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Hello Bunkers. Long time lurker here. -
Gary C reacted to jdog's post in the thread Transients in the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey with
Like.
Since most 1950s-era tests were done to be observed and assessed with a variety of remote instruments and aircraft, they had to be done when the skies were clear enough for every platform to see the detonation; the goal was to accurately measure... -
Gary C reacted to jdog's post in the thread Transients in the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey with Like.
There's another self-correlative effect in that -- the POSS-1 shots and UFO sightings roughly track with the weather. That is, you can't photograph the sky when it's cloudy; people don't see UFOs in the sky (or planets or bright stars) when it's...
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Gary C reacted to John J.'s post in the thread Transients in the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey with Like.
From Villarroel, Streblyanska, Bruehl and Geier's "A Response to paper Critical Evaluation of Studies...", https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.15171, usefully quoted by @NorCal Dave, post #865, my emphasis: Finally, the analysis demonstrating that being...
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Gary C reacted to yoshy's post in the thread Transients in the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey with
Agree.
Mentioning the Higgs Boson feels like a false analogy fallacy (or perhaps there's a more accurate fallacy). It just feels like they are using the Higgs to lend credibility to their completely unrelated analysis. The response was 7 pages compared... -
Gary C reacted to HoaxEye's post in the thread Transients in the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey with Like.
I did yet another analysis, this time about the differences of two full plate scans: IRSA (the ones I'm using) and STScI (the ones suggested by Villarroel). See...
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Gary C reacted to NorCal Dave's post in the thread Transients in the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey with
Informative.
This appears to be their critique of Watters relevant to the nuke paper in the OP: The next issue concerns the temporal correlations with nuclear weapon tests and UAP in Bruehl & Villarroel (2025). The critique by Watters et al. (2026) (Section... -
Gary C reacted to Mauro's post in the thread Transients in the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey with Agree.
Exactly! In other words, 'bias' is just the amount of the prior, which is nothing else than the sum of all the past evidence. The prior against aliens visitors is so strong that being 'biased' (exactly by the amount of the prior) against that...
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Gary C reacted to NoParty's post in the thread Transients in the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey with Agree.
Sometimes an accusation of "bias!" means nothing more than that the accused is aware that many, many fantastic claims, have yet to reveal any real, decent evidence.
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Gary C reacted to Fritzkquzerk's post in the thread Transients in the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey with Like.
Would it be possible to see if such defects or "transients" are much more common in general in this type of plates also from other observatories? Because if we take this study alone, then It could really just come down to a series of different...
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Gary C reacted to John J.'s post in the thread Transients in the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey with Agree.
Quote below from "A study claimed UFOs orbited Earth in the 1950s. Then scientists checked the math", Adam Frank, Big Think, August 27, 2026 as per @Smythe Bacchus' post #851. Frank's article discusses "Critical Evaluation of Studies Alleging...
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John J. replied to the thread Transients in the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey.-Ah, not just implied, on reading the paper, We speculate that some transients could potentially be UAP in Earth orbit that, if descending into the atmosphere, might provide the stimulus for some UAP sightings. "Transients in the Palomar... -
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Gary C reacted to Ann K's post in the thread Transients in the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey with Like.
https://bigthink.com/13-8/a-study-claimed-ufos-visited-earth-in-the-1950s-then-scientists-checked-the-math/ This needs to be said often and loudly. Scientists learn very early in their careers to expect that not everyone will agree with their...
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Gary C reacted to HoaxEye's post in the thread Transients in the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey with Like.
New preprint: Microscopy assessment of two multiple-transient candidates, Jun Yang & Beatriz Villarroel. Link: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.26371 (submitted 26 Aug 2026). PDF version is attached. Short summary: the paper physically re-examines two...
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Gary C reacted to HoaxEye's post in the thread Transients in the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey with Like.
"Paper-parity" run has completed. Report and data: https://github.com/jannefi/poss1-plate-slice/blob/main/results/s0-642-paper-parity-20260828/README.md This release does not replace or change anything I released previously. It's a separate...
