That seems like a perfectly honest assessment of the situation. All you have is witness testimony in most situations. You can hope for testable physical evidence to become available. It is possible to categorize witness descriptions by shape...
IF all you have is a story, and we know that many stories are unreliable,
THEN how do we know which of the stories has any truth to it?
There's nothing to tell us which tales have any truth to them, and which do not. Even if we assume they're...
I don't think it's unreasonable to think that pilots/ other aircrew might be able to give accurate descriptions of a previously unknown/ undescribed type of flying/ airborne object. Must have happened quite a few times in WW2, maybe a few times...
IF all you have is a story, and we know that many stories are unreliable,
THEN how do we know which of the stories has any truth to it?
There's nothing to tell us which tales have any truth to them, and which do not. Even if we assume they're...
I don't think it's unreasonable to think that pilots/ other aircrew might be able to give accurate descriptions of a previously unknown/ undescribed type of flying/ airborne object. Must have happened quite a few times in WW2, maybe a few times...
Where this bag of 100 marbles analogy falls down is that after the 99th black marble is drawn, we shouldn't be calculating the odds of the 100th one being a different colour marble. We should be calculating the odds of it not being a marble at...
IF all you have is a story, and we know that many stories are unreliable,
THEN how do we know which of the stories has any truth to it?
There's nothing to tell us which tales have any truth to them, and which do not. Even if we assume they're...
Where this bag of 100 marbles analogy falls down is that after the 99th black marble is drawn, we shouldn't be calculating the odds of the 100th one being a different colour marble. We should be calculating the odds of it not being a marble at...
I have no idea what they saw. But all we have is the unsupported testimony of witnesses as to what they saw* and no way of evaluating which bits of that testimony are accurate, if any, and which are in error, if any.
I'd be comfortable with...
Don't get me wrong: I know that all the fanatics & grifters will still yell: "THEY DIDN'T RELEASE THE BEST, SECRET ONES!!"
but I can't help but feel that--overall--this chapter of UFO history will turn out to be a good thing.
Sure, the...
I wish a reporter would ask her:
"Okay, now that all these videos are released, is there (even) one that you can point to, as being particularly significant?"
Would having no proof non-black marbles exist change that? How much would you be willing to invest to check if the one millionth marble was any other color after still lacking any proof non-black marbles exist?
Let's say this.
If I drew 99 black marbles out of a bag of 100, I still would not be confident enough to say there's surely no differently colored marble left inside.
I'd have to empty the bag to be 100% sure.
I wouldn't bet any money on it...