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  • Ann K
    Actually, now that I'm watching the TV segment @Robert Sheaffer was blogging about, the guy is clearly comparing the red and blue plates from 7 minutes apart and claiming things are missing in the blue, though he doesn't seem to indicate there is...
  • Ann K
    Certainly other sources should be consulted. If the transients are seen by one telescope they could have been seen by others. One of the hallmarks that always gives me pause is when one source is examined, the "right" result is found, and further...
  • M
    "A UFO crashed in 1933 Italy and the US Recovered it" Should probably read "A UFO crashed in 1933 Italy and the US stole it later" as the Italians recovered it and the US ended up with it, or so the story goes. Both ULTRA and Manhattan Project...
  • M
    Thank you for your response! That was my point. Ladislas Farago was what we would today call a conspiracy theorist. He believed what he was told, and spun tales around it, most notably the idea that Nazi Martin Bormann was living in South...
  • M
    Depends on what you mean by "black-ops cover-up programs". I think we would agree, most governments have secret programs. That might include large scale research programs that produce advanced aircraft, satellites, and weapons systems or smaller...
  • NorCal Dave
    Actually, now that I'm watching the TV segment @Robert Sheaffer was blogging about, the guy is clearly comparing the red and blue plates from 7 minutes apart and claiming things are missing in the blue, though he doesn't seem to indicate there is...
    • 1790383120280.png
  • M
    Certainly other sources should be consulted. If the transients are seen by one telescope they could have been seen by others. One of the hallmarks that always gives me pause is when one source is examined, the "right" result is found, and further...
  • M
    The post misses the mark—existing stars are culled from the transient set—somewhat—as when it's done rigorously (Solano 2022), only 5399 features are left, not enough to work with. So Villarroel did not match against the IR catalogs this time...
  • NorCal Dave
    The post misses the mark—existing stars are culled from the transient set—somewhat—as when it's done rigorously (Solano 2022), only 5399 features are left, not enough to work with. So Villarroel did not match against the IR catalogs this time...
  • jon_eir
    The probability is nonzero for the Bayesian approach because it assumes you see one positive result on top of every negative result you know about. I estimated a million UFO reports and no UFO to arrive at 0.0001%. It looks impossible to me. The...
  • jon_eir
    Thank you for restoring the context. That is exactly the point I am belaboring: these hoaxes do not look like official secrets, and Julian Vale's defense does not hold for them if you look more closely. Disclosures of official secrets have never...
  • Mendel
    Thank you for restoring the context. That is exactly the point I am belaboring: these hoaxes do not look like official secrets, and Julian Vale's defense does not hold for them if you look more closely. Disclosures of official secrets have never...
  • Mendel
    The probability is nonzero for the Bayesian approach because it assumes you see one positive result on top of every negative result you know about. I estimated a million UFO reports and no UFO to arrive at 0.0001%. It looks impossible to me. The...
  • Mendel
    The post misses the mark—existing stars are culled from the transient set—somewhat—as when it's done rigorously (Solano 2022), only 5399 features are left, not enough to work with. So Villarroel did not match against the IR catalogs this time...
  • JMartJr
    I don't see that Jessica Knurick has been mentioned yet. I enjoy her videos that I have seen so far, and have not yet caught her out in any blunders. https://www.youtube.com/@DrJessicaKnurick She specializes in medical and nutrition-based...
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