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That’s an alien race I’m scared of!

If a claimed thing doesn't exist, it doesn't exist regardless of the number of people who believe it exists, or the sincerity/ depth of those beliefs. Any statistical interpretation, in the absence of testable evidence, that says something must...

And they also don't understand how Bayes works. A phenomenon must have a better chance to be explained by an UFO rather than by mundane causes to move the posterior probability towards UFOs from the abyss where it rests at the moment. In the...

Followed by "There are so many reports there MUST be something to it!"

The argument is not that humans never perceive and subsequently recall/report what they perceived correctly... it is that they do not always do so. And lacking any way to determine which parts of which reports are correct, and which are not...

Sadly, this isn't necessarily the case. One problem with UFO reports is that they often begin with someone claiming to have seen something extraordinary. An article is then written asking whether anyone else saw a large glowing triangular craft...

"Instantaneous acceleration" is one of my bugbears. It's been used a lot in recent years by UFO enthusiasts to mean "suddenly appeared to move very fast", but never so fast that it couldn't be tracked by eye- if that were the case, the thing in...

Yeah, when I first heard it, it seemed to say the 9 were used to argue the nuclear testing correlations. But in reading the transcript, I think it just gets jumbled up. As you noted, there’s multiple papers, with multiple changing lists and...

If a claimed thing doesn't exist, it doesn't exist regardless of the number of people who believe it exists, or the sincerity/ depth of those beliefs. Any statistical interpretation, in the absence of testable evidence, that says something must...

Is it reasonable that UFO personalities should be asked to stand by or dismiss or acknowledge in some way the related claims of the people they associate with at UFO events? Or is it unfair that we assume that just because they get a photo...

I did pick up one of those "PSIONIC ASSET" t-shirts from Dollar General, but only because they were out of "I'M WITH STUPID" & "Big Johnson" shirts...

Yeah, when I first heard it, it seemed to say the 9 were used to argue the nuclear testing correlations. But in reading the transcript, I think it just gets jumbled up. As you noted, there’s multiple papers, with multiple changing lists and...

Not quite all, check out 1958 and 1971, for example. But the vast majority, yeah. I'd not be surprised if something generally "us shaped" evolved out there somewhere -- it is a reasonably handy shape for doing the stuff us technological species...

And they also don't understand how Bayes works. A phenomenon must have a better chance to be explained by an UFO rather than by mundane causes to move the posterior probability towards UFOs from the abyss where it rests at the moment. In the...

And they also don't understand how Bayes works. A phenomenon must have a better chance to be explained by an UFO rather than by mundane causes to move the posterior probability towards UFOs from the abyss where it rests at the moment. In the...