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  1. Mick West

    Knapp's Investigation Alien: Light Goes Underwater

    Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D6dzSc8wCIQ In episode 4 of the George Knapp Netflix show "Investigation Aliens", a light is shown descending into the water, where it stays at or below the surface for a while. Very little context is given. The above YouTube clip is the segment from the...
  2. Mick West

    Claims of missing voters in 2024 vs. 2020

    I use this page: https://www.cbsnews.com/live-updates/election-2024-trump-celebrates-win/ They don't actually display the percent in, but the raw data has it, at: https://api-election.cbsnews.com/api/public/races2/2024/G?filter.office=P Currently, it has CA at 72%, which is the same as this NBC...
  3. Mick West

    Claims of missing voters in 2024 vs. 2020

    Update with CA up to 72% Extrapolated Final Vote Counts (based on percent in): Donald Trump: 78,752,513 Kamala Harris: 75,772,191 Both of them have gone down. This is due to the inaccuracies in the "Percent In" number, which is accurate to, at best, 1% and likely less as it's somewhat...
  4. Mick West

    How to Reply - With and Without Quoting other Posts

    Interesting. At some point old unlisted videos were made private. I've made it unlisted again, so it should be visible to everyone now.
  5. Mick West

    How to Reply - With and Without Quoting other Posts

    Works for me. Does it still not work? Do other videos work?
  6. Mick West

    Claims of missing voters in 2024 vs. 2020

    Here's the graph full scale, with the 2024 results extrapolated. Final result is likely to be more democrat.
  7. Mick West

    Claims of missing voters in 2024 vs. 2020

    More detailed analysis from Nate Cohn suggests a tighter final result Source: https://x.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1854559484410003832 But I think the simple extrapolation will be accurate within a million.
  8. Mick West

    Claims of missing voters in 2024 vs. 2020

    I suspect it's counting the mail-in ballots.
  9. Mick West

    Claims of missing voters in 2024 vs. 2020

    Keep in mind that this is a simple extrapolation of the outstanding votes per state. They might well skew more towards Harris if they are more from large cities.
  10. Mick West

    Claims of missing voters in 2024 vs. 2020

    I ran the numbers. Using this page: https://www.cbsnews.com/elections/2024/president/ I saw their data was coming from: https://api-election.cbsnews.com/api/public/races2/2024/G?filter.office=P That gave me data.json (attached), upon which I ran extrapolate.py, giving: State: US Trump +0...
  11. Mick West

    Handy list of things to be on the lookout for (Legal Eagle / Law&Chaos)

    This thread seems to have diverged from the original intent. If you'd like to offer personal criticism, then you can always use DMs.
  12. Mick West

    Claims of missing voters in 2024 vs. 2020

    Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zGj7MHUxB-E The above is a video summary of the discussion in this thread. Original first post follows: ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Typical claim: In 2020, Biden got 81million...
  13. Mick West

    Green Orb Dresden - How to Demonstrate an "Orb" is Lens Flare

    With cell phones we are dealing with very small sensors, so a small change in the angle of the incoming light can have a significant change. So if any part of the system is not coplanar (or coaxial, for the curved bits), then the light path could result in an offset. In this sim you can try...
  14. Mick West

    Green Orb Dresden - How to Demonstrate an "Orb" is Lens Flare

    The offset can come from image stabilization. IN my video above, you see the reflection bounce around a lot more than the sun does.
  15. Mick West

    Mick vs Marik (rotation glare gimbal)

    Didn't you watch the video? We know there's a dero mechanism. We know dero can rotate glare. We know the amount and speed of the rotation match what is needed to keep the camera pointed at the target (albeit in steps). There are unknown details, but the basics seem solid. Please look into it a...
  16. Mick West

    Mick vs Marik (rotation glare gimbal)

    Can you be more specific about what exact claims you feel are lacking support? There's a lot unknown about how the ATFLIR operates, and we know it has changed over time. It is not a solved case. But the rotating glare (or rotating camera artifact of some sort) hypothesis is a potential...
  17. Mick West

    Video: triangle light formation going fast across the night sky 2024-10-31

    This seems similar in speed and size to this one: https://www.metabunk.org/threads/anomalous-triangular-object-filmed-flying-over-my-house.13669/ Initial discussion there centered around the hypothesis that it was some bird flying in formation, illuminated by lights from the ground. Ducks were...
  18. Mick West

    Bugs and Suggestions for Metabunk.org

    The floppy disk icon next to Preview, then "Delete Draft" It doesn't actually delete what's in the reply box, but if you go away and come back then it will be gone.
  19. Mick West

    How to Post an Image on Metabunk

    Yes, they have EXIF removed if uploaded. They also get resized to a maximum of 1600x1600. So original files need to be zipped.
  20. Mick West

    Add the nerd emoji

    I don't think it's really worth breaking everything. So I'm afraid we'll have to stick with what we have. :(
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