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MMapperGuy reacted to Harabeck's post in the thread French National Assembly to host UAP seminar with true believers with
Agree.
"Trained observers" is a problematic phrase, and we should probably avoid it. It's almost entirely a rhetorical device put forward by UFO enthusiasts. Some very small number of scientists might be a trained observer of their particular object of... -
JMartJr replied to the thread French National Assembly to host UAP seminar with true believers.Not only that, so many different types of aliens! Dozens of species, presumably from dozens of worlds, many of them reportedly with an array of different sorts of ships -- all coming to Earth over multiple decades, all overcoming the incredible... -
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MMapperGuy reacted to NorCal Dave's post in the thread French National Assembly to host UAP seminar with true believers with Agree.
I don't see it going away. As Mr. @Baptiste Fr has made clear, there is a huge emphasis on witness testimony in UFO research, likely because that is the most compelling. There's a few questionable radar hits here and there, some claims of health...
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JMartJr reacted to Harabeck's post in the thread French National Assembly to host UAP seminar with true believers with
Like.
I've actually had (internet) people tell me that Bayesian Inference assures us there must be something to UFOs. Every report has a small chance of being related to an actual anomaly, therefore each report raises the chances of an exotic phenomena... -
MMapperGuy reacted to flarkey's post in the thread French National Assembly to host UAP seminar with true believers with Like.
I kind of agree. Witnesses are wasting their time without sharing evidence - skeptics tend to become convinced that a claim is true whenever they are shown evidence that supports the claim. People can claim anything, and using words to describe...
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MMapperGuy reacted to JMartJr's post in the thread French National Assembly to host UAP seminar with true believers with Like.
I can sympathize -- there are a few topics where I just have to decide not to talk about that with a few of the folks that I care for a lot. I suspect many of us have had that experience. It's frustrating, sometimes, but I value the...
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Alien Chess Fiend reacted to FatPhil's post in the thread French National Assembly to host UAP seminar with true believers with Like.
It's the same magnitude change of prior to posterior probabilities as you would perform when seeing an orange orange and concluding that your belief that all ravens are black is more strongly supported. TL/CBB2R: The update is below the noise... -
flarkey replied to the thread Bug Sitrec Time Zone issue with external AI Agent.Just FYI I use the Sitrec chatbot regularly to get easy links to ADSBex & FR24 playbacks. It would be great if you could keep it live even if it isn't maintained. The other chatbot I used was Mike Grossman's but it seems to be borked... -
Harabeck reacted to FatPhil's post in the thread French National Assembly to host UAP seminar with true believers with
Funny.
It's the same magnitude change of prior to posterior probabilities as you would perform when seeing an orange orange and concluding that your belief that all ravens are black is more strongly supported. TL/CBB2R: The update is below the noise... -
purpleivan reacted to Ann K's post in the thread French National Assembly to host UAP seminar with true believers with Like.
As I (and others) have noted before, the wide variety of types of appearance and the many years they've been in the public consciousness make the presence of alien life in our atmosphere even LESS probable, not more. One craft from one source... -
FatPhil reacted to Harabeck's post in the thread French National Assembly to host UAP seminar with true believers with Like.
I've actually had (internet) people tell me that Bayesian Inference assures us there must be something to UFOs. Every report has a small chance of being related to an actual anomaly, therefore each report raises the chances of an exotic phenomena... -
FatPhil replied to the thread French National Assembly to host UAP seminar with true believers.It's the same magnitude change of prior to posterior probabilities as you would perform when seeing an orange orange and concluding that your belief that all ravens are black is more strongly supported. TL/CBB2R: The update is below the noise...
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John J. reacted to Ann K's post in the thread French National Assembly to host UAP seminar with true believers with Like.
As I (and others) have noted before, the wide variety of types of appearance and the many years they've been in the public consciousness make the presence of alien life in our atmosphere even LESS probable, not more. One craft from one source... -
jarlrmai reacted to Mick West's post in the thread Bug Sitrec Time Zone issue with external AI Agent with
Winner.
I updated from 4o-mini to 5.4-mini, and it seems to work. -
Ann K replied to the thread French National Assembly to host UAP seminar with true believers.As I (and others) have noted before, the wide variety of types of appearance and the many years they've been in the public consciousness make the presence of alien life in our atmosphere even LESS probable, not more. One craft from one source...
