Claim: Original Calvine UFO Photo

The difference that this probably exaggerated length estimate makes is trivial- but it is unexpected in a supposed forensic examination of a photograph.
it's not just trivial, it's meaningless, because the measurement of the jet in the photo is less accurate than that, and thus determines the (in)accuracy of the computation.
(1) 47 feet 2 inches is actually 14.376 m
47'2" = 566"±½"
566"±½" × 0.0254m/in = 14.3764m±0.0127m = 14.3637 to 14.3891m
Writing that it equals 14.376 pretends to an accuracy that wasn't there before the conversion. Rounding to 3 or 4 digits is sensible.
 
W

Why on earth didn't Clarke get an independent analysis by a second expert? (Rhetorical question, I guess.) Robinson is neither a second expert nor independent.

A Kevin Russell did come forward but denies taking the photo. The name isn't unusual but still, this seems like a remarkable coincidence:
In May 2024 the man pictured in this photograph, who was using the name Kevin Russell in 1990, came forward and confirmed that he had worked as a porter at the Pitlochry Hydro Hotel at the time of the sighting however he claims he knows nothing about either the sighting or the photographers and cannot explain why his name would appear on the rear of the Calvine Photograph.

I don't find it unusual that the photographer would deny it, if he were unexpectedly tracked down, since he might not want to get involved with either maintaining the fiction of the sighting or dealing with the consequences of admitting the hoax. In this case he apparently came forward of his own accord but only after he'd been identified as the likely photographer.
 
W


Why on earth didn't Clarke get an independent analysis by a second expert? (Rhetorical question, I guess.) Robinson is neither a second expert nor independent.

A Kevin Russell did come forward but denies taking the photo. The name isn't unusual but still, this seems like a remarkable coincidence:


I don't find it unusual that the photographer would deny it, if he were unexpectedly tracked down, since he might not want to get involved with either maintaining the fiction of the sighting or dealing with the consequences of admitting the hoax. In this case he apparently came forward of his own accord but only after he'd been identified as the likely photographer.
Wouldnt the defence dude who had the pic be able to confirm if it is him or not. He saw him didn't he at the time?
 
My recollection is that there are legal protections for privacy issues as well in this case.
I should have gone back and found where this has been discussed, was working on my phone with fat old man fingers and just couldn't face it!

But now I'm on my computer, so here 'tis, from way up-thread:

https://www.metabunk.org/threads/claim-original-calvine-ufo-photo.12571/post-276717
I think it's more than just 'concerns': there's a legal provision in the Freedom of Information Act (2000) itself. Section 40 states that 'personal information' is exempt from the disclosure requirement. If you look at the redacted passages in some of the released documents they have a little note 's40' against them. There's a very complex definition of 'personal information', which includes a reference to Data Protection laws. I haven't followed this down the rabbit hole, but I think the gist of it is that anything in a document which names or otherwise identifies a living individual is exempt from disclosure. Maybe including where people live, where they work, etc. I don't know where the date 2076 comes from, but if we assume that the relevant people were at least 14 in 1990, that would ensure that they would be at least 100 in 2076, and therefore almost certainly dead.
 
Not sure why but the Daily Express think they have a scoop here with the mountain-poking-out-of-clouds explanation. It was raised here at least a couple of years ago (see #32).
UFO breakthrough as UK's most famous case 'finally solved' with bombshell explanation
https://www.express.co.uk/news/weird/1947448/Calvine-ufo-breakthrough-solved
Mike Bara, he of "Secret Space Program" and "Ancient Alien" fame, is espousing this theory? If Bara told me the sun was rising in the east, I'd go look to make sure.

E89EA6E395DC1C637A8F7574136F9DD48F7C649C.jpeg s-l1200 (1).webp
 
Not sure why but the Daily Express think they have a scoop here with the mountain-poking-out-of-clouds explanation. It was raised here at least a couple of years ago (see #32).
UFO breakthrough as UK's most famous case 'finally solved' with bombshell explanation
https://www.express.co.uk/news/weird/1947448/Calvine-ufo-breakthrough-solved
This sound like the least likely scenario out of the many that have been discussed here. And when an article segues into the "men in black", it makes it even less likely that it's an honest attempt at an explanation, and more likely to be pure sensationalism.
 
Given that we don't know the exact location or even date the photo was taken, I guess with the right conditions/development it's not completely out of the question. (random stock image below)
1726154242053.png

1726154242053 copy.png
 
Not sure why but the Daily Express think they have a scoop here with the mountain-poking-out-of-clouds explanation. It was raised here at least a couple of years ago (see #32).
UFO breakthrough as UK's most famous case 'finally solved' with bombshell explanation
https://www.express.co.uk/news/weird/1947448/Calvine-ufo-breakthrough-solved

Because they have a "genuine UFO researcher" espousing it, not a bunch of randos here on a debunking site.

I don't find it unusual that the photographer would deny it, if he were unexpectedly tracked down, since he might not want to get involved with either maintaining the fiction of the sighting or dealing with the consequences of admitting the hoax. In this case he apparently came forward of his own accord but only after he'd been identified as the likely photographer.

Agreed. But I've also maintained that IF the photo is a hoax, it's likely the backstory is as well. Whether the photo is a deliberate hoax with models and/or glass, or a remarkable reflection or mountain in the mist, whoever took it tried to pass it off as a real UFO to the Daily Record (or Mail?). That being the case, why should we think it really was 2 seasonal lads from a local hotel that headed out after work one day and then faked a UFO photo? The story is truthful right up until they hung the models up or maybe upon getting the photos back realized the reflection looked like a UFO? I don't think so.

I'd have to go back through 30 pages on this thread, but I think the entirety of the backstory is a 2nd hand recollection of 5-10 minute phone call Linsday had with 1 guy some 30 years later. There are a few handwritten notes from the time that confirm the basics of the story. But it's still just what Linsday claimed was told to him over the phone. Nobody ever met the supposed photographer or his supposed mate. I don't recall the Daily Record (or Mail?) EVER having any information on the photographer or the backstory. Clearly, they had a name and number that Linsday could call, but we have no way of knowing if he called an actual hotel or some guy down the street.

Since the current Kevin Russell does seem to tick a lot of the boxes, the idea that it was him and doesn't want to fess up now makes sense. I also think it's possible Mr. Russell had a coworker that was the actual photographer, and he used Russell's name as cover or even an acquaintance of Russell used his name and position to concoct a backstory.

I would think IF the current Russell IS the culprit, fessing up now wouldn't be that big of a deal. He could say it was a youthful prank, but when the RAF got involved, he backed off. That was the end of his involvement. What people have made out of it now is their own doing.
 
That photo doesn't show the lower half of the "diamond" though. I don't really understand what this theory is trying to say the lower half is.
To be clear it's not a theory I like. I think it's more likely models on string against overcast sky. However, I thought I'd look for stock images that had mountain, plane, and low cloud. I agree, in that photo there's a pretty clear straight line and no downward V shape.
However, if you look around there are other images where hills closer to the camera create that shape as the low cloud follows their shape. So perhaps it is still a possiblity. Not a cloud expert so i'll let others weigh in on that.
You can see a smidge of what I mean in this close up.
Screenshot 2024-09-13 at 08.20.02.png
 
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What accounts for the delineated darker region on the bottom?
If we assume for a second that this is actually the top of a mountain, the darker region on bottom could be the ridge of a hill in front of the mountain. There are a few darker pixels on the center "line" that could be interpreted as a tree standing on the ridge.

But it is of course quite speculative given the little information available in the image.
The camera would have to be in the right position. The clouds would have to line up in just the right shape. And a fighter jet would have to fly by in just that second. Very unlikely in my opinion.

Also given the perspective the jet would then have to fly pretty low in the valley just above the clouds. Seems unsafe.

calvine_03.jpg
 
And a fighter jet would have to fly by in just that second.
Unless getting a picture with the jet was intentional -- "Neat, a jet flying over the cloudy valley, let me grab a picture of that!" In which case it the timing is intentional, and not a split second coincidence.
 
Unless getting a picture with the jet was intentional -- "Neat, a jet flying over the cloudy valley, let me grab a picture of that!" In which case it the timing is intentional, and not a split second coincidence.

If it would be just the jet that was moving this would certainly be true. However the clouds are also moving. Capturing the image in the short window of time when the clouds align to make the mountain look like a diamond shaped object AND also capturing the jet would require quite some luck. Not impossible but rather unlikely.

It would depend on the wind speed on that day how long that window of time actually would have been. Very likely longer than the second I mentioned earlier so there might have been a moment to prepare the camera and get a once-in-a-lifetime shot. So yeah good point.


Yeah, not that low. I've been atop valley ridges in England and seen military planes way down there.
Rory mentioned quite at the start of the thread that it was not uncommon for planes to fly that low. However is that also true in situations where the valley is heavily clouded and the pilot is not able to see the ground? I have zero expertise in that area but maybe someone here has flight experience?
 
not uncommon for planes to fly that low.
The topic of low flying jets in rural parts of Scotland (Perth and Kinross) was discussed in Parliament in 1989 and there was a campain by farmers (and a school neaer Tain RAF base - 100km North from Calvine) to have the number of flights reduced.
External Quote:
Does the hon. Gentleman accept that the present level of low flying in the rural areas of Scotland is unacceptable as it is, and that any increase in Scotland is out of the question?
Source:https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commo...ribution-1dcb9581-56ef-423e-83e7-32775490b2e6

They apparently were able to fly as low as 100ft (30m). The article following says Harriers can fly as low as 85ft (25m).
One paper has a quote:
We get co-operation from the RAF and I know some pilots have been reprimanded and even grounded.
The worst offenders seem to be the American pilots who come up here"
Source: Daily Record 19 April 1989.
External Quote:
The need to reduce disturbance to the public is also taken into account in other ways. The techniques of low flying over land demand particular skills, which cannot be developed by low flying over sea or by training at higher levels. In war, aircraft would need to fly below 100 ft and at speeds of over 600 knots. In peacetime, to minimise the nuisance caused by noise, most low-flying training in the United Kingdom is carried out at speeds under 450 knots and not below 250 ft.
https://hansard.parliament.uk/commo...ribution-34b5961d-9580-4aba-aa60-a3e54fa9a854

The_Observer_1989_10_22_91.jpg
 
Rory mentioned quite at the start of the thread that it was not uncommon for planes to fly that low. However is that also true in situations where the valley is heavily clouded and the pilot is not able to see the ground?

Though it's not clear enough to be certain, the plane seems to have the more swept-back, shorter wingspan of a first generation Harrier (AV-8A, AV-8C, GR3, Sea Harrier FRS1), not the broader wings of an AV-8B /GR5 Harrier II.

Both generations of aircraft were in service with the UK and USA at the time, but I don't think the 1st generation Harriers (like the one in the picture- I think) had full adverse weather/ night capability. If I'm right, maybe it's unlikely the plane would fly at such low level with dense cloud.
 
Unless getting a picture with the jet was intentional -- "Neat, a jet flying over the cloudy valley, let me grab a picture of that!" In which case it the timing is intentional, and not a split second coincidence.
There was a discussion somewhere in these thousand-plus comments about groups of pilots in training liking to fly down the valleys. So it's not impossible that plane one is heard, plane two is seen, and planes three through six are photographed.
 
There was a discussion somewhere in these thousand-plus comments about groups of pilots in training liking to fly down the valleys. So it's not impossible that plane one is heard, plane two is seen, and planes three through six are photographed.
Flying through valleys or behind mountains is a common tactic to avoid hostile missiles and anti-aircraft, so it would at least be a reasonable possibility.
 
Flying through valleys or behind mountains is a common tactic to avoid hostile missiles and anti-aircraft, so it would at least be a reasonable possibility.
Agreed. It's called "train how you fight." As the article excerpt @Giddierone posted in #1226 above, the conventional wisdom in the Cold War was fly very low and very fast in combat situations. No one was better at this than the RAF. I talked to many USAFE pilots who told stories about flying at 500 ft-1000ft in F-4s and F-111s, only to see "those crazy Brits" flying under them in exercises. Most of those stories involved Buccaneers and Jaguars, however. Don't recall anyone mentioning Harriers.

Interestingly, not long after the Calvine sighting, the Coalition went to war against the Iraqis. RAF Tornados, flying very low and very fast, undertook a mission against Iraq they'd trained for in anticipation of war with the Soviets. Armed with a weapon specifically designed for the job, they attacked Iraqi airfield with cluster submunitions to crater airfields and kill repair crews. This is known as "airfield denial."

Unfortunately, the Iraqis had excellent airfield defenses and the Brits lost a number of those aircraft. This resulted in a rethink and eventual abandonment of the very low/very fast tactic. This was hastened, no doubt, by the advances in stand-off weaponry.
 
I talked to many USAFE pilots who told stories about flying at 500 ft-1000ft in F-4s and F-111s, only to see "those crazy Brits" flying under them in exercises.

Google Earth allows for a vague measurement of the flying height of the jet under the assumption that the lower part of the diamond is a ridge.

calvine_04.jpg


The positioning of the jet includes a lot of guessing but even with that in mind I would say a reasonable estimate of the flying height would be between 80m - 120m above ground. That would match the stories of the USAFE pilots.

Also in the image the jet seems to be tilted to the left which would match the assumption that it was following the left turn of the valley in that area.
 
Google Earth allows for a vague measurement of the flying height of the jet under the assumption that the lower part of the diamond is a ridge.

View attachment 71481

The positioning of the jet includes a lot of guessing but even with that in mind I would say a reasonable estimate of the flying height would be between 80m - 120m above ground. That would match the stories of the USAFE pilots.

Also in the image the jet seems to be tilted to the left which would match the assumption that it was following the left turn of the valley in that area.
If I'm reading your graph correctly, the linear distance between the witnesses/photographer and the jet looks to be about 500-600 meters. At that distance, and with the jet noise bouncing off the surrounding hills down in that valley, the noise generated (as heard by the witnesses) would have been very loud. So if there had been an actual object being photographed within your parameters, the claim by the witnesses that they heard no noise from it could be explained by echoing jet noise drowing out any other noise. If there was a second jet as has been claimed, it would have been even louder. (Videos below give an idea of noise levels in similar scenarios.) Thoughts?

Also, I think a couple here have alluded to this, but the Brits have a low level training area in Wales. Termed the "Mach Loop," it's a popular site for aviation enthusiasts worldwide to gather in their anoraks and view many different a/c types from multiple nations up close and personal. Lots of YouTube videos of the Mach Loop, here's one I pulled at random. (The "Hi Mom" sign from the F-18 backseater near the end was a nice touch.)


Source: https://youtu.be/R9utt3tXHp0?si=k0GKE5FAW1F6bBs0


The US has a similar training area in California (Rainbow Canyon) known amongst the aviation enthusiast community as "Star Wars Canyon." Again, lots of YouTube videos.


Source: https://youtu.be/SiAW6u4Yt1w?si=qeXpFQq230CskASb


Flights here were suspended five years ago after a mishap that killed an F-18 pilot and injured spectators on the ground. Apparently they are back in business, but with added flight restrictions.

External Quote:
Star Wars Canyon "below-the-rim" activity was suspended in August 2019, after an accident killed a pilot and injured several spectators on the ground following the crash of a U.S. Navy F/A-18 Super Hornet on July 31, 2019.[14][15] A 1,500 feet (460 m) above-ground-level restriction was placed on the area; it remained in place as of March 2022.[16] The 22 May 2022 version of the R-2508 Complex handbook instructs aircraft: "Maintain a minimum of 1000' above the lip of Rainbow Canyon."
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rainbow_Canyon_(California)
 
So if there had been an actual object being photographed within your parameters, the claim by the witnesses that they heard no noise from it could be explained by echoing jet noise drowing out any other noise
That makes sense... IF the picture shows a mountain, then the story is essentially made up and details about what is claimed to have been experienced don't need further explanation. For example, the mountain could not have suddenly flown vertically out of sight!

But IF the story is substantially true, and a strange something was seen and behaved as described, then the jet noise is worth considering, though one wonders how they would have expected to hear the object over the jets!
 
If I'm reading your graph correctly, the linear distance between the witnesses/photographer and the jet looks to be about 500-600 meters.
Yes that would fit.

At that distance, and with the jet noise bouncing off the surrounding hills down in that valley, the noise generated (as heard by the witnesses) would have been very loud. So if there had been an actual object being photographed within your parameters, the claim by the witnesses that they heard no noise from it could be explained by echoing jet noise drowing out any other noise. If there was a second jet as has been claimed, it would have been even louder. (Videos below give an idea of noise levels in similar scenarios.) Thoughts?
Yes I imagine the jet noise would have to be deafening in such a valley. You wouldn't have heard anything else I suppose.
However I want to highlight that all these measurements are only valid if the "diamond" is actually the Farragon Hill seen from exactly this camera position. So if the diamond was actually some floating object then the positioning of the jet inside the valley, the distance between the camera and the jet and everything else mentioned in my previous posts would not apply.

That's why I think the reasoning that the noise of the jet inside the valley would drown out all noise from a floating object cannot be made. You either have a mountain top and know the position of the jet inside the valley OR you have a floating object and don't know the position of the jet.

But that said I guess a fighter jet flying by in the distance suggested be the original image does not need to be in a valley to drown out most other noises. ;)


That makes sense... IF the picture shows a mountain, then the story is essentially made up and details about what is claimed to have been experienced don't need further explanation. For example, the mountain could not have suddenly flown vertically out of sight!

But IF the story is substantially true, and a strange something was seen and behaved as described, then the jet noise is worth considering, though one wonders how they would have expected to hear the object over the jets!
Fully agree. I also think that the mountain top theory is not compatible with the original account.


Also, I think a couple here have alluded to this, but the Brits have a low level training area in Wales. Termed the "Mach Loop," it's a popular site for aviation enthusiasts worldwide to gather in their anoraks and view many different a/c types from multiple nations up close and personal. Lots of YouTube videos of the Mach Loop, here's one I pulled at random. (The "Hi Mom" sign from the F-18 backseater near the end was a nice touch.)
Nice videos. I remember from my childhood that we also had low altitude training flights in Germany, sometimes breaking the sound barrier. I can only vaguely image the sound that would make in a valley with echos all over the place...
 
At that distance, and with the jet noise bouncing off the surrounding hills down in that valley, the noise generated (as heard by the witnesses) would have been very loud.
But wouldn't the sound come AFTER the plane?

I've been at the Cleveland air show, and since it was being held over an airport and Lake Erie, there was nothing to stop them from going low. I've been startled before by an unexpected one that came a couple of days early and zoomed above me at what seemed like haircut level before the sound alerted me.
 
Yes that would fit.


Yes I imagine the jet noise would have to be deafening in such a valley. You wouldn't have heard anything else I suppose.
However I want to highlight that all these measurements are only valid if the "diamond" is actually the Farragon Hill seen from exactly this camera position. So if the diamond was actually some floating object then the positioning of the jet inside the valley, the distance between the camera and the jet and everything else mentioned in my previous posts would not apply.

That's why I think the reasoning that the noise of the jet inside the valley would drown out all noise from a floating object cannot be made. You either have a mountain top and know the position of the jet inside the valley OR you have a floating object and don't know the position of the jet.

But that said I guess a fighter jet flying by in the distance suggested be the original image does not need to be in a valley to drown out most other noises. ;)
Sure, I'm with you. What I said was, "IF there had been an actual object being photographed within your parameters," the jet noise could explain why they claimed to have not heard anything. Sorry if I confused you by putting a real object in the scenario you presented topographically relative to distance and locations. Sure, there is no noise to be made by a mountain top "floating" in the clouds/mist, but sounds like neither of us believe this explanation to be realistic.

And yes, I agree, at that distance,
a jet wouldn't need a natural echo chamber to be very loud. I've been on many military flight lines, but never without earplugs and/or protective muffs.
Fully agree. I also think that the mountain top theory is not compatible with the original account.



Nice videos. I remember from my childhood that we also had low altitude training flights in Germany, sometimes breaking the sound barrier. I can only vaguely image the sound that would make in a valley with echos all over the place...
 
Interestingly, not long after the Calvine sighting, the Coalition went to war against the Iraqis. RAF Tornados, flying very low and very fast, undertook a mission against Iraq they'd trained for in anticipation of war with the Soviets. Armed with a weapon specifically designed for the job, they attacked Iraqi airfield with cluster submunitions to crater airfields and kill repair crews. This is known as "airfield denial."

Unfortunately, the Iraqis had excellent airfield defenses and the Brits lost a number of those aircraft. This resulted in a rethink and eventual abandonment of the very low/very fast tactic. This was hastened, no doubt, by the advances in stand-off weaponry.
I believe this is the exact mission you're referring to:


External Quote:

Early in the air campaign of Operation Desert Storm, the RAF must do a dangerous job. Panavia Tornado strike aircraft must maraud at low level through fierce Iraqi AAA and MANPAD fire to hit and disable Iraqi airfields. Given the most dangerous task of the campaign, losses are mounting.
I'll see if I can find any similar use of the Harrier.

I also forgot another common reason to fly low, especially low through valleys: to avoid enemy radar. (I think this is part of the plot of Top Gun Maverick :p)
 
Sure, I'm with you. What I said was, "IF there had been an actual object being photographed within your parameters," the jet noise could explain why they claimed to have not heard anything. Sorry if I confused you by putting a real object in the scenario you presented topographically relative to distance and locations. Sure, there is no noise to be made by a mountain top "floating" in the clouds/mist, but sounds like neither of us believe this explanation to be realistic.
My apologies, that was a misunderstanding on my side. I did miss the significance of these constraints. Of course now it makes sense.
 
Just noticed that www.uapmedia.uk which many of the links in this thread point to is no longer. Did they change their name, or is the content being shuffled behind paywalls somewhere? (maybe it's a temporary blip?).
 
Just noticed that www.uapmedia.uk which many of the links in this thread point to is no longer. Did they change their name, or is the content being shuffled behind paywalls somewhere? (maybe it's a temporary blip?).
I found several pages on that domain that are still working, e.g.:
So the server is still running. Looks like a misconfiguration at first glance.
 
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