That's probably the topic for a new thread.Can the "initiation" be modeled?
That's probably the topic for a new thread.Can the "initiation" be modeled?
I agree... The problem would be that the model would require fire/heat to initiate the "changes" in the structure causing top to collapse. So I suppose the columns could be maybe candles (not lit) and some sort of fire was started which leads to melting of the candle columns... buckle and the floors they supported collapse... MaybeThat's probably the topic for a new thread.
Dude, I've only been here a couple of months and I've already seen people nuking toilets - for science! I have faith in the creativity hereabouts.I agree... The problem would be that the model would require fire/heat to initiate the "changes" in the structure causing top to collapse. So I suppose the columns could be maybe candles (not lit) and some sort of fire was started which leads to melting of the candle columns... buckle and the floors they supported collapse... Maybe
One challenge would be sudden onset. The WTC collapses were characterized by a gradual shifting of loads between columns. As a column became weaker from heat, or was pulled pout of line by sagging floors, the load it carries was shifted by the stiffness of the upper structure (including the hat truss) to the other columns.I agree... The problem would be that the model would require fire/heat to initiate the "changes" in the structure causing top to collapse. So I suppose the columns could be maybe candles (not lit) and some sort of fire was started which leads to melting of the candle columns... buckle and the floors they supported collapse... Maybe
That could be a bit of an understatement.A more accurate version with sagging floors pulling in the outer walls, would be challenging.
FatPhil agrees the type but opens the door for other heat weakening materials:So I suppose the columns could be maybe candles (not lit) and some sort of fire was started which leads to melting of the candle columns...
Neither Jeffrey nor FatPhil at this stage suggest a physical layout. Mick does suggest an initial idea for physical layout of a model - essentially the same as my own diagram - but suggests removing columns as the approach to cascading failure:Solder's weak, in particular for its weight, and melts at a lowish temperature, perhaps that might be a useful construction component.
This is the diagram I used for explanation/teaching. With "heat triggering". It could be made to sort of work using candles.View attachment 43672
you can keep removing columns and at some point all the remaining ones will fail rapidly, leading to a bit or tipping, ..
Why speculate?How the heat might have destroyed the core's integrity. << Why speculate - we know the core's integrity was destroyed?
I suggest we consider that the "destroyer" of the core's integrity were the lateral beams inside and bracing the core. << Even if that is true (I doubt it) why do we need to go there?
My guess is that the upper block was rapidly hollowed out leaving the unstable box of the perimeter with no core side floor plates to brace it.. and sufficient lateral forces to break it free from the lower section. << That speculation is not even clear as to what you intend.
can't see much going on in the core.... so it's "speculation" regardless of much sense it may make.Why speculate?
But this is a new thread - established to discuss your suggestion about modelling the "initiation" of WTC Twin Towers collapses. You suggested "candes" as an apparent means of modelling heated columns.. or so I thought. So in effect the thread is YOUR OP.can't see much going on in the core.... so it's "speculation" regardless of much sense it may make.
Nooo!! I DO see heat as the drive POST plane strike... The heat was "diddling" with the structure... And I believe this was principally in the core... Essentially the head cause beam expansion which caused them to push on the columns... those columns which had lost restraint on one side were able to be pushed to THAT side leading to loss of bearing between the pushed column and the one below. Columns were "restrained" the locations over their 36' length... where the floors were framed to the sides of columns via the bracing.But this is a new thread - established to discuss your suggestion about modelling the "initiation" of WTC Twin Towers collapses. You suggested "candes" as an apparent means of modelling heated columns.. or so I thought. So in effect the thread is YOUR OP.
Any chance you can agree the scope of discussion OR explicitly re-state what YOU see as the topic.
IF you prefer to deny the key part played by heat triggered cascading failure of columns I will be interested to see reasoned argument.
Rejection noted.Nooo!!
So you agree the general principle BUT deny the specific focus I placed on cascading failure of columns?I DO see heat as the drive POST plane strike... The heat was "diddling" with the structure...
And I believe this was principally in the core...
Yes. That is the question we are discussing. And SPECIFICALLY how did they fail in the "initiation" stage.. your OP, your suggestion of topic.Things fall in building as in the twin towers because the columns are no longer holding up what they were supposed to... all loads make their way to columns and to the foundations....
The question really is how did the columns fail?
No it wasn't. "ROOSD" was part of "progression stage". We are discussing "initiation". And the mechanisms of both stages (or all three stages actually) were very different.Or was the initiation like the ROOSD the collapse was the floors and contents which buster by the columns?
I am not sure... And it may be both!
We are not discussing WTC7 and we are not discussing the two examples you raise UNLESS you put them in the context of your alternate explanation of Twin Towers "initiation stage".Loads are not magically appearing. But they possibly might appear where they weren't designed to. Example.... if an area of a floor is carried by a steel beam which gets very heated and does one of two things...
a) it buckles and the floor and contents collapse down to the floor below... or...
b) the beam expands and gets pushed off its "seat" as we were told happened in 7wtc...the heated beams pushed girder off seat at col 79 and the whole shebang (floor around the column) collapsed.
We are told that after that happened the column bucked absent lateral bracing. That seems a bit old unless it was many floor collapses.
So you are disagreeing with the point I identify as the key feature of the Twin Towers "initiation" stage. Columns failed in axial overload as a consequence of heat weakening. AND it became a "cascading (sequenced) failure driven by load re-distribution". I'm prepared to prove my point - or as many points as needed to establish the hypothesis. BUT it means that we - or at least you and I - have some preliminary issues to resolve before we can contribute to discussion of modelling. We must agree what mechanism we need to model. OR we build (AKA "discuss building") TWO very different models.So.... I like the runaway floor collapse idea ....caused by heat displacing/expanding and weakening beams to the point of collapse.... leading to a large dynamic load to the floor below and that failing because.... it was over loaded... wash, rinse repeat.
I rather doubt heat weakened columns to the point of buckling.
I suggest there is more than enough information for the Twin Towers collapses for the single purpose we have - "Decide how the collapse initiated"There might be some clues in what was found in the other structures which burned out of control and had local collapses and beam failures like 6wtc I believe.
- Yes. That was the starting point of discussion;Heat was the driver... what how did it make things drop? Count the ways! Shakespeare.
or the writer of that sonnet.AFAIK Shakespeare, W is not a member
Yeah, but my rules discourage it, as it's not conducive to discussion.Roberts Rules of Order states that humor is never out of order
This thread is about modeling the initiation. If you really think that thermal expansion pushed the columns out of alignment in a significant then suggest how that might be modeled (hint: with great difficulty)My suggestion is that the lateral elements' heating led to the buckling of the axial structures. I referenced this "process" which NIST identified as a cause for column failure in 7wtc... the heating of beams and girders led to column failure. In 7wtc there was no claim that heat weakened the column sufficiently for it to fail. NO I am not changing the topic to a discussion of 7wtc.
One take away from the Caddington study was that when the steel beams and girders endured heat and in the case where there were columns which were "unrestained"... the beams and girder would push the columns leading to axial mis alignment and failure. The heat also weakened slabs so that they lost integrity and fractured as well.
Of course the thread is not about what happened but modelling a top down driven collapse.Yeah, but my rules discourage it, as it's not conducive to discussion.
This thread is about modeling the initiation. If you really think that thermal expansion pushed the columns out of alignment in a significant then suggest how that might be modeled (hint: with great difficulty)
From my perspective, the purpose of a physical model is illustrative, not investigative. Largely because it's impossible for a physical scale model of such a large structure to be built by an individual in such a way that it encompasses all the elements of the collapse initiation. So instead we can seek to illustrate the answer to questions like: "why didn't the top tip over and fall off" or "why didn't the top gradually sink one floor" or maybe even "why did the antenna fall before the roofline?"
I think it's a significantly more challenging task than the collapse progression model.
Ooops... never gave it a thought. Being a philistine engineer I wouldn't have known even if I had.or the writer of that sonnet.
Fully agreed. I suggest the implied "target" is the notional truther or other person who doesn't understand - cannot visualise - the initiation process. So "looking sufficiently like" the real event would be a broad criterion.This thread is about modeling the initiation.
From my perspective, the purpose of a physical model is illustrative, not investigative.
If I presume that we are in general agreement that sequenced cascading failure of columns is the key mechanism. (And it subsumes the NIST joist sag inward bowing TRIGGER) Then my thinking is along these lines:I think it's a significantly more challenging task than the collapse progression model.
Haaaa I experimented with spaghetti when I first encountered WTC conspiracy theories like 10, 11 years ago, particularly to get a feel for static vs dynamic loading.I was thinking that the candles deformability might be a problem. I just does not scale well.
How about spaghetti?
View attachment 43763
....
This seems promising, in my head.
- Fire. Which might be difficult to isolate. But a small torch could be used to burn away some columns.
- Water. This might be a better way of simulating the effects of fire. Water causes sphagetti to lose its stiffness gradually, which should cause gradual load transfer up to sudden failure.
- Manual removal - by clipping.
The reason I'm just using the batting (the white stuff) instead of drilling holes is that the spaghetti snaps off easily, and would get stuck in the holes. I could drill the holes all the way through and then clamp a plate on top.drill small holes in the underside of the wood plate for column stability
place a thin tin plate on top... and pour sand slowly to increase the load
That's what I was getting at with:rather than a single load.... why not the sand idea?
Although sand might be better to avoid damaging the wood by getting it wet.I think the best way would be a tub gradually filled with water
water is too messy... sand is easier to clean up and vacuum.That's what I was getting at with:
Although sand might be better to avoid damaging the wood by getting it wet.
water levels itself out though, as far as having even load over the whole plate quicker.water is too messy... sand is easier to clean up and vacuum.
This is a matter of trial and error... Yes water is self leveling. But the load in reality was not uniform... so you could pour whatever granular substance used into a till pan... more or less evenly over the plan.water levels itself out though, as far as having even load over the whole plate quicker.
@Mick West
they do have skinny candles. but if spaghetti strength is the right scale tehn they would be too big probably. and heat guns are kinda big to get to teh inner core columns.
But if this is for laymen or truthers i think youd need to add alot more spaghetti as the twins had alot of columns. not just 7 on the exterior!! so as i laymen im thinking it fell because you dont have enough columns.
View attachment 43785
I see deformabilty as the necessary characteristic for valid modeling of the initiation stage. We need to model "heat weakening". Sure we are unsure of the exact parameters for candles (at this stage of research) BUT they do soften when heated and will ultimately melt. We don't need "melt" but "soften when heated" is the very feature of steel which drove the initiation process. I don't understand the reference to "does not scale well."I was thinking that the candles deformability might be a problem. I just does not scale well.
How about spaghetti?
The initiation stage had two distinct sub-phases. The immediate effect of aircraft initial impact which cut some columns. Setting up some initial load re-distribution but having no further effect. Then the slower processes leading to exponentially faster failure. The difficult part to model is the second part. The initial impact cutting relatively trivial. Whether we model it or not is a decision to be made. But the two are conceptually different.Then columns are removed. This can be done initially with some kind of analog to the airplane impact. Perhaps shooting the columns with a salt gun. Perhasp firing in some light object with a rubber band. Or you may have to just clip them.
Best to not prematurely eliminate heat weakening which is the actual process of the real event and therefore a preferred option. Agreed that spaghetti may satisfy the requirement for an analogous "weakening" process. Neither fire nor cutting are good analogues and could therefore be of limited value in persuading either truthers or laypersons.Then gradual removal. There three options here:
- Fire. Which might be difficult to isolate. But a small torch could be used to burn away some columns.
- Water. This might be a better way of simulating the effects of fire. Water causes sphagetti to lose its stiffness gradually, which should cause gradual load transfer up to sudden failure.
- Manual removal - by clipping.
Yes it is progress. I would prefer more explicit consensus on the goals and the scope of how much we model. For example - would a linear 1D model demonstrate the mechanism sufficiently for a lay person? For a "rabbit burrow truther"? OR is a more 2D floor plan necessary. It should not be much harder.This seems promising, in my head.
Candles are a good model for "heat weakening" which was the #1 key feature of the "initiation stage". And I'm confident that a hair drier or two would provide the heat. And we don't have to "get into the middle" The real events STARTED from one side and heating from one side would be a reasonably accurate mimicking of the actual event.they do have skinny candles. but if spaghetti strength is the right scale tehn they would be too big probably. and heat guns are kinda big to get to teh inner core columns.
We need to constantly remember that the layman or "down the Rabbit Burrow Truther" is the target. Some of them would understand with a single row of 6-7-8---15 candle columns. It would be dramatic as one end sank as candles softened. Other doubters would need a more realistic full floor plan - hopefully with no more than a couple of dozen candles. 2-300 candles OR bits of spaghetti would be impractical and excessive. And you couldn't cut the inside bits of spaghetti nor get at them with water unless you put the whole model in a tank. And I'm sure that would be too far from reality for most of our target audience to accept.But if this is for laymen or truthers i think youd need to add alot more spaghetti as the twins had alot of columns. not just 7 on the exterior!! so as i laymen im thinking it fell because you dont have enough columns.
good summaryCandles are a good model for "heat weakening" which was the #1 key feature of the "initiation stage". And I'm confident that a hair drier or two would provide the heat. And we don't have to "get into the middle" The real events STARTED from one side and heating from one side would be a reasonable accrate mimic of the actual event.
We need to constantly remember that the layman or "down the Rabbit Burrow Truther" is the target. Some of them would understand with a single row of 6-7-8---15 candle columns. It would be dramatic as one end sank as candles softened. Other doubters would need a more realistic full floor plan - hopefully with no more than a couple of dozen candles. 2-300 candles OR bits of spaghetti would be impractical and excessive. And you couldn't cut the inside bits of spaghetti nor get at them with water unless you put the whole model in a tank. And I'm sure that would be too far from reality for most of our target audience to accept.
So Deirdre - as our resident "layperson" - if we use candles and hairdriers - would a single row starting to collapse from one end satisfy you?
OR would you need a bigger - two dimensional floor plan with several rows of columns?