Nimitz Timeline Revisited

[fat_earther_]

Hello,


Source: https://youtu.be/BG4yxQm51JM?si=n-qxFpRPeejka4LG


I recently made a simple animation (top down, over head map) trying to get a better visualization of the Nimitz incident. I was wondering if Sitrec or some other model could be used to more accurately scale the geometry and timing of the events? There would need to be some adjustable sliders controlling some variables to account for the variances in testimony, general memory error, and overall assumptions required, but I think this should be able to help more accurately position the radar contacts at the time of Underwood's intercept for example.

Has anything like this been done already?

This was my first attempt at an animation. It is a little generic and I learned a lot, but I also realize someone here at metabunk could probably do a better/ more realistic job. We have quite a bit of information to work with from the BAASS report and all the interviews over the years to input into a model. One thing I have been doing is creating interview libraries, dumping every related youtube interview transcript into chatgpt and creating sort of a super data base to post questions to and pull timestamps out of interviews.

I really think this could shine some light on a lot of debated aspects of the event.

 

[Mick West]

I was wondering if Sitrec or some other model could be used to more accurately scale the geometry and timing of the events?

I could create a Nimitz scenario generator from the verbal accounts. This might be a good test for the AI integration I've been working on.

 

[fat_earther_]

I could create a Nimitz scenario generator from the verbal accounts. This might be a good test for the AI integration I've been working on.

Here is a list of assumptions I have gathered to start with. They are from a number of interviews that I don't have links for, but that's why I thought having some of the more debate-able "facts" of the case as adjustable variables.

*Nimitz: halfway between San Diego and Ensenada Mexico, about 65 miles off the coast

*Princeton positioned 5-10 miles from Nimitz (direction unknown)

*Radar contacts travel from east of Catalina Island south to 60 miles north of Guadalupe at 100 knots/ 28K ft

*Radar contacts pass east of Princeton, between Princeton and mainland

*Radar contacts in group of 5 -10, spacing 5 -10 miles

*Blue air CAP point: 40 miles south of Nimitz

*Red air CAP point: 100 miles south of Nimitz

*Kurth launched 1030, vectored to contact 30 minutes into flight (before Fravor) and saw whitewater

*Fravor and Dietrich vectored West 260°~270° towards closest contact shortly after take off.

*Intercept was 60 miles west of Blue CAP point.

*During intercept, One of the group of radar contacts flashed over to blue cap, then back to group

*Underwood sent to same contacts drifting south shortly after Fravor landed back at carrier (20 minutes to 45 minutes after Fravor landed)

*Underwood first had radar contacts 30 to 40 miles south of his aircraft.

*Fravor stated the average speed of jets flying around was ~300 knots