Would the WTC Twin Towers have collapsed from fire alone, without plane impact?

After about six floors have been sheared off the perimeter and cores this way, you've got a messy stack of "pancakes" impaled on about 280 columns of steel. with a little "hat" of floors on top.
Is this different in the CD scenario? How?
 
if you impale a floor,
that floor now has to hold the whole top block up
The essential thing about "impaling" is that it lets the columns do some of the work. You're right that the floor connections will still be strained, but a lot of the mass will now stop moving, caught on the columns, taking a lot of the energy out of the system. The top block will be crushed up (on one side) while the bottom section is crushed down (on the other).

This actually happens in Mick's wooden model.

While the floor connections were not built to handle all that mass, the columns, of course, were. So you'd expect the process to stop when the columns have skewered enough floor pans (thus carrying their weight).
 
Is this different in the CD scenario? How?
I'm not sure I understand the question. In the CD scenario, as I understand it, a "timed series of charges" goes off down through the building "ahead of the collapse front" severing the columns.

That is, the columns are not destroyed by "verinage". The (induced) column failures are the cause, not an effect, of the collapses.
 
While the floor connections were not built to handle all that mass, the columns, of course, were. So you'd expect the process to stop when the columns have skewered enough floor pans (thus carrying their weight).
Except it did not happen as shown by the video record.
 
I'm not sure I understand the question. In the CD scenario, as I understand it, a "timed series of charges" goes off down through the building "ahead of the collapse front" severing the columns.
That was one of the early truther claims. In fact the David Chandler version of it in a video with David's voice-over commentary was the first of his claims that I rebutted about 2009-10. If I had realised that these long disproven claims would be recycled a decade later - I would have considered keeping records.
That is, the columns are not destroyed by "verinage". The (induced) column failures are the cause, not an effect, of the collapses.
Vivid imagination faces problems when the recorded video evidence in the public domain is clear. Now if we could eliminate the video record.... :rolleyes:
 
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In the falling block scenario, I'm imagining 6-12 floors entangled in each other around the collapse zone, after which the process stops.

In the falling debris scenario, I'm imagining the mass dissipating as the individual pieces hit the floor pans without immediately breaking the floor connections, until enough pieces accummulate on each floor to overload it.
So you disagree with this Nov 2007 explanation:

003c.jpg
I don't think anyone would argue that if explosives were involved then there wouldn't also be a lot of mechanical (gravity-induced) damage.
Think it through a bit further. The collapse in simplest overview needs:
(a) Something to start the Top Block falling; and
(b) a mechanism to keep it progressing.

AND - IF CD was needed - THEN there had to be CD at the initiation stage.

BUT the laws of physics apply whether or not there was CD. (Something that a lot of truthers forget.)

So gravity could not avoid causing damage - on a component by component basis. IF "Beam 264" had been cut by explosives - gravity could ignore it. But if it had not been cut by explosivs and it needed to be cut for collpase to continue - gravity would have to do the dirty deed.

All interesting musing from which some conclusions emerge:

Since there was no need for explosive help any CD actually performed was redundant. So the evil terrorists or "inside jobbers" who did the deed would be very disappointed. Having performed a totally unnecessary CD and left ZERO evidence of it - they couldn't brag about their success.

Imagine the CV when going for the next job of "Senior Experienced Terrorist" or "Supervisor of Inside Jobs" and the CV says "Perfomed the most succesful CD ever and it had ZERO effect because it wasn't needed"...
 
Except it did not happen as shown by the video record.
I agree with @Henkka that what you're doing here is begging the question. It is precisely because it did not happen that way that truthers propose demolition ... and it's also, of course, the reason that I'm confused. If the buildings had remained standing or only partially collapsed I'd be less confused and the truthers wouldn't have been suspicious.
 
My opinion?

It was explained to many people's satisfaction and many probably don't care for a more in-depth explanation. Most are satisfied that the "buildings came down due to plane impacts and/or unfought fires.

The only people I see debating this are small in number and are in internet forums. I NEVER have anyone bring this up to me outside of the internet forums.
Okay, but you would think experts in this field would be extremely interested in having the correct explanation be reflected in the mainstream, no? Like with any other scientific topic, I feel like I can pretty safely trust that the mainstream explanation presented on sites like Wikipedia is broadly correct. For example, why the Tacoma bridge collapsed or something like that. But in order to truly understand the WTC collapses, I should ignore what is said in the mainstream, and instead log onto Metabunk.com and ask users econ41 and Gamolon. That's a bit silly.
Took a few hours away to get some work done and I just note that, @Henkka, you did not reply to this after I responded to your request for clarification. So, I repeat: What would happen if you slowly loaded the mass of one of the upper blocks onto an actual single floor system in either tower?
Yeah, sorry about that... This is how you explained it to deirdre:
It's not just the concrete held up by the trusses, it's the trusses and and joists as well. All of the things that compromised one of the floors of the building. I think it's pretty clear what NIST is talking about when they talk about an intact floor of the building. That's what I'm talking about.
Correct me if I'm wrong, but these trusses were designed to carry the weight of all the stuff put on that floor, like the furniture, the people etc, right? So they were like a single shelf on a bookshelf, designed to carry a number of books but not some crazy amount of weight. The entire mass of one of the upper blocks would easily exceed that I'm thinking, so the floor would fail at some point as you kept increasing the mass.
 
So you disagree with this Nov 2007 explanation:

003c.jpg
I think "disagree" is the wrong word. ROOSD doesn't make sense to me. I have explained a number of times what I would need to get my mind fully around it. (Load-path diagrams and math.) And you have not obliged. Since you are, indeed, not obligated to do anything, that's where we're at.

In any case, I usually don't disagree with ideas I don't understand.
 
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Correct me if I'm wrong, but these trusses were designed to carry the weight of all the stuff put on that floor, like the furniture, the people etc, right? So they were like a single shelf on a bookshelf, designed to carry a number of books but not some crazy amount of weight. The entire mass of one of the upper blocks would easily exceed that I'm thinking, so the floor would fail at some point as you kept increasing the mass.
Yes, that's right. Do you understand that this is what NIST's simple calculation demonstrates?
 
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Not knowing how to do the math, I can only say I've got a feeling it would take less than 12 floors before there's not enough mass above the next floor to arrest the collapse, especially since the columns would also have a chance to put up a fight against floor pans that are presumably intact above the falling "front" of debris.
I'm going to ask you the same questions I asked Henkka upthread.

Why does your logic/understanding above fail in the video below? Explain why the collapse is not arrested after three floors/levels. Why is there no deceleration of the top section when it impacts the lower section?

 
But I think NIST is right that, if one understands the mass alone would cause the floors to fail even without any momentum, such an exercise is a waste of time as the ultimate conclusion is forgone, so I'm focusing on those first principles.

Hmmmmm...
In the falling debris scenario, I'm imagining the mass dissipating as the individual pieces hit the floor pans without immediately breaking the floor connections, until enough pieces accummulate on each floor to overload it.
 
In the falling debris scenario, I'm imagining the mass dissipating as the individual pieces hit the floor pans without immediately breaking the floor connections, until enough pieces accummulate on each floor to overload it.

Not knowing how to do the math, I can only say I've got a feeling it would take less than 12 floors before there's not enough mass above the next floor to arrest the collapse, especially since the columns would also have a chance to put up a fight against floor pans that are presumably intact above the falling "front" of debris.
Can you explain what you mean when you say the "mass dissipating"?
 
I'm going to ask you the same questions I asked Henkka upthread.

Why does your logic/understanding above fail in the video below? Explain why the collapse is not arrested after three floors/levels. Why is there no deceleration of the top section when it impacts the lower section?


In Mick's model the structure is tied together only by the floor connections. It's easy to see why those connections fail after he shifts the top section. And it's easy to see why that process is unstoppable in his model.

I can't believe that the WTC was built that way, i.e., to be held together exclusively by the floor connections. So there's just a lot of the WTC structure that is not represented in Mick's model. I believe those elements could have played a role in slowing the collapse.

I have yet to see (and I've tried to build) a model that incorporates them and collapses. But it must be possible.
 
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Yes, falling off to the sides or down through the empty spaces (shafts) of the cores.
Where your thought experiment fails the sniff test is in another of NIST's very conservative assumptions: They show the mass of the top block's floor systems alone (ignoring the mass of the support columns in the top block) is enough to overload each lower floor system. So once the collapse is underway, for it not to propagate you would need the portion of the falling mass that is comprised only of floor systems to lose more mass per floor sheared that it gains by the accretion of the sheared floor. That is beyond unrealistic. And, again, we're ignoring here the momentum gained by the falling mass as it passes from floor to successive floor. This isn't even a close call and I hope you're beginning to see why.
 
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In the falling debris scenario, I'm imagining the mass dissipating as the individual pieces hit the floor pans without immediately breaking the floor connections, until enough pieces accummulate on each floor to overload it.

Based on your comment above, you understand how the debris from above could overload a floor and shear it from the perimeter and core columns? Is this correct?

I am just talking about the floor area around the core and inside the perimeter façade at this point.

Adding econ's picture below as the mechanism for this failed floor.
1659017516030.png
 
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Where your thought experiment fails the sniff test is in another of NIST's very conservative assumptions: They show the mass of the top block's floor systems alone (ignoring the mass of the support columns in the top block) is enough to overload each lower floor system. So once the collapse is underway, for it not to propagate you would need the portion of the falling mass that is comprised only of floor systems to lose more mass per floor sheared that it gains by the accretion of the sheared floor. That is beyond unrealistic. And, again, we're ignoring here the momentum gained by the falling mass as it passes from floor to successive floor. This isn't even a close call and I hope you're beginning to see why.
I think it's important to emphasize that I understand all of these things. That is, I understand that this is the theory NIST has proposed and how that mechanism is supposed to have worked. What I don't understand is why a building would be made this way. It seems like arranging dominoes in that video @Mendel has been emphasising, where small causes can have enormous consequences. Or, indeed, like building a bookcase (let alone a skyscraper) in that rickety way Mick did.
 
Yes, falling off to the sides or down through the empty spaces (shafts) of the cores.
what sides? there is an outer wall.
i'm still lost on this bit of your explanation.

what i picture, and excuse the analogy:
Jack is the floor we walk on and the trusses/joists beneath the floor.
Jill is the core and the outer mesh walls.

Jack fell down and broke his crown. He is rolling down the hill.
Jill is still on top of the hill watching. Eventually as her body shakes from laughing, she looses her stablity and then comes tumbling AFTER.

(i could be wrong, but that's how i've always seen it. so i dont get how stuff is pouring off the sides or down the core because Jill doesnt come tumbling down until later)
 
What I don't understand is why a building would be made this way.
that i can relate to that. that's why i would never go in the Twins, (now that i see how they were built) and i will never walk over one of those glass bridges or swim in one of those roof top pools.

add^ or be in the building with a rooftop pool that could come crashing down on my head
 
what sides? there is an outer wall.
i'm still lost on this bit of your explanation.

what i picture, and excuse the analogy:
Jack is the floor we walk on and the trusses/joists beneath the floor.
Jill is the core and the outer mesh walls.

Jack fell down and broke his crown. He is rolling down the hill.
Jill is still on top of the hill watching. Eventually as her body shakes from laughing, she looses her stablity and then comes tumbling AFTER.

(i could be wrong, but that's how i've always seen it. so i dont get how stuff is pouring off the sides or down the core because Jill doesnt come tumbling down until later)
I think Thomas B is saying that he can see debris piling up and failing the first floor, but the debris pile lessens due to portions of it falling off as it progresses downward until there is not enough debris to fail the remaining floors.
 
Are you saying that if Mick's model had all the pieces "tied together", the collapse would then arrest after three floors?
I've talked a bit about it with Mick on another thread but we didn't really get anywhere. The model would have to be very different. It would need to have a basic column structure that would stand up in three dimensional space under pretty serious lateral loads without the floors in place. (Like the "box" that the engineers in the video @Henkka posted on this thread talked about.)

Mick (and others here) don't think that's how the WTC towers worked. I haven't yet convinced myself they're right about that. To the extent that I can do the math, both the shells and the cores seem well beyond any danger of Euler self-buckling without lateral bracing from the floors. (Also, remember that the floors brace the perimeter against the cores and the cores against the perimeter.)
 
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I think it's important to emphasize that I understand all of these things. That is, I understand that this is the theory NIST has proposed and how that mechanism is supposed to have worked. What I don't understand is why a building would be made this way. It seems like arranging dominoes in that video @Mendel has been emphasising, where small causes can have enormous consequences. Or, indeed, like building a bookcase (let alone a skyscraper) in that rickety way Mick did.
Well, I don't think a reading of your comments in this thread demonstrates that you do understand why the buildings as designed collapsed as they did. In fact, you are repeatedly contesting that the buildings as designed could collapse as they did (without some secret extra help from some sort of unspecified controlled demolition device). As I've shown, however, it's not even a close call that the building as designed was doomed to collapse as it did once the initial collapses occurred.

It would be different if you were arguing that the towers should have been built a different way to be more resistant to collapse, but that is not what you have been arguing. So we are still stuck on why you think the towers, as they were actually built, would arrest a collapse when we can easily see the forces involved here would overwhelm any floor.

And don't think you can just deflect and hide from my last point with this throwaway about "understanding it". If you disagree with it, then state why with specificity. If not, then--congratulations--you finally understand why the collapses could not be arrested by the lower floors and why the controlled demolition theories about the towers are absolute nonsense.
 
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I've talked a bit about it with Mick on another thread but we didn't really get anywhere. The model would have to be very different. It would need to have a basic column structure that would stand up in three dimensional space under pretty serious lateral loads without the floors in place. (Like the "box" that the engineers in the video @Henkka posted on this thread.)

Mick (and others here) don't think that's how the WTC towers worked. I haven't yet convinced myself they're right about that. To the extent that I can do the math, both the shells and the cores seem well beyond any danger of Euler self-buckling without lateral bracing from the floors. (Also, remember that the floors brace the perimeter against the cores and the cores against the perimeter.)
You didn't answer the question. If Mick's model had everything tied together, would it arrest after three floors?
 
Why without the floors in place? That's not how the the tower were design.
Like I say, that was the sticking point when I talked to Mick about it. I don't have new arguments and I understand the old ones. No need to go through that again.
 
It would be different if you were arguing that the towers should have been built a different way to be more resistant to collapse, but that is not what you have been arguing. So we are still stuck on why you think the towers, as they were actually built, would arrest a collapse when we can easily see the forces involved here would overwhelm any floor.
I think the middle ground here is that I think it should have been a bit more of a scandal that they collapsed. If it had been presented as the result of a serious design flaw right from the beginning, I'd be more comfortable with it.
 
If it had been presented as the result of a serious design flaw right from the beginning, I'd be more comfortable with it.
it wasnt a serious design flaw. like that one engineer said, noone imagined a terrorist purposefully flying a plane into the building at full speed.
just like noone imagined Adam Lanza would shoot out a window int he front of the elementary school and murder a bunch of 7 year olds.
 
I think the middle ground here is that I think it should have been a bit more of a scandal that they collapsed. If it had been presented as the result of a serious design flaw right from the beginning, I'd be more comfortable with it.
Do you understand now that there was no conceivable way for the lower floors as designed and built to arrest the collapses once they began?
 
Yes, that's right. Do you understand that this is what NIST's simple calculation demonstrates?
I guess I just don't understand this emphasis on the floor trusses, as if they were what was holding up the building. In my mind, the entire weight of the upper block wouldn't be applied to the floor below, because the core columns would be providing resistance. It reminds me of this 3D animation that I believe was presented in a 2002 documentary purporting to explain the collapses. They animated the floors "pancaking", but just left the core standing there, strangely:

2.png

The trusses had no vertical support below, and were just designed to hold a thin layer of concrete, and then furniture and people on top of that. So I don't find it surprising that you can do a bit of math showing that if six or more floors came down on one floor, it would fail. But in order for those floors to come down at all, wouldn't the core have to fail first?

I wanted to check what exactly NIST said about the core in their FAQ, and there's not much... Here for example is question #11, which purports to be a quick explainer on why the building collapsed:

11. What caused the collapses of WTC 1 and WTC 2?
Based on its comprehensive investigation, NIST concluded that the WTC towers collapsed because:

  1. The impact of the planes severed and damaged support columns, dislodged fireproofing insulation coating the steel floor trusses and steel columns, and widely dispersed jet fuel over multiple floors; and
  2. The subsequent unusually large number of jet-fuel ignited multi-floor fires (which reached temperatures as high as 1,000 degrees Celsius, or 1,800 degrees Fahrenheit) significantly weakened the floors and columns with dislodged fireproofing to the point where floors sagged and pulled inward on the perimeter columns. This led to the inward bowing of the perimeter columns and failure of the south face of WTC 1 and the east face of WTC 2, initiating the collapse of each of the towers.
Both photographic and video evidence—as well as accounts from the New York City Police Department aviation unit during a half-hour period prior to collapse—support this sequence for each tower.
It does talk about "columns" in general, but does not explicitly talk about the core at all, focusing instead on the trusses pulling on the perimeter columns. But there's also question #21:

21. Since the melting point of steel is about 1,500 degrees Celsius (2,800 degrees Fahrenheit) and the temperature of a jet fuel fire does not exceed 1,000 degrees Celsius (1,800 degrees Fahrenheit), how could fires have impacted the steel enough to bring down the WTC towers?
In no instance did NIST report that steel in the WTC towers melted due to the fires. The melting point of steel is about 1,500 degrees Celsius (2,800 degrees Fahrenheit). Normal building fires and hydrocarbon (e.g., jet fuel) fires generate temperatures up to about 1,100 degrees Celsius (2,000 degrees Fahrenheit). NIST reported maximum upper layer air temperatures of about 1,000 degrees Celsius (1,800 degrees Fahrenheit) in the WTC towers (for example, see NCSTAR 1, Figure 6-36).

However, when bare steel reaches temperatures of 1,000 degrees Celsius, it softens and its strength reduces to roughly 10 percent of its room temperature value. Steel that is unprotected (e.g., if the fireproofing is dislodged) can reach the air temperature within the time period that the fires burned within the towers. Thus, yielding and buckling of the steel members (floor trusses, beams, and both core and exterior columns) with missing fireproofing were expected under the fire intensity and duration determined by NIST for the WTC towers.

Okay, so they seem to be saying the core columns were "yielding and buckling" from the heat. But even if that were happening, it would only be at the impact zone. Immediately below that, the core columns were stone cold and good as new. So if the core columns yielded at the impact zone, I would maybe expect the upper block of the South Tower to start tipping over, not come straight down through the undamaged structure.

I'm also a bit lost on how the core columns get so hot anyway... NIST says there the fires were around 1,000 degrees Celsius, and when steel gets that hot, its strength reduces to about 10 percent of its room temperature value. But just because you have 1,000 degree fires going on in the vicinity of steel columns, that does not mean the columns themselves become 1,000 degrees hot. Google tells me a campfire is about 900 degrees Celsius, but everyone knows you can hold your hand quite close to a campfire without your hand also becoming 900 degrees. The core columns were in the... well, core, and the fires were mostly in the office spaces, ie outside the core. And all of these processes would be so uneven... Some columns would be closer to the fires than others, some would have more of their fire proofing intact, and so on. So I don't think that all 47 core columns could be evenly heated, and the ones in the middle likely wouldn't heat up much at all.

This became pretty longwinded, but I guess to summarize, you and NIST both seem particularly focused on the floor trusses. Whereas for me, it's the core that seems practically indestructible, and that's what is giving me a hard time understanding how the observed collapse could happen without "assistance".
 
Stop deflecting. That's not what I asked: Do you understand now that there was no conceivable way for the lower floors as designed and built to arrest the collapses once they began?
If you're looking for me to concede some kind of point I think you'll have to give me some time. I still don't understand (to my own satisfaction) how the buildings collapsed.
 
It's the combination of damage to the structure from the impact itself an then the resultant fires affecting the already damaged structure.
Isn't this the entire point of this thread though? The OP question is whether it would collapse JUST from the fire (if you could magic the fuel into the those floors) without the plane impact. I always assumed that the damage from the airliner was important as it caused beams to buckle and therefore the loads are not distributed as designed even before fire further weakened the structure. ( I am also surpsrised as this is the first time I have heard anyone calculating a 707 at 600mph hitting the WTC. I have previously seen Robertson's calculations of 180mph and that is a HUGE difference)
 
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