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John J. reacted to JMartJr's post in the thread The 'Gimbal' UFO: Marik Claims "New Findings" Falsify Prosaic Explanations with
Agree.
But it is worth noting that they ALWAYS precede a rotation of the glare. Other things may cause a bump, sure. But something to do with the rotation is causing bumps consistently. Anybody that wants to posit a mechanism by which the rotation... -
John J. reacted to Mick West's post in the thread The 'Gimbal' UFO: Marik Claims "New Findings" Falsify Prosaic Explanations with
Like.
Why would it? There's nothing in there that predict bumps. Nothing prevents bumps from other sources. The implemented model predicts what the glare angle should be. The extents are not in the implemented model, and they don't require bumps... -
Robert Sheaffer reacted to John J.'s post in the thread Transients in the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey with Like.
Doesn't that mean we're accepting that the aliens know in advance whether a test will be successful or not? :) -
Mick West replied to the thread The 'Gimbal' UFO: Marik Claims "New Findings" Falsify Prosaic Explanations.The problem here is that each time I dig into your theories (like the triangulation issue), it takes a lot of time, and the end result is that there's some assumption you made that makes the entire thing meaningless (IIRC with triangulation it... -
Montauk reacted to Ravi's post in the thread The 'Gimbal' UFO: Marik Claims "New Findings" Falsify Prosaic Explanations with Like.
Agree. And the example footage that Marik is showing of pod rotations being very smoothly are all happening very fast (plane/target's angles changing very fast). I think that influences the "smoothness" of the gimbal & mirror systems of the pod... -
Montauk reacted to Mick West's post in the thread The 'Gimbal' UFO: Marik Claims "New Findings" Falsify Prosaic Explanations with Like.
The current Gimbal sim is in something of an experimental state, before I lost interest. The original one (that I reference in my video) is here: https://www.metabunk.org/gimbal1/ No problem there, but it leaves the initial observed...
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Montauk reacted to JMartJr's post in the thread The 'Gimbal' UFO: Marik Claims "New Findings" Falsify Prosaic Explanations with Like.
But it is worth noting that they ALWAYS precede a rotation of the glare. Other things may cause a bump, sure. But something to do with the rotation is causing bumps consistently. Anybody that wants to posit a mechanism by which the rotation...
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Montauk reacted to TheCholla's post in the thread The 'Gimbal' UFO: Marik Claims "New Findings" Falsify Prosaic Explanations with
Dislike.
Taking your pod roll sim with the default settings (should be the best fit), and evaluating the claim of "incredible synchronicity", we get this: Green arrows are when the model accurately predicts a step roll based on the line of sight... -
Montauk reacted to Mick West's post in the thread The 'Gimbal' UFO: Marik Claims "New Findings" Falsify Prosaic Explanations with Like.
Why would it? There's nothing in there that predict bumps. Nothing prevents bumps from other sources. The implemented model predicts what the glare angle should be. The extents are not in the implemented model, and they don't require bumps...
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Montauk reacted to TheCholla's post in the thread The 'Gimbal' UFO: Marik Claims "New Findings" Falsify Prosaic Explanations with Dislike.
There is a bump at the beginning of the video that's not associated with any pod roll as predicted in your pod roll sim (based on deviation from center, i.e. ideal roll curve). Should not be controversial, we all noticed it a while ago. You could...
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Montauk reacted to Mick West's post in the thread The 'Gimbal' UFO: Marik Claims "New Findings" Falsify Prosaic Explanations with Like.
He claimed it failed to predict a bump. I see nothing in the model to support that. It's a meaningless assertion.
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Montauk reacted to TheCholla's post in the thread The 'Gimbal' UFO: Marik Claims "New Findings" Falsify Prosaic Explanations with Dislike.
Most models don't produce predictions as an output, but are used to make predictions (for instance, a weather model). Mick's model must provide predictive information to have any value, like any other models. As Zaine points it, Mick himself...
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Montauk reacted to Harabeck's post in the thread The 'Gimbal' UFO: Marik Claims "New Findings" Falsify Prosaic Explanations with Agree.
That's a prediction by Mick based on an understanding of why the bumps occur, not a prediction built into the code. So why is this a salient point? You seem to be conflating our total understanding of the system with what is actually implemented...
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Robert Sheaffer reacted to Mendel's post in the thread Transients in the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey with Like.
Regarding Earth's shadow, I found this: Source: https://youtube.com/watch?v=J7olrY775jw The moon is about 10× farther out than geostationary orbit. Since Earth's diameter is 3.7 times the Moon's, the length of the planet's umbra is...
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NorCal Dave replied to the thread Transients in the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey.Maybe you smarter people can help a dullard out here. All of these papers floating around seem to use 2 related sets of "transients", either 5,399 or 107,000. Am I correct that the 5,399 number is a sub-set of the 107,000 which is a sub-set of...