Exactly!
In other words, 'bias' is just the amount of the prior, which is nothing else than the sum of all the past evidence. The prior against aliens visitors is so strong that being 'biased' (exactly by the amount of the prior) against that...
I think UFO/UAPs fall into the "extraordinary claims" category for which "extraordinary evidence" is required ...and the examination of old plates simply has not provided it. Nor has any other study done so to date, as far as I can tell.
It's not known, this article discussed the matter considering the likely rounds.
The most common small arms in the Danish defense are the M10 and M25 rifles, both of which use NATO's standard 5.56 mm ammunition.
According to Jørgen Nielsen, who...
Posting this has been on the back of my mind for a long time (obviously, since the thread has been dead for almost 10 months).
Carlo, a friend of mine, developed a tool for calculating the speed of vehicles from videos using the cross-ratio...
I think UFO/UAPs fall into the "extraordinary claims" category for which "extraordinary evidence" is required ...and the examination of old plates simply has not provided it. Nor has any other study done so to date, as far as I can tell.
Reply is here maybe?:
https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.15171
We respond to the critique by Watters et al. (2026) of the statistical analyses in Villarroel et al. (2025) and Bruehl & Villarroel (2025). We argue that the critique conflates...
"Paper-parity" run has completed. Report and data: https://github.com/jannefi/poss1-plate-slice/blob/main/results/s0-642-paper-parity-20260828/README.md
This release does not replace or change anything I released previously. It's a separate...
I think UFO/UAPs fall into the "extraordinary claims" category for which "extraordinary evidence" is required ...and the examination of old plates simply has not provided it. Nor has any other study done so to date, as far as I can tell.
Quote below from "A study claimed UFOs orbited Earth in the 1950s. Then scientists checked the math", Adam Frank, Big Think, August 27, 2026 as per @Smythe Bacchus' post #851. Frank's article discusses "Critical Evaluation of Studies Alleging...