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Mauro reacted to JMartJr's post in the thread French National Assembly to host UAP seminar with true believers with
Like.
Agreed! Nor do I. I do think that I have to acknowledge that error is possible, and that since we know human error occurs and don;t know if aliens or time travelers or being from other dimensions, human error is more likely, even if unproven... -
Mauro replied to the thread French National Assembly to host UAP seminar with true believers.Hint: the probability the next marble will not be black is 1/(99+2) = 1 in 101. After 1000 marbles it'll be about 1/1000, after 10K marbles about 1/10000 and so on. It's called Rule of succession, or Laplace's rule. Of course, but you should...
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AAndreas reacted to Ann K's post in the thread French National Assembly to host UAP seminar with true believers with Like.
IF all you have is a story, and we know that many stories are unreliable, THEN how do we know which of the stories has any truth to it? There's nothing to tell us which tales have any truth to them, and which do not. Even if we assume they're...
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AAndreas reacted to flarkey's post in the thread French National Assembly to host UAP seminar with true believers with Like.
Where this bag of 100 marbles analogy falls down is that after the 99th black marble is drawn, we shouldn't be calculating the odds of the 100th one being a different colour marble. We should be calculating the odds of it not being a marble at...
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MUFO lobby argues that hunting for UFOs should be a national security priority And these people do the exact opposite, by possibility helping to compromise national security by possibly filming classified aircraft, near a military base. Same...
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MIt is, however, an attainable booby prize. ;)
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MMapperGuy reacted to Mendel's post in the thread Rep. Luna Requests UAP Video, With a List of Names. with
Agree.
The real question is, "who promised you these would be significant? wouldn't it be best to stop listening to these people?" -
MMapperGuy reacted to MonkeeSage's post in the thread Rep. Luna Requests UAP Video, With a List of Names. with Like.
Yes, she has explicitly acknowledged that the second release contain her requested videos. The second drop of UAP videos is now including the 40+ videos requested by the task force Source: https://x.com/RepLuna/status/2057805773137199335
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Mauro reacted to Ann K's post in the thread French National Assembly to host UAP seminar with true believers with Like.
IF all you have is a story, and we know that many stories are unreliable, THEN how do we know which of the stories has any truth to it? There's nothing to tell us which tales have any truth to them, and which do not. Even if we assume they're...
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RTM reacted to MonkeeSage's post in the thread Rep. Luna Requests UAP Video, With a List of Names. with Like.
Yes, she has explicitly acknowledged that the second release contain her requested videos. The second drop of UAP videos is now including the 40+ videos requested by the task force Source: https://x.com/RepLuna/status/2057805773137199335 -
Oystein replied to the thread Baltic Pipeline Discussion (Current Events).German news are saying today that the German federal attorney general (Generalbundesanwalt), Jens Rommel, has indicted the Ukrainian special forces officer Serhii K. in Hamburg where K. is in custody, for - attacking civilian energy... -
Mendel reacted to MonkeeSage's post in the thread Rep. Luna Requests UAP Video, With a List of Names. with
Informative.
Yes, she has explicitly acknowledged that the second release contain her requested videos. The second drop of UAP videos is now including the 40+ videos requested by the task force Source: https://x.com/RepLuna/status/2057805773137199335 -
Fritzkquzerk reacted to FatPhil's post in the thread French National Assembly to host UAP seminar with true believers with Informative.
Thumbs down? Awwww - do it again... -
Ann K reacted to JMartJr's post in the thread Rep. Luna Requests UAP Video, With a List of Names. with Agree.
Interestingly, one of the standard ways to reply to a Gish Gallop is to offer the galloper the opportunity to select their strongest point and we'll talk about that one first. This video dump of nothingburgers is essentially a Gish Gallop, this... -
Ann K reacted to JMartJr's post in the thread French National Assembly to host UAP seminar with true believers with Agree.
Agreed! Nor do I. I do think that I have to acknowledge that error is possible, and that since we know human error occurs and don;t know if aliens or time travelers or being from other dimensions, human error is more likely, even if unproven...