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  • FatPhil
    FatPhil replied to the thread Optical illusions.
    But that's a meaningless predicate - everything 2D image can be modelled an uncountably infinite (an infinity *more* infinite than the real numbers, it's the number of |R^n->|R^m mappings, Beth_2) number of ways, as long as you accept there can...
  • MonkeeSage
    MonkeeSage reacted to Mauro's post in the thread Russia and Ukraine Current Events with Informative Informative.
    https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com
  • MonkeeSage
    MonkeeSage reacted to Mendel's post in the thread Russia and Ukraine Current Events with Informative Informative.
    NEW YORK/WASHINGTON, Oct 15 (Reuters) - The order to limit a satellite system used by Ukraine for battlefield communications and drone operations came from inside the White House, according to two US officials and a Western official briefed on...
  • MonkeeSage
    MonkeeSage reacted to yoshy's post in the thread Transients in the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey with Informative Informative.
    tldr; the model is just a prediction of BV's opinion. "BV in, BV out" The current study addresses several limitations of our prior work. Arguments that all transients are platedefects12,13 have been addressed by developing and validating an ML...
  • MonkeeSage
    MonkeeSage reacted to yoshy's post in the thread Transients in the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey with Informative Informative.
    Some more thoughts/questions on the ML paper. Figure 2 shows the SHAP values (Shapley values) from their model. SHAP values are used to quantify the contribution from a feature to the prediction, similar to the betas in a linear regression or GLM...
  • MonkeeSage
    Project Lost Light invites professional scientists, citizen scientists, and students from around the world to participate in a challenge to replicate -- or challenge -- pre-Sputnik transient studies using historical (pre-Sputnik) photographic...
  • MonkeeSage
    MonkeeSage reacted to yoshy's post in the thread Transients in the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey with Informative Informative.
    Data is public now. Link goes here https://www.researchhub.com/grant/32931/project-lost-lights Table from the page with all the relevant links. Recommendations for future replication efforts (B. Villarroel) Read Earth shadow computation...
  • jon_eir
    OK - lets get the location right. I filmed this NJ drone video in Seaside Park, NJ, not Seaside Heights. The reason I posted my drone or potential UAP video here because I saw that it had been discussed here a fair amount at the time it was...
  • jon_eir
    It looks more like 90 blinks per minute to me, about 1.5 hz The video has a variable frame rate, which can lead to some software, including Sitrec, which I'm fixing, playing back some segments at the wrong rate. And the light layout seemed a...
  • Mendel
    Mendel replied to the thread The "Disclosure President"?.
    It's not an obvious explanation; it requires understanding rotation and derotation. But Stratton's understanding differed; and he says he also sought a second opinion; and then he dismissed it. But why did he dismiss it without fully...
  • Mendel
    Mendel replied to the thread Optical illusions.
    Oops, this should have embedded. Source: https://imgur.com/a/1VRl3k9
  • purpleivan
    purpleivan reacted to Mendel's post in the thread Russia and Ukraine Current Events with Agree Agree.
    Re: "pro-war shills", I doubt many people in the West are pro-war per se. The opinions differ on whether the reponsibility of ending the war rests on the aggressor or on the defender; i.e. "go back home" or "surrender your home". In that...
  • Gary C
    Gary C reacted to Fritzkquzerk's post in the thread The "Disclosure President"? with Agree Agree.
    Almost any serious study group on UFOs, even civilian ones, usually come to the conclusion that 95/98% are prosaically explainable, whereas the 5/2% remains unexplained due to lack of data or lack of determinant data. Quite a difference from what...
  • Gary C
    Gary C reacted to Fritzkquzerk's post in the thread The "Disclosure President"? with Like Like.
    The only thing I consider a bit controversial, or silly, or whatever, is some of the statements made by AARO directors, not just Kirkpatrick but also others like Kosloski, regarding "truly anomalous" signatures. However, nobody within AARO has...
  • Gary C
    Gary C reacted to Mauro's post in the thread The "Disclosure President"? with Like Like.
    I very much agree, but there's bias and bias. "Bias" is just the prior probability one assigns to something. If I throw six dice the probabilty of them all landing on 'six' is about 1 in 46000, so I'm very much biased against all dice landing on...
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