MH17: Evidence a Missile was Used. Shrapnel, etc.

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Why this fixation on SU25? Ukrainian air force has a bunch of MIG-29s which can
* go to 59,000 feet up
* go at Mach 2 and
* use a big assortment of AA missiles some of which have a level range of 30 miles or more (how far from the border was all this?)

The fixation was from the original claim, which was that an SU25 was in the area at the time of the crash. Better aircraft were available such as the Su27 and MiG 29, but these have not been flying against the rebels as they don't have an airforce yet.

Putin is probably working to fix that though....
 
Why this fixation on SU25? Ukrainian air force has a bunch of MIG-29s

The "story" specifically mentioned an SU-25. (This reeks of "bunk" right away, of course).

There are NO stories of Migs. (UNLESS you can provide some?).
 
There are NO stories of Migs. (UNLESS you can provide some?).

I've not seen stories about MIGs but... if some separatists can see a B777 and think it's an AN-70, why can't a Spanish ATCO or a ground-based disinformation writer confuse a SU-25 and a MIG-29?

The MIGs were only taken out of mothballs in April and half of them got stuck in Crimea, so they'd not be around a lot, I guess.

Russia of course also has active MIGs.
 
Except....again. Proof of this, please?

EDIT: I realize this was a bout of "speculation". There is a thread on MB dedicated to such "speculation".
You're asking me to prove people can make mistakes?? o_O

This thread started with evidence of missile strike, so how did it degenerate into discussion of cannon? I'm just pointing out MIGs can make the altitude, match the speed, are available in the theatre and have missiles..
 
I'm just pointing out MIGs can make the altitude, match the speed, are available in the theatre and have missiles..

Yes, I fully understand your point here. BUT, also I understand that the discussion has veered away from the SURFACE-to-AIR MISSILES (which have been verified from multiple sources) to the potential distraction of an air-to-air assault....first with the silly suggestion of SU-25s.

But now, YOU mention (out of the blue, in a way) something else....as a well-outside-the-box concept that has NO basis in fact, nor even in "rumor".
 
But Bombdr has given 2 examples of A4s been shot by cannon only.


Two a-4s shot down in the south Atlantic is still uNder dispute. One of them was not acTually shot down by conventional ammo .. but it couldn't land and the pilot decided to eject.

The other.. well the other had three Sea Harriers and it's pilots claiming they had downed it
 
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Im not sure what you are arguing here. I was responding to David Coulter's comment:



I stated from memory of a course I did last year at the Air Warfare Centre at RAF Cranwell that cannons had been used in air-to-air combat during the Falklands War by the RAF and FAA, which you disputed. You then sent me a link to a page which confirmed my assertion.

Now you are claiming these are invalid as, in your opinion, helicopters and transports do not qualify as air-to-air combat...? How about the A4s? How about a Boeing 777?

In any event, significant to this discussion about MH17 is that whilst it is possible to shoot down a 777 with guns/cannons, it is not easy to do so, and an SU25 would not be the platform of choice for doing so.


Because its all garbage.. if it was already hard to down a fighter with regular ammo ,and even on the 1st WW pilots even carried their personal revolver and some clay bricks in case the three plane kyte they were flyring ran out of rounds.. today it's not different. And downing an elephant the size of a 777 with 20 or 30 or .50 is definitely a science fiction story.. or a 'putitos' story (small putin in my language which also means small b...tch)
 
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OK....VERY funny. Thanks!
Its a pleasure to make you laugh.. ohhhh by the way..,hasnt everybody noticed we are on the same side?

Uhmm I did my search and I see I wasnt wrong here is a link to a History Channel a special on that south atlantic war ,see you can change on 'you tube' the close captioned languages.

 
Its a pleasure to make you laugh.. ohhhh by the way..,hasnt everybody noticed we are on the same side?

Uhmm I did my search and I see I wasnt wrong here is a link to a History Channel a special on that south atlantic war ,see you can change on 'you tube' the close captioned languages.



I wish there was an English version. No-one is disputing the courage of the Argentine pilots, but the data is pretty clear. It is British policy to store the data of every single weapon release from a British aircraft, with the exception of door mounted guns on helicopters. Every missile, bomb, round and chaff dispenser is recorded, and every word and action of the crew is also recorded and analysed. It is near impossible for the crews to lie about these things.
 
Its a pleasure to make you laugh.. ohhhh by the way..,hasnt everybody noticed we are on the same side?

Uhmm I did my search and I see I wasnt wrong here is a link to a History Channel a special on that south atlantic war ,see you can change on 'you tube' the close captioned languages.



I am sorry, but I do not understand the language. Is there a version of the video with captions in English, please?

I REALIZE that language is a HUGE barrier sometimes....I wish it were not so.
 
I am sorry, but I do not understand the language. Is there a version of the video with captions in English, please?

I REALIZE that language is a HUGE barrier sometimes....I wish it were not so.


Yeap ,its a real pain ,but in options there on the video itself you can change those captions into English. Before copying the link i tried to change them to english.. they did but I see the chaNges did not go thru the link.

That war in the south atlantic has maaaany lessons.
 
I've not seen stories about MIGs but... if some separatists can see a B777 and think it's an AN-70, why can't a Spanish ATCO or a ground-based disinformation writer confuse a SU-25 and a MIG-29?

The MIGs were only taken out of mothballs in April and half of them got stuck in Crimea, so they'd not be around a lot, I guess.

Russia of course also has active MIGs.
Russian Department of Defence said it's probably SU-25. At the Russian "proof" video.

What Spanish ATCO?
 
Is that clean or armed?
I have absolutely no idea. I have read somewhere that in theory the plane can climb to 14km but the problem comes from the risk to pilot passout. For this claim I do not have any valid source so it should currently threated as just an hearsay. According to my readings the some of the updates for old SU-25 models came from pressurizing the cockpit whick allows the plane reach higher altitudes. And just a sidepoint I do not know anything about aviation or military planes so any debunking my claims would be really appriciated. I did write about this earlier in this thread at https://www.metabunk.org/threads/mh...was-used-shrapnel-etc.3997/page-5#post-119572 there is some additional sources/claims to debunk that proves SU-25 models flying over the 7km service ceiling.
 
I agree, but an SU25 is not a fighter plane , it is a CAS platform with a ceiling of 23000ft and max speed of 500knts, and RT is telling us this had a plausible possibility of shooting down a Boeing 777 cruising at 490knts at 35000ft.
Afaik the max speed of about 500 knts for the SU-25 is for sea level. Are there any datas on how the max speed changes in different altitudes? I know a MiG 29 can fly about 900 km/h faster in higher altitudes, but then again it's designed for that kind of performance. A SU-25 has no reason to perform better over 5km altitude than below.
 
I know the tale of Carlos, but is that true tale?

That's the point.

As we know, even Russians said, that Spainbuca is fake account, Borisbyl ATC is for Ukraininan only(military AP) and Spanish government doesn't know any Spanish ATC controller at Ukraine.
https://www.facebook.com/TheSpainReport/posts/486469588164237

And Carlos didn't speak English or Russian. Quite important for ATC in Kiev...

Carlos got expelled from Ukraina May 16th 2014.
http://jmalvarezblog.blogspot.com.es/2014/05/nuestro-cotrolador-en-kiev-expulsado-de.html
 
Afaik the max speed of about 500 knts for the SU-25 is for sea level. Are there any datas on how the max speed changes in different altitudes? I know a MiG 29 can fly about 900 km/h faster in higher altitudes, but then again it's designed for that kind of performance. A SU-25 has no reason to perform better over 5km altitude than below.

Id say that is a Cobra/Whacker question...?

Here is something that I googled: http://stoenworks.com/Tutorials/Understanding airspeed.html

My crews often discuss in Afghanistan which is the most efficient altitude to preserve fuel, maximise speed, and the air temperature, but I'v usually switched off by this stage as its not relevant to my job....
 
Uhmm I did my search and I see I wasnt wrong here is a link to a History Channel a special on that south atlantic war ,see you can change on 'you tube' the close captioned languages.



Not sure why you posted that clip? Hector Sanchez (The first A-4 Pilot in that clip) was not hit by aircraft cannon from a Sea Harrier. He took damage from small arms ground fire that jammed his cannon and he later jettisoned his external tanks/bombs before finding a C-130H tanker to get him back to base. The second A-4 Pilot in the clip, Daniel Paredi, was engaged by shore and ship fire with his aircraft being rocked by a close explosion which he though was from a missile.

See following from 07:33 for that clip you posted with English subtitles.



From the RAF Pilot (David Morgan) involved in the shoot down of two of Hector Sanchez's formation. Morgan's wingman (Dave Smith, Royal Navy) shot down the third A-4 in that formation.

I discovered some years later, that the fourth pilot, Hector Sanchez had in fact, escaped after jettisoning his fuel tanks. He made it to the C130 tanker with a teaspoon full of fuel, having received some small arms damage to his aircraft.
Content from External Source
http://www.globalaviationresource.com/reports/2010/davidmorganp3.php

Danver wrote

Two a-4s shot down in the south Atlantic is still uNder dispute. One of them was not acTually shot down by conventional ammo .. but it couldn't land and the pilot decided to eject.

The other.. well the other had three Sea Harriers and it's pilots claiming they had downed it

Can you back up those above claims with some links? If you have got the wrong end of the stick with the video clip then it is easy to get other facts and claims mixed up.

I noticed that you mentioned Super Etendards in a previous post. All Super Etendards survived the conflict without loss or damage.
 
Not sure why you posted that clip? Hector Sanchez (The first A-4 Pilot in that clip) was not hit by aircraft cannon from a Sea Harrier. He took damage from small arms ground fire that jammed his cannon and he later jettisoned his external tanks/bombs before finding a C-130H tanker to get him back to base. The second A-4 Pilot in the clip, Daniel Paredi, was engaged by shore and ship fire with his aircraft being rocked by a close explosion which he though was from a missile.

See following from 07:33 for that clip you posted with English subtitles.



From the RAF Pilot (David Morgan) involved in the shoot down of two of Hector Sanchez's formation. Morgan's wingman (Dave Smith, Royal Navy) shot down the third A-4 in that formation.

I discovered some years later, that the fourth pilot, Hector Sanchez had in fact, escaped after jettisoning his fuel tanks. He made it to the C130 tanker with a teaspoon full of fuel, having received some small arms damage to his aircraft.
Content from External Source
http://www.globalaviationresource.com/reports/2010/davidmorganp3.php

Danver wrote



Can you back up those above claims with some links? If you have got the wrong end of the stick with the video clip then it is easy to get other facts and claims mixed up.

I noticed that you mentioned Super Etendards in a previous post. All Super Etendards survived the conflict without loss or damage.


This is getting off topic:

1. David Coulter asked about the validity of air-to-air gunnery these days and said he could not find anything after the Arab/Israeli wars of the 70s.
2. I responded by saying that guns were used by the Royal Navy and RAF in air combat in the Falklands war of 1982.
3. Danver disputed that and sent me a link, but the link he posted actually confirms what I had said and clearly stated that the British shot down a C130, Helicopters, and A3s using the 30mm Cannon.
4. Danver responded that these were 'in dispute'.
5. I responded that every single munition leaving a British aircraft is recorded at the Air Warfare Centre in RAF Cranwell, as well as all the data from telemetry, radar, weapon, HUD, forward facing camera and voice of the crew, and therefore I am inclined to believe that the data is accurate. Any pilot claims in British culture are stringently examined and there really is no way to fudge the data.

This whole Falklands tangent was part of the wider discussion on the plausibility that MH777 was shot down by a SU25 as claimed by some Russians.

EDIT: Thanks for posting an English subs version....
 
This is getting off topic:

1. David Coulter asked about the validity of air-to-air gunnery these days and said he could not find anything after the Arab/Israeli wars of the 70s.
2. I responded by saying that guns were used by the Royal Navy and RAF in air combat in the Falklands war of 1982.
3. Danver disputed that and sent me a link, but the link he posted actually confirms what I had said and clearly stated that the British shot down a C130, Helicopters, and A3s using the 30mm Cannon.
4. Danver responded that these were 'in dispute'.
5. I responded that every single munition leaving a British aircraft is recorded at the Air Warfare Centre in RAF Cranwell, as well as all the data from telemetry, radar, weapon, HUD, forward facing camera and voice of the crew, and therefore I am inclined to believe that the data is accurate. Any pilot claims in British culture are stringently examined and there really is no way to fudge the data.

This whole Falklands tangent was part of the wider discussion on the plausibility that MH777 was shot down by a SU25 as claimed by some Russians.

EDIT: Thanks for posting an English subs version....

Clarification the link is to a complete program from History Channel not just one fragment of it.

"3. Danver disputed that and sent me a link, but the link he posted actually confirms what I had said and clearly stated that the British shot down a C130, Helicopters, and A3s using the 30mm Cannon.
4. Danver responded that these were 'in dispute'."

What I said was on "dispute" is the real downing of two A-4s in the South Atlantic by cannon ,since one of the A-4s was not able to land because its landing gear was damaged and the pilot decided to eject. And the other had claims of three different Sea Harriers and its pilots saying that each one of them had shot the same Argentinian airplane.

There is even a account of an argentinian plane that had "50 holes" (Fifty) on wings ,fuselage etc and it landed without issues.

I dont consider it a fair comparisson to bring slower planes here to this discussion like the Pucaras ,the C-130 or helicopters. For a very simple reason "speed".
 
Clarification the link is to a complete program from History Channel not just one fragment of it.

"3. Danver disputed that and sent me a link, but the link he posted actually confirms what I had said and clearly stated that the British shot down a C130, Helicopters, and A3s using the 30mm Cannon.
4. Danver responded that these were 'in dispute'."

What I said was on "dispute" is the real downing of two A-4s in the South Atlantic by cannon ,since one of the A-4s was not able to land because its landing gear was damaged and the pilot decided to eject. And the other had claims of three different Sea Harriers and its pilots saying that each one of them had shot the same Argentinian airplane.

There is even a account of an argentinian plane that had "50 holes" (Fifty) on wings ,fuselage etc and it landed without issues.

I dont consider it a fair comparisson to bring slower planes here to this discussion like the Pucaras ,the C-130 or helicopters. For a very simple reason "speed".

Apologies, I did not mean to suggest that you personally disputed the data.

The three claims would be easily settled from the data, but my immediate response would be that all three attacked the same aircraft but probably at different times in the battle.

It is immaterial if the aircraft was lost due to a damaged landing gear, if the landing gear was damaged by cannon fire.

Regardless of whether you think it fair, the point was that the whole question was about instances of guns being used in air combat.
 
Apologies, I did not mean to suggest that you personally disputed the data.

The three claims would be easily settled from the data, but my immediate response would be that all three attacked the same aircraft but probably at different times in the battle.

It is immaterial if the aircraft was lost due to a damaged landing gear, if the landing gear was damaged by cannon fire.

Regardless of whether you think it fair, the point was that the whole question was about instances of guns being used in air combat.


The discussion is very valid.The harriers had very little time to fly and engage in a dog fight because of higher speeds of s etendards ,A-4s and Mirages (Daggers) and also taking off and landing vertical ment huge spending of fuel.

Side winders in the end proved to be very reliable and a clean kill without much compromisse.

Why havent cannons/machine guns been used that much after the middle east-israeli campaigns is a real good opportunity to undersdtand how planes with their own radars and with heat seeking missiles,after burners ,and after that with cannards or even with variables boosters made of the one to one dogfights with bulleets a thing of the past.
 
none of it is relevant IMO - I'm going to ask Mick to move your entire 30mm discussion to a separate thread.
 
Yeah but it's the holes that aren't the same size that is important.
I'm not saying I accept it, but one theory is that a missile, maybe BUK or maybe air-to-air, detonated near MH17 but didn't satisfactorily destroy it (perhaps the killer was concerned it might still be transmitting voice or may make a successful crash landing). Then the Su25 or other type smaller plane near by, finished off MH17 with automatic gun fire. The Canadian inspector noted the different size holes, but he seemed convinced there also was gunfire.
The other factors that make me suspicious,
  • is that Kiev clearly tried to militarily take over the area of the crash while Poroshenko blaming the separatists saying "What are they trying to hide." When actually the Kiev gov was trying to hide something and doing a switcheroo on the question. The propaganda campaign on this issue was intensified so much, Obama was even recruited to make a speech. Clearly, the separatists turned over the unopened recorders and they certainly allowed access to the site. Latest: Lithuania and the US block a UN resolution for a continued ceasefire around the site.
  • Out of turn and unauthorized, Kiev said the data recorder revealed evidence of the "Decompression From Missile" --Ukraine security spokesman Andrei Lysenko told Associated Press. What was the point of that leak? At the time, I heard that, I thought, "Of course a missile brought it down. Why make an announcement before the official report?"
  • The people to advance the gunfire theory are German pilot-cum-air technology expert Peter Haisenko and OSCE monitor Michael Bociurkiw "mentions bullet holes in #MH17, not able to find any missile so far." The nationalities of these people give them at least some credibility.
So, I don't know. I'd like to see the report. And I'd like a search of the ground area. There should be parts of the missile somewhere. And I'd like to see more damaged panels. (And, of course, I'd like to see US satellite photos and data.) There is an answer.
 
See now, since the story about Su-25s is hard to believe.. now another source says those were two Flankers 27 escorting the 777..


“During the UEFA 2012, the 831st TAB and its Flankers had same role, during those competitions they had duty to escort the airliners in FL330 and other routes in case emergency. They played same role during the Sochi Winter Olympics in Russia. They were airborne and they even escorted a hijacked airplane. They were also ready to provide security of all passenger airplanes over Ukraine. They are now following same procedure and they could protect all of the airplanes over Ukraine in-front of Russians since Jul 16.”
Provided the Su-27s were really escorting or (more likely) watching from their CAP station many, if not all, civil flights over Eastern Ukraine for the first time ever on Jul. 17, in the wake of the downing of the Su-25, the operators inside the Buk may have mistaken the Boeing 777 shadowed by/near two Flankers for a high-value plane of the Ukrainian Air Force. On their radar screens, the sight of a large plane with two accompanying (or circling in CAP not too far away) fighter jets was completely new and may only mean the Ukrainians were escorting an important plane. And that would be the reason why they downed it without spending too much time analysing its transponder code and altitude.
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The propaganda campaign on this issue was intensified so much, Obama was even recruited to make a speech.
Evidence he was 'recruited'?
Clearly, the separatists turned over the unopened recorders and they certainly allowed access to the site.
Only on their very limited terms. Now they're putting mines on the roads.
Donetsk: International observers were turned back on Wednesday after making another attempt to reach the site where Malaysia Airlines flight MH17 went down in eastern Ukraine, and a government official said the area near the zone had been mined by pro-Russian separatists who control it.

Observers from the Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe set out in two vehicles — without frustrated crash investigators from the Netherlands who have been trying to reach the site for four days.

The OSCE observers headed back to the city of Donetsk after discussions with rebels on the city's outskirts not long after starting what would have been a two-hour journey to the site.

That means that almost two weeks after the July 17 disaster, safety concerns and hindrance from the separatists who control the area are still obstructing access to the site.
http://www.smh.com.au/world/ukraine...ines-near-mh17-crash-site-20140730-zyqhv.html
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He mentions 'bullet holes' because the damage in his opinion resembles it at first cursory impression, but he has not provided any evidence they actually are bullet holes except for their superficial appearance. It is not a statement of forensics.
 
Why this fixation on SU25? Ukrainian air force has a bunch of MIG-29s which can
* go to 59,000 feet up
* go at Mach 2 and
* use a big assortment of AA missiles some of which have a level range of 30 miles or more (how far from the border was all this?)

Good question. If you watch the Russian Tracking Service presentation the English translation given says: "it is supposed that it was SU-25" at approx 14:30.
 
No one's nationality gives them credibility. In a case like this tho', their nationality confers some measure of impartiality.

Does it? Michael Bociurkiw is Ukranian-Canadian. Emigres can be just as biased as anyone currently living in the country. That aside, he has acted as observer on numerous UN agency missions. He is thee for the language knowledge, not special military knowledge. His idea of "looks like machine gun" probably comes from the same Hollywood movies as everyone else's, openly admitting no expertise in the interview.
 
He mentions 'bullet holes' because the damage in his opinion resembles it at first cursory impression, but he has not provided any evidence they actually are bullet holes except for their superficial appearance. It is not a statement of forensics.
To be fair: the damage looks very similar. If you'd show the following pictures to random people in the street I bet 99% would say 'looks like bullet holes'


 
To be fair: the damage looks very similar.
In that they're all puncture holes in metal.
random people in the street
Yeah exactly, but that would be totally irrelevant to any investigation - they're not specialists trained to evaluate how holes in metal were put there.

Too much value is given to first impressions on the internet, as if gut-feelings are worth something. They're not, that's hippie new-age nonsense in an age of entitlement. (excuse my slight off-topic rant)

His statement was a first impression. I wonder if he (or anyone from the actual forensic team) has made any follow-up ones since. The problem is people will fixate on the statement that fits their preferred world-view rather than re-evaluate with subsequent clarifications. To some people the first statements are always the most correct, no matter what is said afterwards.
 
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