One of my main takeaways from this thread is how well it illustrates the difference in approach between UFOlogists and scientists.
Modern science is based on quantitative methods. Chemistry started rising above alchemy when researchers started weighing quantities. Reliable numbers give rise to mathematical laws that allow accurate predictions.
John Tedesco knows this:
John has also suggested that the readings from his multiple e-compasses need to be corrected by +/- 10 degrees, but then immediately suggests the correct heading is 231.
Source
External Quote:
I've worked in a laboratory for many years, and an average is taken on multiple instruments.
Usually, multiple readings are done on the same instrument. For example, this is how surveyors achieve high levels of accuracy: by taking multiple readings with the same theodolite.
Tedesco's tweet above admits that they did not do that.
Their paper, "An Eye on the Sky ...", cited upthread, pays lip service to quantitative methods.
The temperature difference between the engines and the hull of the aircraft are not subtle. There is no "one-tenth of a degree" variation visible in this image. Tedesco's paper does not cite the sensor ranges of the instruments or their error margins. It does not state which methods were used to calibrate the instruments, including their homebrew modifications. It does not set down procedures for capturing and logging observations. And this after 10 months in the field:
The conduct revealed in the paper is anything but meticulous.
A scientist gathers data in the hope that, with time, an unknown phenomenon can be described exactly and thus become known. A scientist's business is turning the unknown into the known.
A UFOlogist, however, is happy with the unknown. A MUFON investigator's proudest moment is when a case can be "closed" as "unknown".
If I wanted to generate "unknown" cases, I'd use equipment that few people are familiar with (and that looks scientific), generate pictures that stimulate the imagination, but collect and publish as little data as possible, and pay no mind as to whether the data that I do collect is reliable. That's because the data works against the UFOlogist: it cannot make an unknown case more unknown, but it could turn it into something known, which would be a failure.
When you spend 10 months on "UAP research", you need to turn up some unidentified phenomena, or else you've failed your goal. Tedesco struggles with this because some of his equipment restricts his observation range to where some of his cameras can easily take identifiable pictures:
As a result, the case he presents here uses a single sensor, a camera that is not steady and not providing the best magnification he has access to. His other sensor information is not correlated with the camera: we do not know when the claimed "e-compass" readings were taken or how (the paper does not mention them), and the radar screen shown cannot be correlated to a time in the video or even oriented geographically (see
post #44).
UFO believers reward unusual pictures that look scientific.
Science rewards reliable data.
It looks to me like Tedesco's "Nightcrawler" has managed to produce one but not the other.