipients being ripped off by fraudsters. DOGE aims to fix that and I appreciate it.
 
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No. In fact, I even agreed to an earlier poster that said he/she is skeptical that the SSA is actually sending checks to these dead people.

I'd be more interested in the claim in the title of this thread. I have no doubt that the Social Security system identifies 150 year old people as eligible for payment, but I'm skeptical that that the SSA is actually sending them checks. All it takes is a zero in the birth date field and you're suddenly listed as 150 years old.
I agree with this.

Yet another baseless accusation against me in these threads. Shocker..
 
Yet another baseless accusation against me in these threads. Shocker..
The paragraph you quoted makes no reference to you at all, so how can it be an accusation against you? You're tilting at non-existent windmills. If you're trying to ingratiate yourself as a good-faith contributor to this discussion, you're going about it in a terribly inefficient way.
 
What they really need is a field which contains one of three values: "Alive", "Dead", "Unverfied Dead". Changing their database and all of the code would be a huge undertaking (pun nintendoed)...
But it's not the purpose of the database.
The database needs a field "receives benefits (y/n)" and related information like reason, amount, end date etc. When a person dies, set "receives benefits" to "no", done.

It may make sense to keep "dead" people in the database. For example, if a person has been missing and declared dead, but later turns up, it'd be good if their social security records were still there.
 
The paragraph you quoted makes no reference to you at all, so how can it be an accusation against you? You're tilting at non-existent windmills. If you're trying to ingratiate yourself as a good-faith contributor to this discussion, you're going about it in a terribly inefficient way.
I respect the intelligence of anyone reading this to see that Mauro implied I was moving the goalposts.
 
But it's not the purpose of the database.
The database needs a field "receives benefits (y/n)" and related information like reason, amount, end date etc. When a person dies, set "receives benefits" to "no", done.

It may make sense to keep "dead" people in the database. For example, if a person has been missing and declared dead, but later turns up, it'd be good if their social security records were still there.
The point of the SSA system kind of is to keep individuals records, though, right? They have birth date and SS number. I agree with what you're saying about the benefits and if I were designing the database, I would have a separate Benefits table with all that information in it. But whatever table stores the birth date should also have a death date. And I do agree with having some type of status along with these date fields.
 
I respect the intelligence of anyone reading this to see that Mauro implied I was moving the goalposts.
It's possible he meant DOGE was moving the goalposts. DOGE initially made the statement about their being many dead people receiving payments and then changed it to the argument you have given below.

The way I understand it is not that the SSA is sending out retirement checks to millions of dead people, it's that other systems depend on the SSA system for verifying someone's status. So fraudsters are impersonating these dead people (and newly born people) and defrauding other systems, like Medicaid and the Small Business Administration. Example from DOGE: fraudsters will steal a baby's SS number or a dead person's SS number and take out a loan with the SBA on their behalf.
When you say, they are depend on SSA systems to verify their status, what do you mean? The status of what?
 
as legal real people (eligible for what they are applying for). vs fake names or illegal immigrants or foreigners living in another country etc.
So SSA verify it's a real person, but not whether or not the person is dead? That's the argument.
 
It's possible he meant DOGE was moving the goalposts. DOGE initially made the statement about their being many dead people receiving payments and then changed it to the argument you have given below.


When you say, they are depend on SSA systems to verify their status, what do you mean? The status of what?
Whether the person is "valid" (legal citizen, valid recipient of whatever entitlements, still living, etc). And, according to DOGE, the SSA system is the source of this information and all other gov't entities that need to verify individuals talk to SSA for that verification. DOGE doesn't go into the technical details of how this works, understandably because it's probably a security risk. But essentially, they're saying a gov't entity will ask SSA "is this person valid?", the person may meet all of the other requirements (legal citizen, valid recipient, etc) but they are dead and SSA shows them as alive so SSA returns "yes". Seems like a simple issue that should have been addressed long ago.. but was not, according to DOGE.

So, it sounds like fraudsters may be aware of this flaw and they call Medicare, SBA, etc. impersonating dead people and then... evil stuff.
 
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So, it sounds like fraudsters may be aware of this flaw and they call Medicare, SBA, etc. impersonating dead people and then... evil stuff.
"It sounds like" it could happen, but is it happening? If the chaos and disruption DOGE has caused is fixing problems that sound like they might be happening but in fact are not, that seems to be a case of cost exceeding benefit. If it is happening but very rarely, it seems likely that the cost in chaos exceeds possible benefit. If it is widespread, then at some point it can be argued that what is gained by shutting it down exceeds the cost of the chaos.

But is there data on whether it is happening, and if so how widespread it is?
 
"It sounds like" it could happen, but is it happening? If the chaos and disruption DOGE has caused is fixing problems that sound like they might be happening but in fact are not, that seems to be a case of cost exceeding benefit. If it is happening but very rarely, it seems likely that the cost in chaos exceeds possible benefit. If it is widespread, then at some point it can be argued that what is gained by shutting it down exceeds the cost of the chaos.

But is there data on whether it is happening, and if so how widespread it is?
All we can point to at this time is what DOGE has stated. They said they have assessed that ~40% of calls to SSA are fraudulent calls. How did they assess that? I don't know. But I have no reason not to trust this. Yes, I'd rather see the data but my default position is not going to be that they are lying. Hopefully, at some point, when the DOGE initiative has ran its course, each department will present their findings, changes, etc. Until then, I'm not going to be cynical about it for no reason.
 
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