Debunked: Mike Adam's Claims Regarding HPV "Shock Study"

[MikeG]

From Mike Adams and Natural News

SHOCK STUDY: Ten percent of Canadian females receiving HPV vaccines are sent to Emergency Rooms... scientists declare rate to be 'low' for vaccines


(NaturalNews) A shocking new science study funded by the Alberta Ministry of Health and published in the VACCINE science journal has found that nearly 10 percent of Canadian females end up in emergency rooms (the "Emergency Department" in Canadian vernacular) following HPV vaccine injections.

The study is entitled Adverse events following HPV vaccination, Alberta 2006-2014 and is also found at this source.

Even more shockingly, vaccine researchers funded by the Alberta Ministry of Health declare this 10% emergency room visitation rate to be "low" and "consistent with those seen elsewhere [with vaccines]."

This shocking admission unveils a highly disturbing truth about routine vaccinations given to children and teens: They are well known to cause emergency room visits, hospitalizations and adverse effects among those receiving them. This science paper, in fact, just confirmed all that while calling the entire phenomenon safe.

195,270 girls tracked after receiving HPV vaccine injections... 9.9% ended up in emergency rooms in just 42 days

In the study, authored by Xianfang C. Liu and others, 195,270 females received one or more HPV vaccine injections and were monitored for 42 days.

As the study clearly states in its results, " Of the women who received HPV vaccine 958 were hospitalized and 19,351 had an [Emergency Department] visit within 42 days of immunization."

Content from External Source

http://www.naturalnews.com/053851_HPV_vaccines_emergency_room_visits_adverse_events.html


I attached the actual study.

On page 1802, the article makes it very clear that the frequency of Adverse Events Following Immunization (AEFI) was extremely low. [Boldface mine]

Of the 195,270 women who received HPV vaccine, 192 (<0.1%) reported one or more AEFI events (198 AEFI events). Of the 192, 186 reported one AEFI event, while six reported two different AEFI events. All AEFI events occurred after receipt of the qHPV vaccine.

Content from External Source

The study also notes on page 1802 [Boldface mine]:

Among the 195,270 females who received HPV vaccine, 958 were hospitalized (1053 hospitalization events) within 42 days of immunization; however only 4 of those hospitalized had a reported AEFI

Content from External Source

So, yes, the rates are low and Mike Adams' shock and incredulity are misplaced. They are the product of cherry picking data. Again.

 

[Auldy]

Quite a leap from 192 (0.01%) to 19,351 (10%)!

Can we work back to who made the first false claim?

 

[MikeG]

Quite a leap from 192 (0.01%) to 19,351 (10%)!

Can we work back to who made the first false claim?

I think that it was Mike Adams. He took the number of "emergency department" visits included in the study and linked it directly to the HPV vaccine, skipping over the actual number of patients (192) who reported a reaction to the vaccine.

I'll dig a little more regardless.

 

[Mick West]

The ED visits number of 10% in 42 days does initially sound high in that isolated context. But you need to compare it against the typical number of ED visits by the same demographic, who did not get the vaccine in that timeframe.

And the timeframe is not 42 days. The HPV vaccine is given in three doses, with gaps of 2 and 6 months. The effective timeframe is then 42 days after any one of those vaccinations. i.e. it's 126 days.

However not everyone got 3 doses, so we need to adjust slightly.




From the "Number of doses.." in Table 1 above, the average number of vaccinations is (6.4*1+9.9*2+82.4*3+0.1*4)/100 = 2.738. So the average period in which they could have an ER visit within 42 days of one of the vaccinations is 2.738*42 = 115 days.

So the question is what percentage of Canadian girls would use the ER in 115 days?

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1197/j.aem.2007.02.030/epdf


Not exactly the same demographic, but 0-14 and 15-24 are both at around 40 visits per 100 population. So if in a year (365 days) there would be 40 visits per 100, then in 115 days there would be 115*40/365 = 12.6 visits per 100 population.

Most people do not got to the ER multiple times in 115 days, so the 12.6 visits per 100 population seems very much in the same ballpark as the 10% figure used in the HPV claims.

That is, the rate of ER visits is about average.

 

[MikeG]

The ED visits number of 10% in 42 days does initially sound high in that isolated context. But you need to compare it against the typical number of ED visits by the same demographic, who did not get the vaccine in that timeframe.

And the timeframe is not 42 days. The HPV vaccine is given in three doses, with gaps of 2 and 6 months. The effective timeframe is then 42 days after any one of those vaccinations. i.e. it's 126 days.

However not everyone got 3 doses, so we need to adjust slightly.




From the "Number of doses.." in Table 1 above, the average number of vaccinations is (6.4*1+9.9*2+82.4*3+0.1*4)/100 = 2.738. So the average period in which they could have an ER visit within 42 days of one of the vaccinations is 2.738*42 = 115 days.

So the question is what percentage of Canadian girls would use the ER in 115 days?

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1197/j.aem.2007.02.030/epdf


Not exactly the same demographic, but 0-14 and 15-24 are both at around 40 visits per 100 population. So if in a year (365 days) there would be 40 visits per 100, then in 115 days there would be 115*40/365 = 12.6 visits per 100 population.

Most people do not got to the ER multiple times in 115 days, so the 12.6 visits per 100 population seems very much in the same ballpark as the 10% figure used in the HPV claims.

That is, the rate of ER visits is about average.

Nicely done.

 

[MikeG]

I found an interesting study of children born between March 2006 and March 2009 in the province of Ontario.

Patterns of emergency room visits, admissions and death following recommended pediatric vaccinations—A population based study of 969,519 vaccination events

Content from External Source

Although a good deal of the science is beyond me, the information does seem to support the study in the OP.

It is particularly reassuring that in our examination of nearly 1,000,000 vaccination events there were 5 or fewer deaths that occurred in the 3-day post vaccination period. Second, a large healthy vaccinee effect is evident in our study demonstrating that children who receive vaccines were less likely to have been admitted to hospital or visit an emergency room in the days prior to the vaccination.

Content from External Source

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264410X11004129