A closer examination of the weather data John Tedesco provided to support his assertion that the cloud cover was at 2000 feet (see post
#282) reveals a few interesting things.
For some reason the first chart John presents is using Cloud Base (hfeet) data from the time of 06:00 CST, which is UTC-06:00, so 07:00 EST at John's location. This is, of course, just over 5 hours after John claims to have recorded the video.
Here is a direct link to the data John took a screen cap of.
I checked 01:00 CST (which would be the closest observation to the supposed 01:56AM EST recording time) but there is no data. In fact, there's no data for 00:00 - 05:00. After a bit of poking around it would appear that Cloud Base (hfeet) data is only collected every three hours, at 0, 3, 6, 9, etc.. So why is there no data at 00:00 and 03:00?
Switching to the Cloud Coverage (%) data is revealing. At 01:00 CST, the data shows 0% cloud coverage at three different weather stations across Long Island.
Source: weather.us
Clicking on one of the weather stations will bring up an hour by hour report for a given timeframe. Here is the 24 hour report from 11/18/22 12:00 CST - 11/19/22 12:00 CST for JFK Airport.
There was 0% cloud coverage from 23:00 - 03:00 CST (00:00 - 04:00 EST).
"But wait, that data is for JFK Airport which is 38 miles away!!!" (John's estimate, not mine, it's actually 25 miles away.)
Well, the closer we get to Robert Moses State Park the worse it gets for the Tedesco's. Here is the data for the Farmingdale NY weather station which is roughly 10 miles NW of their position.
Something is amiss! Here's the cloud coverage the Tedesco's previously stated was at 6000 feet but later changed their minds to 2000 feet.
The rest of John's images are him punching temperature and dew point data into a Lifting Condensation Level (LDL) calculator. This will provide an estimate of the altitude where cloud formation
MAY occur.
The Tedesco's seem to have painted themselves into a corner with the latest revisions to their story. I wonder what the polymarket odds are for them changing the date and time again?